Campaign and Election News – Covering Key Races Around the Country
Weekly Open Thread: What Races Are You Interested In?
Let’s do this “weekend” thing.
47 thoughts on “Weekly Open Thread: What Races Are You Interested In?”
I didn’t realize it until today, but we have a candidate here by the name of Jim Nichols.
This is one of those districts that seems to be a ticking timebomb for the Republicans. It’s smack dab in the middle of Henry County (centered on McDonough). Estimates from the 2000 census put the district at about 17-18% black and Hispanic, but I would imagine that’s increased. Plus, this is a middle-ring suburban district, so there is some urbanization happening. Henry County saw it’s Democratic performance rapidly increase. I think we may have a chance here.
These look like tough holds
The Republican party is moving toward the Trifecta of controlling both legislatures and the governorships
The Governor’s mansion is looking to be the last stand for the Democrats in both of these states.
And our chances of holding both governorships don’t seem to be looking good in either state.
If the Great Drew Edmondson (who has been in office in 1994) is trailing republican candidates, we’re really running out of options.
These look like tough holds
The Republican party is moving toward the Trifecta of controlling both legislatures and the governorships
The Governor’s mansion is looking to be the last stand for the Democrats in both of these states.
And our chances of holding both governorships don’t seem to be looking good in either state.
If the Great Drew Edmondson (who has been in office in 1994) is trailing republican candidates, we’re really running out of options.
Are we going to have anyone who can take on Corbett?
Deeds has the momentum (at least did as of this past week), but the undecided number is absurdly massive. All of the candidates are within 5 points of each other, and no one’s over 30%. This primary’s going to be one for the ages, and in the end, what are our chances of holding against McDonnell? History’s not on our side, but Virginia has been trending Dem for nearly a decade.
If the blogosphere doesn’t get active on behalf of [VA-Gov nominee chosen this Tuesday] and Corzine, we might see two losses in November. Not that that means anything for 2010, but it isn’t great for morale or fundraising.
Non-race
#1) I didn’t realize there were Asian majority neighborhoods in Cleveland until I used the DRA on Ohio.
#1b) My map had 16 districts, with Schmidt and Boehner paired, and LaTourette having his district carved up (Ryan gets Ashtabula, most of Geauga, parts of Lake; Sutton gets parts of Lake and LaTourette’s house; Fudge gets parts of Lake County too). I almost tried to find a way to put LaTourette’s house in Kucinich’s district, but settled for Kucinich’s district including eastern Cuyahoga Suburbs, which is either shrewd, or stupid.
Race
#2) Can’t wait for some regional polarization Tuesday. NoVA has a lot of Moran votes, Deeds gets votes from around the area that he lives in, McAuliffe gets the parts of Virginia addicted to Red Bull.
GOP State Senator David Thomas is announcing his candidacy today. Runoff is almost guaranteed now. Will Dems run a serious candidate or just watch from the sidelines? A primary upset is at least a 50-50 perspect in my mind.
This is the best chance Dems ave had since ’92. A smart self-funded businessman could win it with the right campaign. At a minimum he could make it damn interesting.
I can’t wait til we get some new fundraising numbers. I’d love to see Bill White kicking major ass again. He’s going to need to since the opening may be coming available in the fall instead of spring like we originally thought.
Maybe this is why Kirk has been so mum about the Senate lately… he is a little preoccupied. Also, powers that be are probably making sure that they don’t have Jack Ryan part 2 on their hands.
PolitickerNY has this fascinatng piece on the growing movement to draft DeDe Scozzafava to run for Congress as a Democrat.
Blog for Iowa has the transcript of the robocall. I am trying to figure out why the NRCC would waste even a small amount of money mobilizing supporters in IA-02, where Loebsack won easily against a not-half-bad Republican candidate.
I didn’t realize it until today, but we have a candidate here by the name of Jim Nichols.
This is one of those districts that seems to be a ticking timebomb for the Republicans. It’s smack dab in the middle of Henry County (centered on McDonough). Estimates from the 2000 census put the district at about 17-18% black and Hispanic, but I would imagine that’s increased. Plus, this is a middle-ring suburban district, so there is some urbanization happening. Henry County saw it’s Democratic performance rapidly increase. I think we may have a chance here.
These look like tough holds
The Republican party is moving toward the Trifecta of controlling both legislatures and the governorships
The Governor’s mansion is looking to be the last stand for the Democrats in both of these states.
And our chances of holding both governorships don’t seem to be looking good in either state.
If the Great Drew Edmondson (who has been in office in 1994) is trailing republican candidates, we’re really running out of options.
These look like tough holds
The Republican party is moving toward the Trifecta of controlling both legislatures and the governorships
The Governor’s mansion is looking to be the last stand for the Democrats in both of these states.
And our chances of holding both governorships don’t seem to be looking good in either state.
If the Great Drew Edmondson (who has been in office in 1994) is trailing republican candidates, we’re really running out of options.
Are we going to have anyone who can take on Corbett?
Deeds has the momentum (at least did as of this past week), but the undecided number is absurdly massive. All of the candidates are within 5 points of each other, and no one’s over 30%. This primary’s going to be one for the ages, and in the end, what are our chances of holding against McDonnell? History’s not on our side, but Virginia has been trending Dem for nearly a decade.
If the blogosphere doesn’t get active on behalf of [VA-Gov nominee chosen this Tuesday] and Corzine, we might see two losses in November. Not that that means anything for 2010, but it isn’t great for morale or fundraising.
Non-race
#1) I didn’t realize there were Asian majority neighborhoods in Cleveland until I used the DRA on Ohio.
#1b) My map had 16 districts, with Schmidt and Boehner paired, and LaTourette having his district carved up (Ryan gets Ashtabula, most of Geauga, parts of Lake; Sutton gets parts of Lake and LaTourette’s house; Fudge gets parts of Lake County too). I almost tried to find a way to put LaTourette’s house in Kucinich’s district, but settled for Kucinich’s district including eastern Cuyahoga Suburbs, which is either shrewd, or stupid.
Race
#2) Can’t wait for some regional polarization Tuesday. NoVA has a lot of Moran votes, Deeds gets votes from around the area that he lives in, McAuliffe gets the parts of Virginia addicted to Red Bull.
GOP State Senator David Thomas is announcing his candidacy today. Runoff is almost guaranteed now. Will Dems run a serious candidate or just watch from the sidelines? A primary upset is at least a 50-50 perspect in my mind.
This is the best chance Dems ave had since ’92. A smart self-funded businessman could win it with the right campaign. At a minimum he could make it damn interesting.
I can’t wait til we get some new fundraising numbers. I’d love to see Bill White kicking major ass again. He’s going to need to since the opening may be coming available in the fall instead of spring like we originally thought.
Mark Kirk is getting a divorce
Maybe this is why Kirk has been so mum about the Senate lately… he is a little preoccupied. Also, powers that be are probably making sure that they don’t have Jack Ryan part 2 on their hands.
PolitickerNY has this fascinatng piece on the growing movement to draft DeDe Scozzafava to run for Congress as a Democrat.
http://www.politickerny.com/38…
Anyone think this is viable?
A Republican who manages to be wingnuttier than Steve King thinks King may deserve a primary challenge.
It won’t happen, but we’re through the looking glass when Steve King is the less crazy one in an argument between Republicans.
to make hay out of Nancy Pelosi’s Iowa visit.
Blog for Iowa has the transcript of the robocall. I am trying to figure out why the NRCC would waste even a small amount of money mobilizing supporters in IA-02, where Loebsack won easily against a not-half-bad Republican candidate.