What’s the 15 LEAST likely Senate seats to flip?

Well, I just posted a joke comment to the Senate Guru’s June Cattle Call (list the 15 most likely Senate seats to flip).  Instead of doing the usual, I decided to list the 15 least likely to flip.

While that was conceived as a joke, I thought…maybe that list is worth something.  So,…

And now for something completely reasonably different: List, in order of “safeness”, the fifteen LEAST likely Senate seats to flip.

My list:

1. Baucus (MT)

2. Reed (RI)

3. Pryor (AR)

4. Biden (DE)

5. Rockefeller (WV)

6. Levin (MI)

7. Durbin (IL)

8. Harkin (IA)

9. Johnson (SD)

10. Kerry (MA)

11. Lautenberg (NJ)

12. Sessions (AL)

13. Cochran (MS)

14. Enzi (WY)

15. Barrasso (WY)

For the record, #16 is Lindsay Graham (SC) and #17 is Lamar Alexander (TN), both of whom follow close behind 15.

7 thoughts on “What’s the 15 LEAST likely Senate seats to flip?”

  1. 1. Pryor (AR)

    2. Reed (RI)  

    3. Biden (DE)

    4. Baucus (MT)

    5. Rockefeller (WV)

    6. Durbin (IL)

    7. Enzi (WY)

    8. Cochran (MS)

    9. Kerry (MA)

    10. Sessions (AL)

    11. Levin (MI)  

    12. Johnson (SD)

    13. Barrasso (WY)

    14. Harkin (IA)

    15. Alexander (TN)

    #16 is Lindsey Graham, #17 is the open seat in Idaho.

  2. a green party candidate. Given that this is Arkansas, I think you could safely put Pryor at #1.

  3. ALL the democratic seats are my list because i think NO democratic seats will change hands(while lots of republican seats will, in my opinion); i know i am cheating here but i just think all the signs currently lead to a democratic wave in the contested senate seats

  4. PRYOR – unopposed, GOP scared of dad’s machine

    REED – unopposed, probably the safest senator ever

    BAUCUS – a 2014 primary challenge is the ticket here

    HARKIN – vs. an absolute nobody

    DURBIN – vs. an unknown doctor

    BIDEN – vs. Christine O’Donnell, a local foxnewsy pundit

    ROCKEFELLER – should be pushing 70% this time

    LEVIN – polls show him pushing 70%

    JOHNSON – vs. a mentally unstable state rep, pushing 70%

    ENZI – vs. unknown college prof, pushing 70%

    COCHRAN – Barack will get unknown Fleming at least 35%

    BARRASSO – vs 1 of 2 unknowns, plenty room for more…

    SESSIONS – Figures overerperforms due to Obama factor

    GRAHAM – they hate this dude, but no one will step up

    KERRY – see above, and approval ratings: invest here, NRSC!

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