Rasmussen (6/22, likely voters):
Alex Sink (D): 34
Bill McCollum (R): 42
Other: 7
Undecided: 18
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Despite being something of a conservative douchebag, state AG Bill McCollum has a very good approval rating of 53-26 in this poll, while Sink is sitting on a 50-32 rating. So far, McCollum has been enjoying an early lead in every poll of the race since his entry early last month. Quinnipiac recently had McCollum up by 38-34 over Sink (UPDATE: actually, make that 38-34 for Sink), while Strategic Vision gave McCollum a two-point lead, and Mase-Dix had Sink behind by 6 points in May.
Sink’s been getting a bit dinged in the press in recent days over her personal use of a state-owned plane, but the matter was made murkier when McCollum was revealed to have made some questionable travel arrangements, too. I’m not convinced that this issue will gain a lot of traction.
And as for the Senate race…
Corrine Brown (D): 29
Charlie Crist (R): 50
Other: 8
Undecided: 13Kendrick Meek (D): 28
Charlie Crist (R): 46
Other: 12
Undecided: 14
(MoE: ±4.5%)
The overall trend lines of this race remain pretty static for now.
…had Sink, not McCollum, up by 4.
seems suspicious. unless all of the conservatives are w/holding support until after the primary. even then rubio only gets about 15-30% in the primary, so it doesn’t seem like rubio’s supporters withholding suport wouldf have much of an effect.
There is now FL-Gov is that lopsided, even at this early juncture. Sink has strong statewide approval ratings, and she’s spent her time in office smartly positioning herself as a pragmatist, a contrast to McCollum’s unabashed conservatism. I’m not saying Sink is a shoo-in by any means, but this race is a dead heat in 2009.
The Times’ findings are certainly damaging, but I doubt they’ll seriously affect her numbers in the long term.
I told you guys Alex Sink is not the slam dunk candidate you all thought she was. We will most likely lose FL-GOV by a decent margin.
oh, that’s right… a net pollster looking for a little pub in a summer lull.
the snowbirds are gone this time of year.
not so bad for a primary since the Sept primaries are timed to occur while the transplants are away but for a general?
I am almost curious enough to pay the twenty bucks to see Rassmussen’s crosstabs since no one else has had over 80 percent of voters able to rate Sink’s favorability one way or the other.
Still, reckon the overall read we can take from the conflicting polls is this is a dogfight.