April 5 Election Results Thread #8

2:39pm: The current margin is Kloppenburg by 204, after factoring in Lake Mills. (That’s down from briefly being at a 336-vote edge according to the AP.)

1:54pm: Eric Compas has a cool map of results by county.

1:52pm: Amazing fact from the National Journal:

If Kloppenburg’s narrow margin holds up through the potential recount, it will be just the fifth time a Wisconsin Supreme Court justice has been unseated since the court’s establishment in 1852.



Man you kids like to chat.

Results:

Wisconsin: AP | Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel

107 thoughts on “April 5 Election Results Thread #8”

  1. you can’t blame us for chatting it up. 🙂

    Still, for a judicial election 8 threads does have to set some kind of record.

    1. But higher turnout usually boosts Team Blue a lot more than Team Red. If America, like Australia, essentially forced people to vote, we’d be winning a heckuva lot more races…

    2. I agree that the logic goes both ways but a few of these districts that are subject to a recall like Kapanke’s which was carried by Obama heavily (61%) and several margin districts that Obama only carried by a handful. Tells me that in a full turnout election people are very capable of voting for a Democrat there. I think its Grothman and Lazich that are from heavily conservative districts so it doesn’t help us there I agree. If you max out the turnout especially in Kapanke’s district where Obama won with 61% of the vote that can’t be good for him.  

    3. You win like this, you feel like your vote matters.

      You lose like this, you’re frustrated and second-guess yourself.

      Think about how we felt both times after Dubya won.

  2. for a random State SC election ever. And the amoutn of posting last night and this morning is insane. We’re such freaks. I stayed up till two carefully watching everyones posts then got up at 6 and watched. I was so nervous Prosser would win, but I’m glad it looks like JOK will win.

    Btw, does anyone know how many small races across WI we won? Were any of them R-leaning areas that we picked up like small county seats etc.?

  3. would leave in August.  I think the legislature is going to pass everything over again and do it right this time.

  4. so much more blue in the center than in the 2004 map. Klop killed it there. too bad her collapse in the Milwaukee area pretty much canceled out her overperformance in the central part of the state.

  5. If Walker had not chosen to electrocute the WI GOP on the third rail, this SC race would have slipped under the radar along with all of the other little races across the state and Prosser would have won decisively.  Stone probably would have won as well.

  6. I’ve never understood this. I’ve wondered for about 6 years now when I first saw county maps of Wisconsin why this is so.

    Because, typically, in non-southern states, suburbs since 1992 have represented swing areas – true in Illinois (Chicago), Pennsylvania (Philly), New York (NYC), Michigan (Detroit). In many cases, this move has been what has flipped these states blue. This hasn’t happened in Wisconsin – what is different about this area?

  7. is in WI-07.

    Between his “$174k is middle class” gaffe and the fact that WI-07 is VERY similar demographically to MN-08 (and can’t really be changed in redistricting thanks to occupying a corner of the state), I’d say Duffy is probably one of the most endangered GOP incumbents of 2012.

    Less bullish on getting rid of Ryan, though. Kenosha has and always will be light blue, but the rest of that district is pretty hard right.

    Of course, this is all for the SC race. 2012 will be higher turnout, especially for our side.

  8. clearly with this massive turnout(1.5 MILLION)in a race that at best should have been about 900K, you have to believe the recall folks got a huge boost in the petition drive; my question is, does anyone here know where to obtain recall number updates? is there a local blog or something?

    1. He voted to go union-busting.

      He said it was about the budget then voted for it when it prove not to be about the budget anyway.

      He voted to go union-busting.

    2. 2012 will NOT be a carbon copy of 2010. So while there will be plenty of work to do in Wisconsin next year, I don’t think we’ll see another massive “Red Tide” there.

  9. I think our Supreme Court race truly showed how centrist most people are, either center left or center right. If you, as a politician, try to build a bridge too far past the middle 50%, in either direction, you will find that bridge burned beneath your very feet. Thank God for well-educated Wisconsin-ites.

  10. From the Journal-Sentinel: “Prosser’s private remark calling [Chief Justice] Abrahamson a ‘total bitch’ was the subject of a recent political ad attacking Prosser.”

    Wow, Prosser’s a badass. He can go be a gangsta rapper since the SC thing didn’t work out.  

  11. One thing that I really like about these election results (besides team blue winning obviously) is that this is a very very close election that during the recall’s (I am assuming that at least 3 of them will happen) the narrative of this is going to be a very close election and we need every vote out there is really going to have some significance. Had Prosser won in a blowout some voters may have said “ehh too much stacked against us”. Likewise it would have led to some overconfidence if Prosser had been blown out. The fact that the news will be reporting a “very close election decided by a few hundred votes” bodes well. I like the fact that our base is going to realize that they can’t take it for granted and that their vote is desperately needed.

  12. “Less than two months later, Prosser finds himself trailing Kloppenburg by a few hundred votes, albeit with a few thousand absentee ballots left to count.”

    so, are there absentees left ???

  13. We also have races yet to be resolved… In our case, we have Las Vegas, North Las Vegas, and Henderson runoffs in June. Try to make sense of Carolyn Goodman’s “victory” speech last night/this morning. (Sorry, but I can’t embed it here.)

    And in case that wasn’t crazy enough, check out the brouhaha brewing in North Las Vegas! And now that all their races are going to June runoff, there will be even more crazy happening there.

    The fun is only beginning here… 😉

  14. and Klop’s lead down to 204 (since, of course, pros netted 2 votes in Lake Mills). Now we wait for more tabulation errors to be fixed I guess?

  15. We owe Justice Prosser our gratitude for his more than 30 years of public service. Wisconsin voters have spoken and I am grateful for, and humbled by, their confidence and trust. I will be independent and impartial and I will decide cases based on the facts and the law. As I have traveled the State, people tell me they believe partisan politics do not belong in our Courts.  I look forward to bringing new blood to the Supreme Court and focusing my energy on the important work Wisconsin residents elect Supreme Court justices to do.

    http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/

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