Because there simply haven’t been enough roundups on the front page today…
• OR-Gov: GOP pollmeisters Moore Information give us their take on a trio of hypothetical gubernatorial races, pitting hickory-flavored wingnut Rep. Greg Walden against ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber, Rep. Peter DeFazio and ex-SoS Bill Bradbury. Moore says that Walden has a fighting chance, coming only four points shy of each Democrat. Somehow I suspect that this is an optimistic view of Walden’s chances, but I doubt that he’ll make it a race, anyway.
• PA-Gov: An internal poll commissioned by Dem gubernatorial candidate Tom Knox and conducted by Fairbank-Maslin points to a tight primary race. In a head-to-head match-up with most voters undecided, Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato noses Knox, a businessman and one-time Philly mayoral candidate, by a 22-21 margin. When Lehigh County Executive Don Cunningham and Auditor General Jack Wagner’s names were added to the equation, Knox and Onorato came out tied at 14%, with 13% going to Wagner and Cunningham claiming 7%. However, Onorato has a lot of room for growth, as he’s currently getting pasted 42-6 margin in favor of Knox in southeast Pennsylvania due to a name recognition deficit. Of course, the same could be said for Knox in the western reaches of the state.
• VA-Gov: The DGA has plopped down some coin on an Anzalone-Liszt survey of Virginia, and the early nums look pretty good for Creigh Deeds, who’s leading Bob McDonnell by 42-38 — a fairly modest lead, yes, but encouraging when you consider that Tim Kaine was lagging behind Jerry Kilgore in every public poll of the 2005 campaign until October. Deeds is also slightly better-liked than McDonnell at this point, earning a 48-14 favorable rating to Mickey D’s 43-19.
• KS-Sen, KS-Gov: SurveyUSA dips their toes into the GOP primary to replace Sam Brownback in the Senate, and it’s pretty much a dead heat between Original and Extra Crispy Wingnut: 1st CD Rep. Jerry Moran edges 4th CD Rep. Todd Tiahrt by 40-38. Bonus finding: In a hypothetical gubernatorial primary, Brownback defeats Secretary of State Ron Thornburgh by a 58-19 margin. I guess Thornburgh didn’t even need to see this poll before deciding to pull the plug on his candidacy yesterday.
• WI-Sen: Just how badly Wisconsin Gov. Jim Doyle should be worrying about his chances of survival next year is up for debate, but Russ Feingold looks like he’ll be okay. Public Policy Polling’s latest expedition in the Badger state finds that Feingold would beat GOP Rep. Paul Ryan by a 51-39 margin.
• NYC-Mayor: Quinnipiac’s latest poll of this most low-energy of races finds more good news for Mayor Bloomsberry: Hizzoner leads Democratic Comptroller William Thompson by a 54-32 margin, up from 49-35 in March.
I have not heard much about Walden but I have always heard hes not that conservative. And even a member of Main Street Republicans (although that doesnt necessarily mean much. Just how being a Blue Dog doesnt necessarily mean much)
Tiahrt leads big amongst younger voters (18-34) 45-34 while Moran leads big amongst seniors (65-over) 44-32. In fact Moran has his biggest lead amongst that age group. Maybe KS is one of those states where older Republicans are much less conservative than those under, say, 60. Although i am not shocked Tiahrt leads big amongst younger voters. Im sure even in Kansas most people in that age group are not Republicans and so the ones that are are probably disproportionately Evangelical. Im sure thats the case in many other conservative states, as we saw how well Huckabee did amongst younger voters in the primary.
The Knox internal poll doesn’t test true head-to-heads. Their question gives respondents which county each candidate is from, so no surprise it would overstate Knox’s support – since he’s the only candidate from Philadelphia County. Pretty shady release by Knox campaign.
you mean Knox leading in southeast Pennsylvania, not southeast Pittsburgh. That would be astonishing…