Predictions Thread

Polls close in less than an hour in select locations, so let’s hear some predictions! Can Bill McCollum beat free-spending Rick Scott by virtue of being less unlikeable in the Florida governor’s race? Can Jeff Greene sail his vomit-covered yacht through the rapidly closing window in the Florida Senate race? Can J.D. Hayworth help you get free government grant money?

Closing times tonight:

Florida: 7 pm ET (except: 7 pm CT/8 pm ET in the Panhandle)

Vermont: 7 pm ET

Oklahoma: 7 pm CT/8 pm ET

Arizona: 7 pm MST/10 pm ET

Alaska: 8 pm local/midnight ET (except: 8 pm local/1 am ET in the Aleutians)

33 thoughts on “Predictions Thread”

  1. FL-Gov: McCollum 53%, Scott 47%

    FL-Sen: Meek 58%, Greene 32%, Other 10%

    FL-2: Boyd 63%, Lawson 37%

    FL-8: Webster wins by at least 5%.

    FL-24: Miller wins.

    AZ-Sen: McCain 72%, Hayworth 28%.

    AZ-3: Vernon Parker wins.

    AZ-5: Schweikert wins.

    AZ-8: Kelly wins

    VT-Gov: Markowitz wins.

  2. However, these predictions are for only races I care about:

    FL-GOP-Gubby: I wish a different result but Scott peaked too early and got exposed for the crook he is, so:

    McCollum- 55%

    Scott – 45%

    FL-Dem-Senny: Ditto GOP-Gubby but Greene is an even slimer slime ball than Scott and worse, he ran a shitty campaign anyway even though he could have buried Meek since the latter was completely unknown.

    Meek – 60%

    Greene – 40%

    AZ-GOP-Senny: Hayworth, someone even more distasteful than Scott and Greene combined, except he is a huckstering loudmouth bitchass, will go down in flames as McCain completely annihilates him with militant force, you kind feel sorry for the Hayworth da Slim-Fast Huckster (not).

    McCain: 65%

    Hayworth: 35%

    Other AZ races: Quayle comes third, and I can’t remeber who else is running in the rest of the races.

    Oh, last one:

    AL-GOP-Senny: Palm face Palin has less influence in Alaska than even she or the media realizes. Murkowski bitchslapps Miller back to the Ice Age.

    Murkowski-70%

    Miller-30%  

  3. i’m saying this disclaimer once: I had a dubie internship, that ended because school is starting.

    VT-GOV

    Shumlin 32%

    FL-Gov

    MC 52%

    Meek 55%

    AZ mccain 58%

    AK Murkowski 67%

  4. I should not even try but I will anyway. I am going to say McCain wins by a somewhat close margin of 57-43. I am going to say Glassman loses to what’s his name? I am going to say that Murkowski wins by a margin of 52-48. Against wisdom but be bold or go home. Florida, Greene pulls an upset and wins by a couple of points. McCollum survives by a small 51-49 margin. I think the LG loses the AG race if that makes since and I think Boyd wins by a 60-40 margin. I am also going to say Quayle loses, I know little about the race so I am just making the ever bold prediction that he goes down. I am not about to shed a tear for the privileged sob either. To Vermont, I will say the SoS but I am just guessing.  

  5. Is like being the most smartest model.

    I suck at predictions when I know little about the state(s) involved. But what the hell:

    FL-Gov:

    The RentBoy AG: 55%

    Evil Rich Dude: 45%

    FL-Sen:

    Meek: 48%

    Greene: 38%

    Ferre: 7%

    Others: 7%

    AK-Sen:

    Murkowski: 64%

    Miller: 36%

    AZ-Sen:

    Walnuts! – 62%

    Just Plain Nuts – 38%

    FL-Dem Primary

    Boyd: 60%

    Lawson: 40%

    I’m kinda meh on all the other races, so I’ll just leave it there.

  6. but I have company coming over soon so I won’t be checking in till fairly late. Hopefully there will still be some action then.

    I don’t really feel well informed enough to make predictions so I will just say that tonight will be great news for John McCain. Also because it would result in great lulz I will predict a Susan Bitter Smith victory in AZ-05 (R), even though that’s impossible because of the pure amount of win it would be made out of.

  7. Alaska: Parnell, Berkowitz, Murkowski, McAdams

    Arizona: McCain, Glassman, Gosar, Moak, Ward, Paton

    Florida: McCollum, Meek, Boyd/Southerland, O’Donoghue, Moise, Miller

    Oklahoma: Thompson, Lankford

    Vermont: Markowitz

  8. jaw strength.

    Take a look at that dude sometime, especially from the impeachment era. He looks like he could just, like, bite the cover off a baseball.  

  9. Not predicting without an incentive.

    Never do anything you’re good at for free. Good thing I’m a lousy lay.

  10. … for results in Florida. IIRC they don’t release any results until all the polls in the State have closed.

  11.   Why would anyone vote for him?  He’s a socialist and former Buchanan supporter.  That’s just weird.

  12. Rubio, Meek in Florida

    McCain in Arizona (Seeing Hayworth would call for celebratory gunfire if I lived in some distant land)

    Murkowski will lay the smack down and show Wasilla’s Village Idiot whose boss.

  13. From the Primary preview thread:

    PRedictions

    With all the super crowded house primaries, I will not do all house races.

    AZ-Sen:

    McCain: 64

    Hayworth: 30

    Deakin: 6

    AZ-03

    Moak

    Parker

    Crump

    Gorman

    Quayle

    the rest

    I guess the winner wins with around 20%, or less.

    AZ-08

    Kelly: 54

    Paton: 45

    Fl-Gov:

    Scott: 51

    McCollum: 49

    Scott with late momentum, also hoping to put the GOPVoter curse on him.

    Fl-Sen

    Meek: 54

    Greene: 37

    Ferre: 6

    other: 3

    Fl-02

    Boyd: 60

    Lawson: 40

    Hoping the GOPVoter curse strikes twice in FL!

    Fl-05

    I think Nugent faces some backlash for being the handpicked candidate.

    Nugent: 55

    Sager: 45

    Probably wrong.  

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