Sonny Perdue being term-limited is beginning the set off a chain reaction. Attorney General, Lieutenant Governor, Insurance Commissioner, and Secretary of State are running for his job. Labor Commissioner is possibly running for Governor or Lieutenant Governor. State legislators are running for these open seats, some leaving behind possibly competitive districts.
Today’s Iowa Supreme Court ruling allowing same-sex marriage heightens the importance of the 2010 state legislative elections. In Iowa a constitutional amendment has to be approved by both chambers in two separate legislative sessions before it can get on the ballot. For now Democratic legislative leaders seem committed to blocking any amendment designed to overturn the Supreme Court ruling during the 2010 session.
I asked how the NY democratic politicians helped Murphy in this election (other than the 2 senators). I learned that Eric Massa has done some phonebanking for him. Whao!!!
Did they really want Murphy in congress? Paterson was understandably absent. No Suozzi. No Bill Clinton. And no D congressmen/women.
He may have fared better if he asked the bluedogs to help him. At least 2 of them campaigned for Travis Childers.
2. CT senate – My posts on Dodd over the last couple of months annoyed some readers. Now I see the realization that we have to lump it. Dodd has the potential to be a huge albatross in 2010. His own election is not guaranteed. I hope the heat on him increases until we know how he plans to change this.
3. Evan Bayh – The Guardian (a UK newspaper) asked in their US section, if the senator is positioning himself for the 2016 elction with his budget vote.
4. MA gov – Polls tell us that Deval patrick is in trouble. I expressed my concerns here a few times last year. One bright reader pointed out that Deval Patrick was not going to run in 2008. I knew that. The sooner we start paying attention to these cases the better.
How did Patrick get elected? The answers are
1. On merit
2. A collective remorse that historically the Celtics did not play more African-American players.
3. The voters were tired of Republican governors.
4. All of the above.
During his first months in office, Patrick left few stones unturned to prove Answer 1 wrong. He also managed to become deeply unpopular. Even Geithner could not bungle so skillfully.
5. Health secretary – I cannot get over the fact that Obama could not find anyone qualified (and confirmable) other than the KS gov. Is our bench that thin? Ditto for the Arizona gov.
Corzine has a tough race ahead of him and it could take out some sitting Assemblymembers. Hopefully this community can help in jersey. The only state that hasn’t elected a statewide republican in ten years. lets keep it that way
I think too much attention is being paid to the East Coast by people on this site, I think California is ripe for the taking due to a very changing demographic. Obama took many of the Congressional districts that neither Gore nor Kerry took. Now, while I am not even pretending that these are now ‘Democrat Districts,’ hardly in fact, as I’ve been to most of these places… The amazing thing with California, if you go 50 miles away from the ocean, its almost closer to Alabama than California.
Even more importantly, if these seats are taken by Democratic challengers, if the state house decides to continue the incumbent protection scheme that it used in 2002, by 2012, we could have a much safer Democratic Congressional Delegation from California.
The districts that should be at LEAST targetted with as good of candidates that we can field, and I know some good people have already stepped up.
Top possibilities for Democratic success:
CA-3: Lungren
CA-26: Drier
CA-48: Campbell
CA-44: Young
CA-50: Bilbray
Districts that we have a better chance than most of us would have expected a few years ago:
CA-24: Gallegly
CA-25: McKeon
CA-45: Bono-Mack
CA-46: Rohrabacher
Rohrabacher is a stretch, but man, that guy is an idiot, I’d like to see him go down. lol We have a decent shot in at least 5 districts, and an uphill, but not impossible chance in 3-4 more. Currently Democrats have a 34 to 19 seat majority in my states delegation. With effort, we could move that a great deal closer to 40! As I said, these seats could easily be made safer in the future, after redistricting. The possibilities are endless haha
still.
Then it’ll be my local town and county campaigns here in 2009. We’re looking to take control of both the local town board and the county legislature this year.
