• NE-Sen: After a few months in exploratory committee purgatory (and after screwing up many of the documents associated with said committee), Republican AG Jon Bruning has made it official. He’s now upgraded to Candidate, against Ben Nelson in the 2012 Senate race.
• TX-Sen: Local insiders seem to think that Kay Bailey Hutchison is increasingly moving toward another run for Senate in 2012 (after having postponed her resignation a number of times amidst the gubernatorial race, and then having dropped the subject altogether). That speculation seems based mostly on her sheer silence on the issue, though.
• IA-Gov: On his way out the door, outgoing Gov. Chet Culver talked up state Sen. majority leader Mike Gronstal as a possible 2014 gubernatorial candidate for the Dems. Culver said Gronstal won’t suffer for his reluctance to put gay marriage up for a statewide vote, which seems to be one of the state’s big flashpoints right now.
• WA-Gov, WA-08: This is very unexpected, considering that GOP AG Rob McKenna has had the 2012 gubernatorial nomination staked out for about six years now, but Rep. Dave Reichert is publicly expressing some (or at least not ruling out) interest in a gubernatorial run (a race he’d been encouraged to run in 2004 back when he was King Co. Sheriff, although he ran for House instead). I’m sure local GOPers would prefer he run for Senate, where no viable GOP nominee seems to be on the horizon, rather than creating a fractious gubernatorial primary that might hobble their best shot in decades at winning the governorship. Actually, I’m sure they’d prefer he continue to hold down WA-08 rather than open up the 8th while embarking on a fool’s errand against Maria Cantwell, and with redistricting likely to give him a safer district in Seattle’s southeastern exurbs while opening up a solid-blue WA-10 on the true Eastside, that’s probably what he’ll keep on doing.
• CO-03: New Gov. John Hickenlooper just appointed recently-defeated Rep. John Salazar as the state’s agriculture commissioner. Salazar has already said he was open to a rematch with Scott Tipton; the question is whether this makes a rematch less likely or if it’s designed to keep him in the public spotlight. (Speaking of Hickenlooper, if you haven’t read the NYT Magazine section’s long profile of him, it’s worth a read.)
• FL-25: Add one more mysterious bit of financial information to the mounting pile of sleaze that’s engulfing David Rivera in his first week on the job: he sold a condominium to his mother’s marketing company (the same company that’s under criminal investigation for its relationship to the Flagler Dog Track) in November, shortly before he paid off $137K in undisclosed loans… also to that same marketing company.
• IA-03: Buried in an article on the Iowa redistricting conundrum, which will see the state compacted to four House districts, is an important piece of unexpected news: septuagenarian Democratic Rep. Leonard Boswell, who’s been a prime candidate for retirement for a number of cycles now, tells Roll Call that he will be running again in 2012, regardless of what district he gets stuck into. Tom Latham, Bruce Braley, and Dave Loebsack all plan to “plow ahead” as well; only Steve King didn’t comment, although his district, by virtue of geography (having the state’s western half pretty much to itself) seems least likely to get messed with. A collision between Des Moines-based Boswell and Ames-based GOPer Latham seems likeliest to me, but with a commission making the decisions, almost any configuration seems possible.
• NC-07: Rep. Mike McIntyre — already in the news today as one of only two Dems who voted against HCR to also say that he’d go ahead and support Republican repeal efforts — is now about to draw a Democratic primary challenger from the left, although one who seems kind of on the Some Dude end of the spectrum. Business counselor Del Pietro says he’ll take on McIntyre.
• California: This piece is mostly about House redistricting in the Golden State, but has some thoughts about potential retirements too, given the possibility that redistricting via commission may result in less incumbent protection and various House members getting stuck together (and also given the advanced age of many of California’s long-timers). Jerry Lewis and Pete Stark are listed as most noteworthy possibilities, along with Elton Gallegly (who’s waffled about retirement before), Lois Capps, Gary Miller, and Howard Berman… and Bob Filner is mentioned as a possible San Diego mayor candidate in 2012.
• House: This Roll Call piece is mostly a grab-bag of vague quotes and speculation (of course, what article in the Beltway press isn’t), but it does do some useful handicapping on which sought-after House members are likely or unlikely to make the jump to running for Senate in 2012. New York’s Peter King says “I really don’t expect it,” Pennsylvania’s Charlie Dent says he hasn’t “been actively pursuing it,” and Ohio’s Jim Jordan is “leaning against it.” Wisconsin’s Paul Ryan didn’t comment, but has repeatedly said he isn’t looking for higher office anytime soon (and here’s some further confirmation on that from today), while Florida’s Connie Mack IV seems to be moving definitely moving in a Senate direction and Montana’s Denny Rehberg remains studiously vague.
