MO-Gov: Blowout; SSP Moves to “Likely Dem”

SurveyUSA (10/11-12, likely voters, 9/23-24 in parens):

Jay Nixon (D): 56 (54)

Kenny Hulshof (R): 34 (37)

Andrew Finkenstadt (L): 4 (2)

Gregory Thompson (CP): 2 (2)

(MoE: ±4.2%)

At some point, we may have to invoke the SSP Mercy Rule on this race; with three weeks left and Nixon up by 22, it seems we can safely close the book on this race and put it on the shelf next to the Virginia senate race. Nixon leads in every region of the state, even the bible-thumping Southwest; he leads among gun owners and regular church goers. Add to this the knowledge that Hulshof, short on money, is drawing down his TV ad campaign (h/t RandySF).

Bear in mind this is the same sample that gives Obama a probably too-good-to-be-true lead in Missouri of 51-43. Even if it’s an overly optimistic sample, though, this isn’t the kind of deficit anyone comes back from.

UPDATE: Swing State Project has upgraded this race to Likely Democratic.