SSP Daily Digest: 12/6

AK-Sen: This shouldn’t come as a surprise and I highly doubt that Joe Miller would listen to anything Mark Begich would say even if it weren’t a surprise, but Begich is now encouraging Miller to drop his pointless challenge to Lisa Murkowski so Murkowski can get sworn in on schedule and the pork can continue to flow to the Last Frontier. Meanwhile, Miller is now actually saying that he would have gotten away with it, if it weren’t for those meddling Inuits. In a Washington Times column, Miller blames the Native Alaskan corporations for backing Murkowski (via the Alaskans Standing Together PAC), and even (gasp! call the Fox voter fraud hotline!) putting boots on the ground to teach people how to spell “Murkowski” and bus people to the polls!!1!

FL-Sen: If you were wondering if there was still a flicker of possibility that Jeb Bush was going to run against Bill Nelson, that’s pretty much extinguished: Bush himself acknowledged that over the weekend, admitting there’s a major problem given his support for immigration reform (and opposition to Arizona’s new law) that puts him at odds with the ascendant teabaggery. Mike Haridopolos is also letting everyone know that he wouldn’t be running if Bush were going to run, but that he’s gotten Bush’s green light. (The latter article also includes a few additional GOP names that we haven’t seen yet in connection with this race, like sophomore Rep. Tom Rooney and Adam Hasner, the former state House majority leader.)

IN-Sen: State Sen. Mike Delph is waving his arms around madly trying to get the tea partiers’ attention for a possible primary against GOP apostate Richard Lugar, with a widely-circulated post to his own blog saying that he’s “increasingly concerned” with Lugar’s actions, especially support for the DREAM Act. The real question is whether state Treasurer Richard Mourdock gets in; Lugar’s best shot at getting through, like Dan Coats in the 2010 Senate primary, is to have the multiple teabaggers cannibalizing each others’ votes.

NV-Sen: Democratic Rep. Shelly Berkley is mentioning some sort of timeline for deciding on whether to run for the Senate against John Ensign (or whoever decapitates him in the GOP primary): she’s saying early 2011, probably before mid-February. Worth noting: she’s sitting on $1.1 million CoH, more than your average Rep. and a good head start for a Senate bid.

WV-Sen: John Raese, who has run and lost four times statewide, is pretty much ruling out another run for office, aware that it’s probably not a good investment of his family fortune. Also, he says he’s “worn out” (and probably wants to spend more time with his new glass conservatory). As for who will actually run, Shelly Moore Capito is naturally at the top of the GOP’s wish list, but it sounds like she’s more interested in running for Governor in 2012, making a run from some other self-funding B-lister against Manchin seem likely.

MN-Gov: Tom Emmer’s legal team, over the weekend, pulled a large number of frivolous challenges: 2,600 of them, all from Hennepin County (Minneapolis). Between this token act of perceptions-management, and signals from Emmer attorney (and ex-state supreme court chief justice) Eric Magnuson that Emmer isn’t likely to prevail, it looks like we may actually get some resolution on this sooner rather than later.

CA-11: I’m not sure if anyone was still wondering if David Harmer had conceded this race, as Jerry McNerney declared victory nearly a month ago and the AP also called it a few weeks ago, but he finally pulled the plug over the weekend. Harmer says he has no plans to run again.

VA-09: Um, oooops. Here’s one veteran Dem who seems to have gotten caught with his pants down, when a late move in the polls in what had previously seemed an OK race (recall the spike in the last SurveyUSA poll of this race) seemed to come too late for him to do a last-minute ad blitz. Rick Boucher had by far the most money left over of any House Dem who lost: $699K. (Chris Carney came in second with $262K.)

House: Here’s a long pointless list of races where the loser is operating in the usual “not ruling another run in or out” post-election mode: Glenn Nye in VA-02, Tom Perriello in VA-05, Chet Edwards in TX-17, Patrick Murphy in PA-08, and Republican Ilario Pantano in NC-07.

DCCC: Another changing of the guard at the DCCC: Robby Mook is taking over as executive director, from Jon Vogel. He’s following the same path as Vogel, having led the DCCC’s independent expenditure arm during the 2010 cycle.

