GA-Gov, GA-Sen: SUSA Gives Sizable Leads to Deal, Isakson

SurveyUSA for WXIA-TV/V103-FM/WMAZ-TV (9/10-12, likely voters, no trend lines):

Roy Barnes (D): 38

Nathan Deal (R): 49

John Mounds (L): 9

Undecided: 4

(MoE: ±4.1%)

We’ve actually had a dearth of non-Rasmussen polling of Georgia’s hotly-contested gubernatorial race. In the past six months, we’ve seen five polls by Rasmussen and a single release by Georgia-based InsiderAdvantage in August (which had Deal up by four). It may be worth comparing SUSA’s cross-tabs to InsiderAdvantage’s: SUSA has Deal up by 64-24 among white voters, while I.A. had the spread at 58-31. Among independents, Deal led Barnes by just 41-38 last month, compared to a whopping 54-26 according to SUSA. Also worthy of attention is the male-heavy nature of the poll (54%) and Deal’s 49-30 lead over Barnes among 18 to 34 year-olds. It’d sure be nice to get some work done on this race from some more non-robopollsters…

For what it’s worth, the DGA certainly sounds enthused about this race, as seen today by their decision to send $1 million to the Georgia Democratic Party (on top of $500K sent last month). And, as we noted in the digest today, Deal’s financial issues aren’t going anywhere.

Senate nums:

Michael Thurmond (D): 34

Johnny Isakson (R-inc): 56

Chuck Donovan (L): 6

Undecided: 4

(MoE: ±4.1%)

InsiderAdvantage had this race at 47-35 for Isakson.

36 thoughts on “GA-Gov, GA-Sen: SUSA Gives Sizable Leads to Deal, Isakson”

  1. Perhaps the SUSA anomaly is a function of the fact that younger cosmopolitan voters are simultaneously more likely to be liberal and more likely to be cell-phone only…

    …but then wouldn’t every pollster not supplementing with a cell sample (practically all of them) be picking up the same phenomena?  

  2. I believe the Senate numbers, but the Gubernatorial numbers are stretching it.  That race has to be a lot closer for the DGA to dump that kind of cash into the race.

    I suspect there are a lot of Republicans that would vote for Barnes over Deal because Deal is a fraud and Barnes is a good, moderate Democrat.

    On a side note, is it me or are we seeing a lot of polls with high third party numbers as of late?

  3. I’d suggest everyone really look at the numbers. Monds doing so well among the young crowd really stands out.

    In the Attorney General’s race, Olens will get more Democrats, Hodges will get more Republicans.

    I just do not put much credibility into this poll.

  4. The Marshall camp’s excellent takedown of that SUSA poll showing Burr ahead by 24 raises serious questions about the accuracy of SUSA’s methodology in all of their polls, at least in this round. Frankly, even Rasmussen looks more credible right now. SUSA is starting to more resemble R2K than a serious pollster.  

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