New Rasmussen poll on the Alaska Senate race!
Rasmussen: Alaska Senate 4/7, 500 LV, MOE +/-4.5%
Mark Begich (D): 45%
Ted Stevens (R): 46%
Some other candidate: 4%
Not sure: 5%
Lots of pundits were quick to discount last December’s R2K poll for DKos, but they can’t deny it any longer – this race is officially a Tossup.
More recent polls below the flip!
cross-posted from Election Inspection
Latest Senate Polls for 2008:
| State | Incumbent | Poll | Dem Candidate | % | Rep Candidate | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL | Sessions | Rasmussen 4/2 | Figures | 36 | Sessions | 57 |
| AK | Stevens | Rasmussen 4/7 | Begich | 45 | Stevens | 46 |
| CO | Allard | Rasmussen 3/17 | Mark Udall | 46 | Schaffer | 43 |
| GA | Chambliss | Rasmussen 3/20 | Vernon Jones | 30 | Chambliss | 56 |
| GA | Chambliss | Rasmussen 3/20 | Dale Cardwell | 36 | Chambliss | 52 |
| GA | Chambliss | Rasmussen 3/20 | Jim Martin | 33 | Chambliss | 51 |
| ME | Collins | Rasmussen 4/3 | Allen | 38 | Collins | 54 |
| MN | Coleman | Rasmussen 3/19 | Franken | 46 | Coleman | 48 |
| NH | Sununu | ARG 3/14-3/17 | Shaheen | 47 | Sununu | 33 |
| NJ | Lautenberg | Rasmussen 3/27 | Lautenberg | 54 | Joe Pennacchio | 36 |
| NJ | Lautenberg | Rasmussen 3/27 | Lautenberg | 54 | Murray Sabrin | 35 |
| SD | Johnson | Rasmussen 3/4 | Johnson | 63 | Joel Dykstra | 28 |
| TN | Alexander | Rasmussen 4/3 | Bob Tuke | 30 | Alexander | 59 |
| TN | Alexander | Rasmussen 4/3 | Mike Padgett | 31 | Alexander | 58 |
| VA | John Warner | Rasmussen 3/26 | Mark Warner | 55 | Gilmore | 39 |
Today’s new poll is Alaska, where Rasmussen shows a Tossup. Since March, 4 races have been polled as Solid Republican Hold (AL, GA, ME, TN), 2 races are Solid Democratic Hold (NJ, SD), 3 races are Tossups (AK, CO, MN), and 2 races are Solid Democratic Gain. New Mexico hasn’t been polled since February, but it too rates Solid Democratic Gain, while Oregon’s February polls shows it to be Solid Republican Hold at this time. That is regardless of whether Wilson, Pearce, Merkley, or Novick wins their respective primaries. Louisiana has not been polled since December and rated Slight Democratic Hold at that time.
For races where the most recent poll is older than March, check out Election Inspection’s Senate Polls page.
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Last poll there was SUSA from February, and had Obama down by only 5% to McCain.
I agree, Begich can only go up, and Stevens can only go down. You can give him some of the undecided, but I doubt he’ll break 50% anymore.