How did you use your extra hour today? I’m going to use mine right here by rounding up various House race flotsam and jetsam from the past several days.
- FL-10: Bring ’em to Justice? At a recent Young Democrats breakfast in Florida, Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz announced that State Senator Charlie Justice (D), the man whose name is most often mentioned as a potential opponent for crumb-bum Republican Rep. Bill Young, may have “big news” to announce soon.
When pressed for comment, Justice told the St. Petersburg Times that: “If [Young] retires, the seat hasn’t been open in 40 years, everyone should take a good look at it. Am I looking at it? Absolutely. Does that mean 100 percent that I’m going to run? No, but it’s pretty darn close.”
The Times keeps hearing rumors that Young will step down and that his wife will run in his place. With a PVI of D+1, this would be one of the hottest takeover opportunities for Democrats next year. I don’t have their sources, but by reading the tea leaves, I suspect that Young will have some “big news” of his own to share soon.
- AK-AL: Speaking of crumb-bums named Young, the Defenders of Wildlife are up on the airwaves in Alaska, hitting scandal-tainted Rep. Don Young (R) hard. Let’s hope we can make a Pombo out of Young.
- NC-09: Remember Harry Taylor, the man who shocked a Republican-friendly audience when he told President Bush, face-to-face at a PR event, that “I would hope from time to time that you have the humility and the grace to be ashamed of yourself”?
Well, he’s now running for Congress against Rep. Sue Myrick (R). I welcome the courage that Taylor will bring to this R+12.2 district.
- IN-07: With Democratic Rep. Julia Carson’s health concerns continuing to affect her House attendance (she’s on medical leave until December 15), it looks like Republicans are trying to tap into their minimal bench in Indianapolis in order to pounce on the opportunity. In the 11/5 issue of Indiana Daily Insight (subscription required), it is reported that freshman state Rep. Jon Elrod (R) is “seriously considering” a bid against her. Blue Indiana has more on Elrod, and welcomes the opportunity that his open legislative seat could bring. Could Elrod scare Carson into a retirement? Without one, this heavily Democratic seat (with a PVI of D+8.7) won’t be safe.
- WY-AL: If Barbara Cubin is planning on running again, she’ll be facing a crowded primary. Retired Naval officer Bill Winney, who mounted an underfunded long-shot primary challenge to Cubin in 2006 and walked away from it with 40% of the vote, is running again. However, Winney wouldn’t be the only challenger on the ballot: Swede Nelson, a motivational speaker and teacher, is also running, and state Rep. Colin Simpson said earlier in the year that he planned on challenging Cubin for the nomination if she ran again.
If Cubin decides to run again, her only chance of survival is having the anti-incumbent vote split between several different options. Her stock has sunk so low, that I would bet that she’d be in danger of losing a head-to-head match up against even an unknown like Winney. Sadly for us, I strongly suspect that Cubin will hang up her spurs and broomstick.
UPDATE (David):
- MD-04: The netroots fundraiser for Donna Edwards has been a huge success so far. We’ve blasted past our intial goal of 4,000 total donors to Donna (we’re at 4,250, in fact). We’ve also raised around $75,000 so far. We’re hoping to hit an even $100,000, so if you can help make it happen, please do so.
- Illinois: The filing deadline in the Praire State is tomorrow, Nov. 5th. Illinois has the first Congressional primaries in the nation, on Feb. 5th, so it’s no surprise that their filing deadline is so soon. Diarist benawu informs us that IL Dems look to be fielding challengers in all districts except the 15th. We’ll know the final shape of our field tomorrow.
Ugh, that’s all that needs to be said. Perfect example of a politician looking out solely for their own interests instead of their constituents.
Why doesnt someone give her a primary challenge? She would probably lose wouldn’t she? Would a primary challenge, if unsuccessful, then make her even more soft for the general and thus we could lose the seat?
http://mnpublius.com…
Our candidate is launching her campaign tomorrow. A year from then she will be Rep. elect Terri Bonoff
for Carson to retire. She is hurting the party when she recklessly puts a safe seat in play like she will do if she decides to run for reelection.
As for Maryland, congratulations Edwards on the EMILY’S list endorsement, and the blogosphere push to fight Pelosi’s fundraiser for Wynn, the moderate in a progressive-liberal’s district.
And… I can’t wait for us to stick a serious challenger in Florida-10. I expect us to pick it up if we do and Young retires.
It will be interesting to see what tomorrows filings bring. I went and had a look at the Dem 15th website as well as most of the county party websites. A very depressing journey. NONE of them are up to date, in fact most haven’t been updated since the midterms or before.
So not a sniff of a candidate in the wind, not a good sign at all and I am pretty sure that 2006 nominee David Gill is not running again.
hhhhmmmmmm
State Sen. Steve Stivers (alliterative!) is going to run against Mary Jo Kilroy for Pryce’s old seat. That makes it more like a tossup, less like a sure pickup.
Illinois filing has now closed and we have a full congressional slate vs 5 of ours with no Repub opponent. WOW