PPP (pdf) (2/19-21, likely voters, 2/4-7 in parentheses)
Rick Perry (R-inc): 40 (39)
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 31 (28)
Debra Medina (R): 20 (24)
Undecided: 9 (10)Rick Perry (R-inc): 52
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 35
Undecided: 13Rick Perry (R-inc): 55
Debra Medina (R): 36
Undecided: 9
(MoE: ±5.2%)Bill White (D): 59 (49)
Farouk Shami (D): 12 (19)
Undecided: 18 (24)
(MoE: ±4.9%)
PPP has another look at the primary fields in the Texas governor’s race, with election day fast-approaching on March 2. Most notably, they find that Debra Medina’s surge, which they were the first to show a few weeks ago, seems to have peaked and eased off. A lot of that, one would expect, is probably a result of her 9/11 truther inclinations having come out via a sandbagging from Glenn Beck, of all places. There’s a corresponding gain for Kay Bailey Hutchison, suggesting that there was a chunk of not-voting-for-Perry-under-any-circumstances voters who liked Medina’s freshness but switched to the insidery KBH once Medina’s kookiness came to the surface. Although the race looks to be headed to a runoff anyway, Rick Perry looks poised to win against either opponent. (Chris Cillizza has a thoughtful piece today on what went wrong with the once-promising KBH campaign. Shorter version: KBH’s lack of an overriding reason to fire Perry (other than “it’s my turn”) and her focus on genteel general election themes in a primary with a red-meat-hungry base.)
Waiting in the wings for Perry is Democratic former Houston mayor Bill White, who looks to be building support (as Farouk Shami’s novelty wears off). White is clearly gearing up for an expensive general, and has been going nuts on the fundraising front, just releasing numbers indicating that he raised $2.2 million in the most recent reporting period (ending Feb. 20), leaving him with $5.4 million CoH.
RaceTracker Wiki: TX-Gov
The PPP only shows that a runoff is eminent. Conservatives have the upper hand and will determine who will be in the runoff. If you want to ensure the most conservative candidates are in, vote Medina.
I know Debra personally, and she is NOT a truther. Here is a recent interview on the topic. http://www.bit.ly/bt8W1M
Go to her web site and find out more about her. Don’t listen to rumors and spin, do your own research. http://medinafortexas.com
Jennifer Asper
Can White use the money he raised for the Senate race in his run for Governor? Or is that money lost to him now?
I was hoping for a Perry v. Medina run off. That would be a right-wing conservative run-off for the record book! Bill White has a true shot and picking up the Texas Governorship in a year which has already been called for the Republicans would be big for the Democrats.