• DCCC: DCCC head Steve Israel announced his team of lieutenants for the 2012 cycle, which includes the two other likeliest chairs who got passed over, Joseph Crowley (in charge of fundraising) and Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent retention and redistricting). Also on board are Allyson Schwartz (recruitment), Keith Ellison (community partnerships), and Puerto Rico’s Pedro Pierluisi (constituency mobilization).
• Mayors: State Sen. Anthony Hardy Williams (last seen barely hitting the double-digits in the Democratic gubernatorial primary) has a new gig in mind: he’s publicly expressing his interest in running for Philadelphia mayor, one of the many mayoral races up in November. The only other person to have actively looked into challenging fairly-popular incumbent Michael Nutter is wealthy businessman Tom Knox, who also made a brief appearance in last year’s governor’s race Dem primary.
• Twitter: We made it over the 4,000 mark on Twitter; thanks to all our new followers. We’re still taking new applications, though, so we encourage any other fans of microscopic bits of political wisdom to sign on, too.
A lot of people here expect Christie Vilsack or some other Democrat to run even if Boswell doesn’t retire. Vilsack has been fairly open about having political ambitions and a “legislative” personality. But Tom Harkin is headlining a fundraiser for Boswell in Des Moines tomorrow.
Posible presidential material come 2016? He will only be 64 that year.
http://www.salon.com/wires/us/…
to get better Democrats from North Carolina? I mean, I’m more than willing to give someone like Heath Schuler a pass on being against abortion, but is it possible to get Democrats in at least a few of these districts that won’t vote against things like health care reform?
On the other hand, if this is merely just a gesture, akin to voting against Pelosi, and they know full well that this vote to repeal is meaningless, I can understand it. I still don’t like it, but I can understand it.
as MN will most likely will have a gay marriage amendment on the ballot and he’s really needed here to make sure the African-American community has some guidance on how to vote on the issue. He is certainly the leader of the small yet visible AA community in Minneapolis and also a vice-chair of LGBT Equality Caucus in Congress. Bleh, he better find time.
it will be interesting to see how the new districts shake out (pardon the pun), especially for the incumbents. I especially like seeing people run for different offices, and my blog is focused on making a comprehensive list of all the people that run for office.
NJ GOP Chair/Assemblyman Jay Webber has been mentioned as a rising star and potential Menendez challenger. Well, he just resigned as state GOP Chair, maybe to consider challenging Menendez? http://www.politico.com/blogs/…
http://politicalwire.com/archi…
I guess he could be the GOP field’s Mike Gravel?
I thought Boswell was DOA this year and that was even before I thought we’d lose Congress. He could surprise us again I suppose. Though you can’t compare the opponents I suppose.
Will Branstead even run in four years? He could but would he want to? I suppose he could run again then try Senate in 16.
Donald Trump was talking up a serious presidential bid on CNN, last night.
Run, Donald, run. And Sarah, too.
Since they did not take the oath yesterday, Wikipedia has them both assuming office on Jan. 6. So according to Wikipedia, Pete Sessions was a former Congressman yesterday. Is it correct to say they did not assume office until the 6th, since they did not take the oath?
I begin to think R McKenna is enough rik-averse for wait until C Gregoire retires. Surely if C Gregoire retires not R McKenna run not for governor in 2012.
D Reicher can see his seat a little more republican, but I think would be strongly targeted again in WA-08.
U3 Unemployment drops 9.8% to 9.4%. U6 Unemployment drops from 17% to 16.7%.
Also, the Dem Senate caucus is working to revamp their message machine to be more like Schumer.
http://politicalwire.com/archi…
Romney – 39%
Palin – 16%
Huckabee – 10%
Gingrich – 8%
Paul – 7%
Pawlenty – 4%
Santorum – 3%
Barbour – 1%
http://nhjournal.com/2011/01/0…
http://www.nypost.com/p/pagesi…
Sounds like he thinks Romney will tack far-right during the primaries, leaving an opening for a real moderate.
A couple users expressed interest in this race yesterday. Nassour, the incumbent chairwoman, turned away a challenge from her right and won 50-16. Most of the anger at Nassour stemmed from the disappointing results of the midterms in MA (Dems won everything), not from her fairly moderate policies.
As I suspected, Casey isn’t safe but is certainly favored. Potentially competitive though there are several seats far more vulnerable.
http://publicpolicypolling.blo…
probably wins him a lot of love from old school Democrats in the Rust Belt portions of the state, and his otherwise consistently liberal voting record sustains his popularity in the metros like Philadelphia.
http://www.detnews.com/article…
excellent article in The Atlantic by Ron Brownstein http://www.theatlantic.com/pol…