• PA-Sen: The founder of the PA chapter of the Club for Growth has called on Pat Toomey to drop out (!), saying that he’s too conservative for Pennsylvania. (No shit.) The Toomey camp fired back with some mostly non-responsive B.S. (D)
• CA-Gov: San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom made the official leap from exploring the California governor’s race to being an officially announced candidate yesterday. He joins Lt. Gov. John Garamendi as the only formal candidates in the race, although Garamendi’s campaign is on hold while he pursues the CA-10 special election.
• CA-Sen: The California GOP has lined up a “strong second choice” to challenge Barbara Boxer if ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina doesn’t get in the race. African-American talk radio host Larry Elder, who was on Los Angeles’s KABC for 15 years, is meeting with GOP officials, but still sidelined while waiting for Fiorina. (The pro-choice, pro-pot legalization Elder is very much from the libertarian wing of the party.) Assemblyman Chuck Devore is already officially a candidate, but the party seems unenthused about his odds.
• NC-Sen, NC-07: Dem Rep. Mike McIntyre says that his re-election to the House is his current “concentration”, but when asked if he’s considering a Senate bid, McIntyre told a local ABC affiliate that “you never say never to anything.” A recent PPP poll had McIntyre trailing Richard Burr by only five points. (J)
• TN-09: Rep. Steve Cohen, as a white Jewish man representing a mostly African-American district, is going to always be vulnerable to primary challenges (as seen with last year’s mudfest with Nikki Tinker). It looks like he’ll be facing a serious test this year, as Memphis mayor Willie Herenton has formed an exploratory committee for the House race. Herenton is African-American and has been mayor since 1991, elected five times. On the other hand, there may be some Herenton fatigue going on in this district, as he is under federal investigation, was re-elected most recently with less than 50% of the vote, and announced his resignation in 2008 only to withdraw it shortly after.
• NY-20: You know it’s over for Jim Tedisco when major Republicans are telling him to pack it in. Yesterday, ex-Rep. Tom Davis said it was over, and today, state senator Betty Little (who lost the special election nomination to Tedisco) and Dan Isaacs (who’s running for state GOP chair) also called for the pulling of the plug. Isaacs is so upset that he’s reduced to making up new words: “Tedisco appears not able to pull out a victory in an overwhelmingly Republican district; to me that’s the final indignancy.”
• MI-02: Roll Call takes a quick look at the race to replace retiring Rep. Pete Hoekstra. On the GOP side, former state rep. Bill Huizenga is the “biggest voice that’s out there,” but state senator Wayne Kuipers is poised to get in, as is former NFL player Jay Riemersma, who’s well connected with the Christian right. (Notice a common thread in those names? This is the nation’s most heavily Dutch-American district.) There are three Democratic state reps in the district, too, but none of them seem to be making a move yet.
• Michigan: An interesting white paper obtained from the Michigan GOP shows that they’re quite pessimistic about getting back into power in 2010, despite the advantages they seem to be taking into next year’s governor’s race. Their suburban base has eroded since the 1990s, and their one-note message just isn’t resonating with swing voters anymore.
• NRSC: Continuing our theme of unusually reality-based Republicans today, NRSC John Cornyn is sounding an increasingly cautious note about senate prospects in 2010, telling the Hill that it’s “going to be real hard” to keep the Democrats from breaking 60 seats in 2010.
• NH-St. Sen.: Ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley, who lost twice to Rep. Carol Shea-Porter, has begun a new, more low-key chapter in his career, as a state senator. He easily won a special election, 61-39, over retired judge Bud Martin, to retain a GOP-held open seat. Dems continue to hold a 14-10 edge in the chamber.
John Sununu Sr. (the state GOP chair) didn’t seem interested in spinning the victory as indication of a new GOP trend in New Hampshire, though. Always a charmer, Sununu’s thoughts instead were:
He said Bradley’s election actually helps [Gov. John] Lynch. Bradley could be counted on to sustain a Lynch veto of the gay marriage and transgender discrimination legislation, “if he (Lynch) finds the strength to veto that garbage,” Sununu said.
I’ve read some of his opinion columns. He’s an idiot.
Do we have any kind of a bench in NC-07 in order to hold McIntyre’s seat? Looking at McIntyre’s voting record it sure would be hard for Burr to paint him as some left wing loon. In fact didn’t Burr end up voting for CAFTA, his goofy run on banks strategy and other misdeeds. The problem with McIntyre is that he wouldn’t exactly excite the blogs which was the same problem with Heath Shuler although I think McIntyre would be more prepared for a rigorous campaign from a message standpoint.
Apparently Hoekstra, Huizenga, Kuipers, and Riemersma are Dutch names. I never would have known that. This is a serious question, and I mean no disrespect. How do you tell if a name is Dutch, if it doesn’t start with Van?
I’m glad the GOP is not feeling good about there chances. We have a big opportunity to seize complete control of redistricting. The state house is now solidly democratic. We need to hold the Governorship and pickup 3 state Senate seats. Very good chance of that considering every state Senate seat is up in 2010 and I believe a lot of republicans in merginal seats are term-limited.
Has shown how spineless he is, I hope folks here who thought Lynch was our best (or even only) hope to win NH-Sen realize what kind of man he is when he vetoes same-sex marriage – if a bill ever reaches his desk, which it may not now.
do I really want to see Sununu’s son run for something next year and get humiliated again. The elder one is a real piece of work.
http://www.observer.com/2009/p…
Murphy continues to pull away from Tedisco as more votes were counted today. He now leads by 365.
I live in east Arkansas and have to listen to all the shit that pours out from and about Willie Herenton to the point that I pray everyday the man goes on vacation and gets lost in the Bermuda Triangle. Cohen is a great congressman and Herenton is a corrupt, egotistical, asshole. Anyone who’d vote for Willie Herenton doesn’t deserve a great representative like Cohen.