We Ran some numbers here to see what all the hoopla was about as termed out Assemblyman Van Tran looks at taking on one of the hardest-working women in Congress, Loretta Sanchez.
Slim just left town.
30 thoughts on “CA-47 Van Tran Takes on Loretta”
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Interesting, I saw somewhere she might be vulnerable, but everyone else seems to shrug.
Nowhere near enough Asian voters to help Tran win in that district.
But just barely, and probably on the back of his abnormally good performance with latinos.
points on Kerry here, winning it with 58%. Its heavily latino with some of hte worst turnout in the country so that is why there are more active Republicans here and REpublicans were gaining here in voter reigstration a few years ago. The latino population continues to grow though, and Loretta Sanchez is a good campaigner who has been there a while and is a fairly moderate DLC Democrat.
diaries like this that put forth no thought, or detailed write up of any information.
Meanwhile, the wingnuts are salivating
I think it’s well within the realm of possibility for Tran to beat Loretta, but she’d have to really be asleep at the wheel. It is pretty telling that only about 40% of the voting population in the district is Hispanic, and it seems like the non-Hispanics here are more conservative than most Hispanic-majority districts. Nonetheless, she’d probably have to not set foot in the OC at all and spend her time revving up for say a 2012 Senate run for Hispanics to become sufficiently de-energized and Whites and Viets to be sufficiently pissed for this to become a fair-fight. Overall, I think it’s a race worth paying attention to (seeing as Loretta may well have been planning to spend all her time outside her district gearing up to replace DiFi in 2012), but nothing to lose sleep over.
many of us have been itching to win Van Tran’s seat, with him vacating we’ve got a good chance at it now