Polls close at 7:00pm Eastern in Virginia, and we’ll be using this thread to track the returns in the state’s hotly-contested Democratic gubernatorial primary.
RESULTS: VA SBoE | Associated Press (by county)
8:24PM: Deep Thoughts: Think T-Mac wants his $6.9 mil back? Think Brian Schweitzer wants his endorsement back? (Hey Brian, I hope you can clean the egg off your bolo tie.)
8:08PM: The AP has called this race for Deeds! Woo-hoo! What a tremendous result.
7:57PM: 1491 precincts in (close to 60% of the vote), and Deeds has 50.2% of the vote — it’s pretty clear that he’s going to be the Democratic nominee. The only question now is who’ll end up in second place: McAuliffe (currently at 26%) or Moran (24%). In the Lt. Governor’s race, Jody Wagner has the nomination locked.
7:44PM: 1001 precincts now in, and Deeds is holding onto 50.5%. Across the board, he’s pulling in an impressive share of the vote, especially in NoVA; just check out the Fairfax returns to see what I mean. Go Creigh!
7:36PM: 623 precincts in, and Deeds is looking hot: 51% to McAuliffe’s 25 and Moran’s 24. Check out the early returns in VA-10 and VA-11 — Creigh is destroying the competition so far.
7:31PM: 324 precincts in (13% of the vote) and it’s Deeds 53, T-Mac 24, and Moran 23. Check Arlington again — Deeds is over 50% there. Deeds has also taken the lead from McAuliffe in VA-04, and is leading the very early VA-11 returns.
7:23PM: 123 precincts now in, and Deeds is still in charge at 52%, but Moran has now slipped into second place at 25 (McAuliffe’s lagging at 23%). Here’s something interesting: check out Arlington County, where you might expect Moran to be performing well. But it’s Deeds who’s leading the pack there (albeit with only 2 of 52 precincts in): Deeds at 47% and Moran at 34%. So far, so good for Deeds in NoVA.
7:15PM: 61 precincts in, and it’s Deeds 55, T-Mac 23, and Moran 22. Votes are trickling in from every Congressional District in the state except for the 2nd and the 11th, and so far, Deeds is winning all of them except for the 3rd and 4th (McAuliffe) and the 8th (Moran).
7:11PM: 20 precincts in (of 2504), and Deeds leads T-Mac by 67%-18%, with Moran at 14%.
7:07PM ET: Polls are now closed, and a lone precinct is reporting 7 votes for Deeds, 4 for T-Mac. This precinct is in Southwest Virginia, so Deeds’ early strength is to be expected. If this primary follows the normal pattern of Virginia elections, vote-rich Northern VA will report last — so hold off on the champagne for now.
Virginia primary, MLB draft, Braves game…
cause I’m bored right now.
and 2006 is that NoVA reports last. FWIW.
If Deeds wins, and I’m betting he will, I think he’d be a solid candidate in the general election.
In the 2006 US Senate primary a little over 155,000 votes were cast. That was a competitive race with only the Democrats having a statewide contest. With more registered I’d guess 170,000 or 175,000 votes would be similar.
The WaPo was moaning about severe storms in the morning and low turnout. The better the turnout, the better for Deeds.
I’m counting on you all to cover this!
Let’s hope for a late night! =)
Pencils down!
Let’s get this show on the road!
7 – 4 (votes) over McAuliffe, Moran shut out,
7 Deeds 4 McAuliffe 0 Moran
They’re from the Nineth District.
Deeds: 55.2
McAuliffe: 22.9
Moran: 21.9
Wagner: 67.7
Signer: 26.5
if anyone is over/underperforming in specific counties/cities?
If his numbers in VA-03 stay that way, he might even lose to Moran.
Deeds 249
TMac 8
Moran 4
Wow — That’s like inner city Obama numbers last fall
the only concern, of course, is that his areas are getting counted a lot faster. Obviously he won’t be anywhere near 50% by the time this is over, since he’s under 53% with his strongest areas getting counted at a more rapid clip.
Deeds at 55.79. I think Deeds is going to win.
…who I think supports McAuliffe has already called the race for Deeds.
EoM
Why?
1. His rural margins are insurmountable. In one particular county he had over 90% of the vote! And we are still waiting upon his home county and many others.
2. He is winning(!) in NoVa!
3. He is around tied for winning in the population centers of the tidewater area and winning Henrico county.
4. NoVa can’t save Moran. He is polling horribly everywhere else in the state.
In 2008 he goes to the mat against Gerry Connolly (VA-11). Connolly wins easily.
Now he aligned himself with Terry and Deeds sweeps NOVA and SOVA.
He rails against Bowerbank and she steamrolls her opponents.
Hey Virginians. Don’t you know that Not Larry Sabato needs a break?
Deeds is winning in nine of eleven districts. Pretty incredible, with 1001 precincts in.
My hat off to Creigh Deeds and everyone who pegged him over 50%.
By the way, check out turnout models on the VA SBoE Website. It looks like we may be headed for a record turnout of 5%.
Impressive impressive.
I think Deeds definitely is the winner here. Not only is he winning 96% in Alleghany County in his home area, he is also winning in Arlington County. This was supposed to be Moran’s home base. Did the Washington Post endorsement of Deeds make such a large impact or did Deeds outfight his opponents in Northern Virginia? The only area Mcauliffe is pulling it close is in the Hampton Roads. He is leading in Newport News and in Portsmouth.
Moran by 60 votes in VA-08.
Absolutely astounding.
Congrats Creigh!
63% counted and Deeds is still at 50%. Even if the other 37% were entirely comprised of VA-08, Deeds would win (he’s barely behind Moran in Moran country!).
Deeds was just projected to win by the results from Hamptonroads.com.
Only a bit over an hour in and almost 70% of the vote counted. That’s REALLY fast.
Looks like I won’t win the babka. Huge win for Deeds. To think just about 10 days ago he seemed like he was lagging in a far third. Happy about this. Classless, dumb attacks don’t work. My preferred HoD and Lt. Governor candidates didn’t win but time to unify for the GE. This is a nationally important race and we need to focus down ballot too. Take back the HoD, win the governorship and win at least one of the other statewide races to develop a strong bench.
One downside, Deeds will have to resign his State Senate seat when he wins. It’s a fairly competitive district and Republicans have a very strong potential candidate (if we don’t knock him off in the fall) so a special election post election could be coming. If we lose we lose control of the VA-Senate so we can’t let that happen. Virgina is a battleground for redistricting.
So both the AP and the Washington Post give it to Deeds. The story was dated 8:10 PM.
is looking like the winner in the prediction contest. Congrats
win every single congressional district. He’s closing in on McAuliffe in the 3rd, and is leading Moran in the 8th.
Overall turnout looks like it will be around 5.8% of active voters, or around in the 280,000s.
Kudos to PPP for nailing the turnout.
I can’t wait to read what Jerome says after this.
He didn’t have to endorse, and you’d think Deeds was more his style anyway.
The Montana precincts aren’t in yet.
That’s just dismal. How can he be at 24% statewide if he’s behind in VA-08?
As soon as the Post endorsed Deeds, he just collapsed in NoVA it seems. Of course, McAuliffe collapsed even worse — as FiveThirtyEight says, this was like a replay of the 2004 Iowa caucus (Deeds as Kerry, McAuliffe as Dean, Moran as Edwards).
You know T-Mac isn’t going to walk away humbly. He might say nice things about Deeds, but it’s time for the excuse-o-meter. Why will Terry say he didn’t do even close to as well as he expected of himself?