This is fascinating. A new Mason-Dixon poll for the Casper Star-Tribune has found the exact same result as yesterday’s fresh R2K poll: Trauner 44, Lummis 43.
A single percentage point is all that separates the Democrat from the Republican in the race for Wyoming’s lone U.S. House seat, a new Casper Star-Tribune poll shows.
Democrat Gary Trauner of Wilson leads Republican Cynthia Lummis of Cheyenne 44 percent to 43 percent, respectively, the poll shows.
…
Of those undecided voters, 75 percent are Republicans, 16 percent are Democrats and 9 percent are independents, which probably bodes well for Lummis, they said.
This new poll shows that Trauner and Lummis are basically tied. Additionally, unlike R2K, Mason-Dixon included the libertarian candidate in the poll, with him registering four percent.
Like R2K, M-D found that most of the undecided voters are Republicans. This will certainly make Trauner’s mission a hard one. Still, that so many GOPers in Wyoming are conflicted in just this race gives Trauner a shot to pull this out. Additionally, the strong showing by the libertarian is helpful for Gary.
Gary Trauner is in this. As the article notes, in the M-D poll at this time in 2006, Trauner was seven points behind Barbara Cubin. Today, he is one point up, and working hard to close the deal with many staunch Republicans. He might just do it.
But didn’t Trauner do quite well among republicans in 06? They always go repub on president, but might break down ballot.