Carla Marinucci reports this morning that John Campbell’s District in Orange County, which President Obama carried by 2,600 votes, will be one of eight seats in California targeted by the national DCCC.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign committee has already started to spend money in Ken Calvert’s Congressional District, where Bill Hedrick turned in surprisingly good results in 2008.
But it’s amazing to see Beth Krom emerge as a strong candidate in a district that was 52.7% Republican in 2002, with the possibility of national support.
As Marinucci says,”Republican numbers in California are falling precipitously, even in the historically strongest bastions of GOP voters“.
Since 2002, Republican registration in the 48th Congressional district has slipped by 7.81%.
Of the 85,897 net new voters, only 12.8% have been Republicans, with 37.1% Democrats, and a whopping 50.5% registering as decline to state or independent. Those independents voted for Obama, and may be disinclined to support an obstructionist like Campbell, who votes consistently against the interests of the overwhelmingly middle-class constituents in his district.
where the Democrat is too conservative for the district.
A start on such a list:
Senate:
Carper of DE
Salazar of CO
Casey of PA
and, of course, Lieberloser
House (partial list)
Cardoza (CA-18)
Costa (CA-20)
Klein (FL-22)
Perlmutter (CO-7)
Bean (IL-8)
Barrow (GA-12)
This thread took like half an hour to read.
Actually, more like a full hour.
I mean people know that Tom Cruise is a crazy scientologist, but that won’t stop people thinking he’s a great actor…
and he’s a right-winger, but he’s not batshit crazy
For the first time this year I’m disappointed with my Rep. Suzanne Kosmas’s vote. She voted against the budget. And she’s one of only 2 or 3 non-Blue Dogs to do so. Oh well, it still passed easily.
I’m just interested in the 139 Congressional House Repubs who don’t yet have confirmed Democratic candidates!
Apparently Murphy just picked up 198 votes: http://www.thealbanyproject.co…
Sonny Perdue being term-limited is beginning the set off a chain reaction. Attorney General, Lieutenant Governor, Insurance Commissioner, and Secretary of State are running for his job. Labor Commissioner is possibly running for Governor or Lieutenant Governor. State legislators are running for these open seats, some leaving behind possibly competitive districts.
A few days ago I was a respondent for a big Republican survey on the 2010 Iowa gubernatorial race. I took detailed notes and wrote them up at Bleeding Heartland.
Today’s Iowa Supreme Court ruling allowing same-sex marriage heightens the importance of the 2010 state legislative elections. In Iowa a constitutional amendment has to be approved by both chambers in two separate legislative sessions before it can get on the ballot. For now Democratic legislative leaders seem committed to blocking any amendment designed to overturn the Supreme Court ruling during the 2010 session.
I asked how the NY democratic politicians helped Murphy in this election (other than the 2 senators). I learned that Eric Massa has done some phonebanking for him. Whao!!!
Did they really want Murphy in congress? Paterson was understandably absent. No Suozzi. No Bill Clinton. And no D congressmen/women.
He may have fared better if he asked the bluedogs to help him. At least 2 of them campaigned for Travis Childers.
2. CT senate – My posts on Dodd over the last couple of months annoyed some readers. Now I see the realization that we have to lump it. Dodd has the potential to be a huge albatross in 2010. His own election is not guaranteed. I hope the heat on him increases until we know how he plans to change this.
3. Evan Bayh – The Guardian (a UK newspaper) asked in their US section, if the senator is positioning himself for the 2016 elction with his budget vote.
4. MA gov – Polls tell us that Deval patrick is in trouble. I expressed my concerns here a few times last year. One bright reader pointed out that Deval Patrick was not going to run in 2008. I knew that. The sooner we start paying attention to these cases the better.
How did Patrick get elected? The answers are
1. On merit
2. A collective remorse that historically the Celtics did not play more African-American players.
3. The voters were tired of Republican governors.
4. All of the above.
During his first months in office, Patrick left few stones unturned to prove Answer 1 wrong. He also managed to become deeply unpopular. Even Geithner could not bungle so skillfully.
