If Patty Murray loses tomorrow, I will never listen to another thing he has to say. His latest model has Rossi’s chances of winning at only 30 percent. But imagine my surprise when the new PPP poll came out to show Rossi ahead. Nate’s model is what I was basing my optimism on, but now who the hell knows anymore?
And it just makes me so sad to think that Ras could have been right all along. When the poll came out with Rossi up by 1 everyone laughed, well now he doesn’t look so stupid now does he ?
Some of the interesting work below gets pushed down.
If you wanted to make this into a full diary, I suggest that you refute the following explanations from Nate:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.n…
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.n…
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.n…
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.n…
While I have disagreements with Nate, he backs up his arguments with facts and data. Your dismissal of such is no better than people who dismiss science based on some anecdotal observation.
49-47, and Ras is hardly a D friendly pollster.
don’t want to sound like a dick but please delete this. This and your NY Governor diary are not diaries. They take away room from people that put time and hard work into diaries. Not saying this isn’t an interesting subject but it’s not really a diary so much as a comment. Both your diaries are good comments for open threads but do not make good diaries. I am not trying to be rude but please do not come out with any more one paragraph diaries. Thanks.
This diary is better suited as a comment. More importantly, it’s better suited as a comment at Nate Silver’s site.
We’re giving you the opportunity to delete this diary yourself, or we will delete this for you shortly.