PVI’s arent offically out but some numbers are available (CT, VA)
However it is easy to figure out by looking at vote by county and which county’s went for Obama or McCain.
For example. Shea Porter’s district had a PVI of R+1 or +2
but Obama carried each district and so logically this will flip it to a D+2,3 4 etc.
NY 19th,
NV 2nd
Disctricts held by republicans or Democrats which were split down will see huge flips soon letting to rest all the talk about “red” districts
What the PVI does is take a district’s vote and compares it to the nation at large.
For example, if you wanted to look at what Virginia’s PVI is, you would look at how Democratic it went compared to the rest of the country for the last two elections:
Republican presidential candidates George Bush and John McCain got 51% and 46% of the popular vote respectively, while they got 54% and 47% of the vote in Virginia. Adding up 51 and 46 and dividing by 2 gives you 48.5 (the average vote that George Bush and John McCain got nationally), while they got, averaged out, 50.5% of the vote in Virginia (1.5% higher than the average Republican margin). That means that, even though Obama won Virginia, the state’s PVI is R+1.5 (Virginia is 1.5 points more Republican than the rest of the country).
will definitely flip. Obama won Winchester by an eye-popping 63%. The only places he really under performed where Onondaga and Oneida.
So everyone else upthread already clarified the matter of PVI meaning how much MORE Democratic or Republican (on a Presidential level) the district is from the nation as a whole.
I’d like to see district numbers on how they voted on state initiatives. These can also help us determine how socially progressive &/or economically progressive these districts really are. Is this possible?