NY-St. Sen.: The last two races in the New York state Senate are more or less resolved. Suzi Oppenheimer, as expected, has been declared the victor, and GOP opponent Bob Cohen has conceded. Craig Johnson, on the other hand, has lost, or at least was on the wrong end of the recount, although he plans to appeal. Assuming nothing changes in SD-7, the GOP will control the Senate 32-30 for this session.

Redistricting: In Massachusetts, Democratic Secretary of State Bill Galvin is floating the idea of switching to an independent redistricting commission (albeit one that would apparently be non-binding). That’s odd, since if there’s one state where the Dems have firm control of the trifecta, it’s the Bay State. As you might expect, Dem legislative leaders are expressing little interest in the idea. They’re moving full speed ahead on the 2012 process, with state Senate president pro tem Stan Rosenberg in charge just as he was in 2002. As far as tea leaves for who might get protected in the elimination of that tenth House seat: I’m not sure if Rosenberg would be considered a John Olver ally, but it’s worth noting that Rosenberg is, like Olver, from Amherst, and succeeded Olver in the state Senate, taking over Olver’s old seat in 1991 upon Olver’s special election to the House.

216 thoughts on “SSP Daily Digest: 12/6”

  1. The Emmer’s campaign is now only challenged 700-something ballots, far less than what can change the outcome of the race.  Id love to predict they dont file a lawsuit as there isnt any path to victory and the public will clearly not like a prolonged court battle for a losing cause.  But, well, politics…

  2. Charles Djou still had $252k in the bank, and Bill Foster had $247k. Not sure if spending that would’ve saved them, but why would you hold on to that kind of cash if you’re in a tough fight?

    Also, Heath Shuler apparently never felt he was in much danger; he still has $1.1 million in the bank.

  3. Get the one registered dem to switch. Then it’s a tie with the LG holding a lot of power. Promise him whatever to get him over. We need the Senate.  

  4. I don’t want to get into a debate on the merits of Obama’s capitulation “framework” agreement with Republicans on the Bush tax cuts, but can we all agree that he has just decimated his volunteer base for the re-election campaign?

    Who is going to knock on doors and phonebank for him now? There must be a thousand YouTube videos like this one from 2008, in which Obama argued passionately against the tax cuts for the wealthy.

  5. to distract us from the whole taxcut thing, which can be found at ANY POLITICAL BLOG (sorry to yell, yes i’m yelling, because this isn’t what we come to SSP for.  for those who, understandably, want to vent, there are better places.  also, i’m aware of the irony of venting about venting, but I still have the nuclear bomb springfield).  anyhoo…

    Deb Markowitz has been named Sec. of natural resources.  up until a few days ago when this possibility came up, it was thought she would be appointed treasurer when spaulding left to also join shumlin’s administration.  With Markowitz, Racine and Bartlett in the fold, the only man out is Matt Dunne.  

    Dunne is a former google exec who may return after losing statewide twice in four years.  another possibility, if he wants to serve in office soon is to be appointed treasurer.  this would allow him to rebuild his reputation as a statewide officeholder who could bide his time until governor or senator opens up.

  6. article from the LA times. Boxer outspent Fiorina + American Crossroads, NRSC, and all GOP friendly groups on the airwaves. Good thing Boxer started raising money for her reelection bid years ago. Also Rove’s group only plopped down a million here, granted in LA county but Rove’s polling might of told him it wasn’t worth pouring in the millions he could of here.

  7. He was recently inaugurated as the 7th governor of the great state of Hawaii and the first white male governor since John Burns in ’74.

    I think he’ll do a fine job and with 43-8 and 24-1 (!!!) majorities in the state house and senate respectively, I’d like to think he can govern as he pleases. First on the agenda: signing the civil unions bill Lingle vetoed.

  8. PPP has Obama leading Romney & Co. in Michigan.

    Romney, 47-43

    Huckabee, 51-39

    Gingrich, 52-37

    Palin 56-36

    I have to say I’m surprised by these numbers. Much better than I expected.

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