Another poll on the race for Virginia Governor shows Republican Bob McDonnell keeping his wide lead over Deeds, defeating him 54%-39% with likely voters, and 47%-40% with registered voters overall. The poll’s MOE is 3%. McDonnell’s wide lead is thanks in large part to independents and moderates.
The only real branch of hope that Deeds can grab onto in this poll is that only 48% of voters polled are certain to vote for either McDonnell or Deeds.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/…
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Not that I think Moran or McAuliffe would have done any better.
that shows up in 2009. If it is similar to the one in 2004 (which is how it is looking now), McDonnell will win easily. If it is similar to the one in 2008, Deeds has a chance.
IMO, Deeds will lose unless a health care bill is passed (or clearly will pass) before Election Day. Unless health care reform is passed giving a victory to the administration, many first time voters in 2008 (“Obama Democrats”) will simply not show up.
My prediction: McDonnell will lead big until mid-October. Health care signing ceremony will be in late October. Like in the primary, Deeds will surge like crazy at the end. The race will be decided by less than 2% either way.
Obviously if both states voted today Christie and McDonnell would win but we got quite a bit to go yet. Ask me again in the middle of October.
VA seems pretty far gone. Yes there is still 3 months, but Deeds is showing zero signs of turning things around.
At least Corzine has had some positive things lately.