Progressive Electorate Prediction Contest

We are having our first election projection contest. The deadline to enter is midnight on Monday November 3. However, I’m going to leave it open till when I get going in the morning for all you that are just seeing this. Please enter your predictions in the comments thread on The Progressive Electorate site only or email them to me at admin@progressiveelectorate.com.

The winner will receive a $25 Amazon Gift Card. 2nd place will receive a $10 Amazon Gift Card. 3rd place will receive a $5 Amazon Gift Card.

Here are the races

1. Missouri Presidential – Obama vs. MCain

2. North Carolina Senate – Hagan (D) vs. Dole (R)

3. Alabama 02 – Bobby Bright (D) vs Jay Love (R)

4. Obama over 45% in Texas – Yes or NO

5. Georgia Senate – Will there be a runoff yes or no?

6. New Mexico 02 – Harry Teague (D) Vs. Ed Tinsley)

7. Washington’s Gov’s Race Gregoire (D) vs. Rossi (R)

8. FLA 25 – Mario Diaz Balart (R) v Joe Garcia (D)

9. At least two Dem incumbents will lose: Yes or No

10. SC 01 – Henry Brown (R incumbent) vs. Linda Ketner (Democrat)

Bonus Question(a): State with largest Obama margin of victory (excluding D.C.)

Bonus Question(b): State with largest McCain margin of Victory

Tie breaker:  Dean Barkley’s percentage of the vote in Minnesota Senate Race

Rules

1. Submissions in the thread or by email to admin@progressiveelectorate.com

2. Submissions received no later than 12 midnight central time on Monday November 03

3. Highest total score wins – 16 total possible points

4. Tiebreaker will apply in case of tie

5. Each race or question valued at 1 point

6. Two bonus questions worth 3 points

7. Progressive Electorate is the official decider or democracy for this contest

Sample entry below

Sample Entry

1. Obama wins Missouri

2. Dole wins NC Senate

3. Bright wins AL-02

4. Obama yes over 45% in Texas

5. No Georgia Runoff

6. Teague wins NM-02

7. Gregoire wins

8   Garcia wins

9.  Yes two Dem incumbents lose

10. Brown wins

Bonus Question a – Illinois

Bonus Question B – Utah

Tie Breaker: Barkley gets 16%