PINCH HITTER EDITION.
• AR-Sen: A new R2K poll for the Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Democracy For America is yet another bad omen for Democratic Sen. Blanche Lincoln: she’s only beating state Sen. Gilbert Baker by a 41-39 margin.
• NC-Sen: An Elon University poll finds GOP Sen. Richard Burr with crappy re-elects (19-42), while the latest Civitas poll shows Burr leading Democrat Elaine Marshall by 43-33.
• CA-10: In yet another sign that the Democratic base is taking a prolonged ganja break, Democrat John Garamendi, California’s Lt. Governor, is only leading Republican David Harmer by 50-40 in SurveyUSA’s final poll of the race. Obama won this CD by a 65-33 margin last year.
• FL-02: Republicans have added a second challenger to the mix against Blue Dog Allen Boyd. Attorney Charlie Ranson is joining funeral home chain-owner Steve Southerland in the GOP primary.
• NY-23: Under normal circumstances, I would have said that ex-Gov. George Pataki was breaking ranks by endorsing Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman over Republican DeDe Scozzafava, but considering that RNC Chair Michael Steele came out today tacitly cheering Hoffman on, it seems that the GOP establishment itself is leaving Scozzafava out in the cold. Democrats, meanwhile, have deployed Joe Biden to campaign with Bill Owens in South Memphis Watertown on Monday.
• VA-05: The GOP field taking on frosh Dem Rep. Tom Perriello has gotten a little bit slimmer today, as “grassroots” candidate Bradley Rees is attempting to switch his candidacy over to the Virginia Conservative Party ticket. In any event, get a good look at this guy’s mug.
• SC-Gov: GOP Lt. Gov. Andre Bauer, a guy with few friends in the Republican establishment, has just opened up a gubernatorial campaign account. I guess we can expect a formal announcement soon.
• Congress: Tons of lawmakers, including quite a few in bright blue jumpsuits, are under investigation for ethical misconduct.
• Midterms: Joe Lieberman is still an asshole, in case you have forgotten. The Rave Master himself says that he expects to share some of his Joementum with GOP candidates next year through his personal endorsement.
• Voting: Chuck Schumer’s legislation mandating that military and overseas voters get at least 45 days to return their ballots came into force as part of the defense spending bill that President Obama signed into law on Wednesday. As we noted previously, this could force a number of states to push their primaries earlier. Green Papers has a list of potentially affected states. (D)
I rather like our chances against Bauer. This is a definite sleeper race. Combined with GA-Gov and AL-Gov, there are three deep South governor contests where everyone seems to expect the Republican to win yet they have terrible candidates.
If we manage to snag FL-Gov as well, the map may look very different in 2010.
as any ‘ganja break’.
What we don’t need is yet another retread to bore the base into a coma, especially one who is viewed as part of the Sacramento cesspool.
This guy must have been emboldened by Hoffman right? Let the right wing, third party games continue. I love it!
There will be 4 (not 3 or 2) big elections on Election Day:
CA-10 (don’t forget to include this one)
NY-23
NJ-Gov
VA-Gov
If the Dems win 3 out of these 4 then we can claim the Dems won Election Day.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/…
http://www.watertowndailytimes…
It should be released at http://www.siena.edu/sri
Hopefully Hoffman has peaked – otherwise I don’t think Biden would be up there (instead of South NJ – where I’d get Biden to campaign if I were Jon Corzine.)
http://www.surveyusa.com/clien…
Once again, the internals are rather odd; if Thompson’s ahead by 6 in Brooklyn, he should be ahead by 6 in Manhattan, winning by 15 in The Bronx and only losing the overall election by a few points.