This is the biggest story coming out of the most recent fundraising numbers on the House Side. While Tom Cole and NRCC huff and puff about how they plan to blow our house down. We have got the finest brick house in the land. Ignoring, for a second, the fact that the DCCC and DSCC are both taking their counterparts to school or that the Democratic Presidential are out raising their Republican counterparts by huge sums with even more in the bank, you can not possibly win races any races without candidates. It is on the count of funded challengers where Democrats in the House are destroying their Republican opponents. As of June 30th the Democrats have twenty-four Republican held districts with candidates with $100,000 or more cash on hand. This compares to only nine such districts for Republicans. For a deeper analysis of this nearly 3-1 advantage follow the jump.
Eight of nine districts are held by seats Republicans lost in 2006. They have one well funded challengers to long term Democrats and that is the GA 8 seat which was redraw and produced and squeaker in 06. When dissecting even further you see that of the 9 challenger race they do have, three are re-runs. For those doing math, that means six new challenger districts with new challengers. The Democrats have twenty four such districts with 100,000 cash on hand. It is true we have nine re-runs within the amount of cash that says they are ready to compete, but eight of whom finished within six points of their Republican incumbents last cycle. Even when removing reruns and focusing only on new candidates, it is clear that the fifteen new Democrats still far outpaces the only six new Republicans. While it is still quite early, the prospects for Democratic gains have to far out-way the chance of Republicans to regain. To close out here is the list of Democrats followed by the list of Republicans.
Democratic Challengers with 100,000
AZ 3 Bob Lord
CA 4Charlie Brown
CA 26 Russ Warner Hoyt Hillsman
CO 4 Angie Pacione
CT 4 Jim Himes
FL 8 Mike Smith
FL 9 Bill Mitchell
IA 4Selden Spencer
IL 10 Footlik Seals
IL 14 Bill Foster
IN 3 Michael Montagano
MI 7David Nacht
MO 6 Kay Barnes
NC 8 Larry Kissell
NM 1Martin Heinrich
NM 2Bill McCamley
NY 25 Dan Maffei
NY 26 Jon Powers
NY 29 Eric Massa, David Nachbar
OH 1 Steve Dreihaus
OH 2, Vic Wulsin, Steve Black
OH 16 John Boccieri
TX 10 Larry Joe Doherty Dan Grant
WA 8 Darcy Burner
Republicans with $ 100,000
CA 11 Dean Andal
CT 5 David Cappiello
Fl 16[3]
GA 8 Richard Goddard
KS [2] [Jim Ryun re-run]
NH 1 Jeb Bradley
NY 19 Andrew Saul
NY 20 [2]
TX 22 Shelly Sekula Gibbs
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