Dems Lead in Five Internal Polls

AR-01: Anzalone Liszt for the DCCC (9/13-16, likely voters):

Chad Causey (D): 46

Rick Crawford (R): 44

(MoE: ±4.9%)

DE-AL: Grove Insight for the DCCC (9/15-18, likely voters):

John Carney (D): 50

Glen Urquhart (R): 32

(MoE: ±4.9%)

FL-25: Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for the DCCC (9/12-19, likely voters):

Joe Garcia (D): 40

David Rivera (R): 33

Craig Porter (W): 2

Roly Arrojo (T): 2

(MoE: ±4.9%)

The “W” stands for Whig (no joke).

GA-08: Grove Insight for the DCCC (9/13-15, likely voters):

Jim Marshall (D-inc): 48

Austin Scott (R): 36

(MoE: ±4.9%)

ND-AL: Garin Hart Yang for Earl Pomeroy (9/10-12, likely voters):

Earl Pomeroy (D-inc): 46

Rick Berg (R): 44

(MoE: ±4.9%)

108 thoughts on “Dems Lead in Five Internal Polls”

  2. Maybe a bit too optimistic for Garcia, Marshall, Carney, and Pomeroy, but reasonable nonetheless.

    Don’t know if I buy AR-01 right now, Blanche’s performance is going to be atrocious in the first I’d think (we should assume that Lincoln will lose the district by 10 points if the polling so far has been correct, which is going to be pretty hard for Causey to overcome).

  4. As a RuralDem post said… Democrats are leading in the South. Well those must be rubbish numbers…

    Now in reality, they make perfect sense. Where are the numbers from Ohio, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Pennsylvania?

  7. …my policy of handling partisan polls (taking 5 points away from the candidate of the party that sponsored the poll and adding 5 points to opposing party’s candidate), the only two of these five polls I feel good for the Dems are DE-AL and GA-8. And those aren’t really any surprise. I would’ve said the Dems are going to win those two races without even researching them.

    It would be nice if the Dem can win FL-25, but I’d have to see more evidence that he can do it.  

  8. These polls are showing what I have been feeling for some time…this suppossed Republican majority has no clothes.  Where are these 40 odd seat pickup coming from?  3/4 of all the targeted seats have the Democrats ahead in some substanially.  Yeah Gordon’s seat is gone prob Snyder’s too…but so are Castle’s and Cao’s.  I’m not so sure Democrats might get by with not more the a net loss of ten or twelve.

  10. 1. giving up a locked safe House seat, which Carney now seem to be on the cusp of flipping, and

    2. somehow running a losing Senate campaign, allowing us to retain that seat which all had assumed lost.

    That’s a twofer. Go Delaware.

  11. I feel like Michelle Rollins could have made this maybe a little bit competitive (i.e. – lost by high single digits), but this Urquhart gentleman is going to get crushed by John Carney. I don’t think the Delaware Republicans could have picked a worse slate for the general election. The video of this guy calling liberals Nazis and tracing the principle of separation of church and state to Hitler is just as crazy as anything Christine O’Donnell said.

    As far as the other races here, I feel like Pomeroy is almost certain to lose. Jim Marshall will probably win. Joe Garcia has a great shot to pull off an upset. This race could be a bright spot in a very dark night for the Democrats. The Causey-Crawford matchup is definitely a toss-up. I’m sure Beebe will cruise in this district while Blanche will likely flop. I’m interested to know how that will affect the down ballot races.  

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