NY-20: Adios Tedisco . . . Almost

I know Nate Silver already handled the math this morning as it pertains to the NY-20 race but here is an update from the NY BOE:

http://www.elections.state.ny….

For those of you who like it quick and dirty at Tedisco, the latest tally after Saratoga and Washington has Murphy by 86 votes.

All that is left it looks like is some counting left to do of absentees in Dutchess, Warren and Columbia (all Murphy counties on election night and in the absentees thus far) plus a small amount of military and overseas ballots in Columbia, Dutchess, Essex and Rensselear (all Murphy counties again on election day except Rensselear where Murphy has won in the absentee count so far anyway).

With an overwhelming majority of challenged ballots being from the Tedisco campaign and NOT included in these numbers, the math is looking awfully difficult now for Tedisco.  It looks like Murphy will finish the paper ballot count ~100 votes ahead.  Barring a judicial catastrophe I dont see how Murphy loses this one.  

86 thoughts on “NY-20: Adios Tedisco . . . Almost”

  1. I could hardly believe anything that big.

    But now with the news of Thedisco’s pathetic pickup in Saratoga, AND the news of most of his 1200+ challenges being tossed by a judge (conservative even):

    http://www.thealbanyproject.co

    I feel much better.

    Tell the fat lady to warm up her vocal cords, ’cause this one is looking good.

  2. Silver is probably on the mark estimating a 500-600 vote win for Murphy.  Tedisco underperformed badly in absentees and his frivolous challenges are obscuring the true Murphy lead (just the same as Norm Coleman’s).

    Murphy is probably going to hold that seat for a long time.  This was the best chance the GOP had at taking it back.

    Anyway, I wonder when we’re going to take Rep. John McHugh (NY-23) out.  Obama won his district 52-47.  On paper it should be an easier win than Peter King or freshman Chris Lee, both of whom have districts that McCain narrowly won.

  3. What hasn’t gotten enough attention in this race is the fact that Tedisco’s antics were supported and facilitated by Republican officials at the various Board of Elections offices in the District.  When an absentee ballot is about to be opened and counted, either campaign can challenge it, and then the Democratic and Republican election commissioners vote to either sustain or overrule the challenge.  The Tedisco people were challenging something like 60% of the absentees in precincts they assumed were not favorable to their chances, hoping that they could take those ballots to court and find a friendly judge to toss the challenged ballots out of the pool of absentees.  The only way this scam could work is if the GOP officials at BOE sustained all of his bullshit objections to perfectly legitimate votes.  The reprehensible conduct of Republican election commissioners needs to be exposed for what it is.

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