5. Health secretary – I cannot get over the fact that Obama could not find anyone qualified (and confirmable) other than the KS gov. Is our bench that thin? Ditto for the Arizona gov.
Corzine has a tough race ahead of him and it could take out some sitting Assemblymembers. Hopefully this community can help in jersey. The only state that hasn’t elected a statewide republican in ten years. lets keep it that way
I think too much attention is being paid to the East Coast by people on this site, I think California is ripe for the taking due to a very changing demographic. Obama took many of the Congressional districts that neither Gore nor Kerry took. Now, while I am not even pretending that these are now ‘Democrat Districts,’ hardly in fact, as I’ve been to most of these places… The amazing thing with California, if you go 50 miles away from the ocean, its almost closer to Alabama than California.
Even more importantly, if these seats are taken by Democratic challengers, if the state house decides to continue the incumbent protection scheme that it used in 2002, by 2012, we could have a much safer Democratic Congressional Delegation from California.
The districts that should be at LEAST targetted with as good of candidates that we can field, and I know some good people have already stepped up.
Top possibilities for Democratic success:
CA-3: Lungren
CA-26: Drier
CA-48: Campbell
CA-44: Young
CA-50: Bilbray
Districts that we have a better chance than most of us would have expected a few years ago:
CA-24: Gallegly
CA-25: McKeon
CA-45: Bono-Mack
CA-46: Rohrabacher
Rohrabacher is a stretch, but man, that guy is an idiot, I’d like to see him go down. lol We have a decent shot in at least 5 districts, and an uphill, but not impossible chance in 3-4 more. Currently Democrats have a 34 to 19 seat majority in my states delegation. With effort, we could move that a great deal closer to 40! As I said, these seats could easily be made safer in the future, after redistricting. The possibilities are endless haha
still.
Then it’ll be my local town and county campaigns here in 2009. We’re looking to take control of both the local town board and the county legislature this year.
Time enough to worry about 2010.
This is a local year.
(Crossposted from Orange County Progressive)
Carla Marinucci reports this morning that John Campbell’s District in Orange County, which President Obama carried by 2,600 votes, will be one of eight seats in California targeted by the national DCCC.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign committee has already started to spend money in Ken Calvert’s Congressional District, where Bill Hedrick turned in surprisingly good results in 2008.
But it’s amazing to see Beth Krom emerge as a strong candidate in a district that was 52.7% Republican in 2002, with the possibility of national support.
As Marinucci says,”Republican numbers in California are falling precipitously, even in the historically strongest bastions of GOP voters“.
Since 2002, Republican registration in the 48th Congressional district has slipped by 7.81%.
Of the 85,897 net new voters, only 12.8% have been Republicans, with 37.1% Democrats, and a whopping 50.5% registering as decline to state or independent. Those independents voted for Obama, and may be disinclined to support an obstructionist like Campbell, who votes consistently against the interests of the overwhelmingly middle-class constituents in his district.
where the Democrat is too conservative for the district.
A start on such a list:
Senate:
Carper of DE
Salazar of CO
Casey of PA
and, of course, Lieberloser
House (partial list)
Cardoza (CA-18)
Costa (CA-20)
Klein (FL-22)
Perlmutter (CO-7)
Bean (IL-8)
Barrow (GA-12)
This thread took like half an hour to read.
Actually, more like a full hour.
I mean people know that Tom Cruise is a crazy scientologist, but that won’t stop people thinking he’s a great actor…
and he’s a right-winger, but he’s not batshit crazy
For the first time this year I’m disappointed with my Rep. Suzanne Kosmas’s vote. She voted against the budget. And she’s one of only 2 or 3 non-Blue Dogs to do so. Oh well, it still passed easily.
I’m just interested in the 139 Congressional House Repubs who don’t yet have confirmed Democratic candidates!