http://www.publicpolicypolling…
I expected Kasich to competitive but to be within single digits is somewhat of a surprise. Strickland is in positive territory with his approvals (+13) but this looks like being a bit of a battle if Kasich pulls the trigger.
“One good piece of news for Strickland is that he gets more support from white voters than Kasich in a hypothetical match up. Any Democrat in Ohio who wins the white vote will easily win statewide. The race is only as close as it is at this point because Strickland gets just 52% of the black vote. Polling far away from an election tends to underestimate African American support for Democratic candidates, and it seems likely Strickland will end up earning closer to 80-90% of the black vote when the election actually comes.”
Let us hope so.
Head to head:
Strickland (D): 45%
Kasich (R): 39%
Stricland Approval: 48/35
Kasich Approval: 34/24
Prior to his 60-37 rout over Blackwell, Strickland had underpolled among black voters on quite a few occasions. He went on to win them with at least 75-80% of the vote. I’m certain it was higher than that, but I have no 2006 electoral breakdowns in front of me.
77-20% in ’06
Here’s the exit poll:
http://us.cnn.com/ELECTION/200…