NY-23: Scozzafava Getting Obliterated in Late Fundraising

A few questions have come up about the FEC’s so-called “48-hour reports.” They’re actually pretty simple. From a PDF on the FEC’s website:

Who Must File FEC Form 6

Principal campaign committees must file 48-hour notices on contributions of $1,000 or more received after the 20th day, but more than 48 hours, before 12:01 a.m. of the day of any election in which the candidate participates. …

When to File

FEC Form 6 must be received by the federal and state (where required) filing offices within 48 hours after acampaign’s receipt of any contribution of $1,000 or more received after the 20th day, but more than 48 hours before, the date of any election in which the candidate participates.

The candidates in NY-23 have been filing 48-hour reports since the close of the reporting period for their “pre-special” fundraising reports, Oct. 15th. But because the 48-hour reports have to be filed very quickly, all three campaigns had already posted a bunch of them before they were required to file their pre-special reports. We gathered those numbers in the right-hand column of the chart in this post.

As you can see from the link, Bill Owens was already kicking ass in this department as of last Thursday. But since then, the disparity has grown much, much greater. Both Owens and Hoffman have each filed three new 48-hour reports; Scozzafava, by contrast, has filed just one. The overall tally is therefore no surprise:

     Owens:   $73,100

     Hoffman: $43,100

     Dede:    $ 2,000

Now, these reports only cover big ($1,000+) donations, so I suppose it’s possible that Dede is raking in a lot of last-minute small-dollar checks. But I tend to doubt that. One thing we do know for sure is that Republican members of Congress – who seldom write checks for less than four figures – have all but forsaken her. Fewer than twenty have given to her so far, and none in her final hour of need. Meanwhile, by my count, over sixty have given to Owens, and many more than once – giving money via campaign committees and leadership PACs, and making donations for 2009 and 2010. This flow has continued unabated – just yesterday, Rep. Joe Crowley’s PAC threw down another $5,000, and Rep. Charlie Gonzales came in for $2,000.

I’m not sure even Obi Wan Kenobi could help Scozzafava now – not that he would.

47 thoughts on “NY-23: Scozzafava Getting Obliterated in Late Fundraising”

  1. because he feels like Hoffman could win the same way Pawlenty did, with no where near 50% of the vote. hahahaha and because he wants the GOP nomination in 2012 (which he has no chance of getting)  

  3. I do not want her to collapse completely, otherwise Hoffman might begin to consolidate Republican support.

  4. This crazy race comes down to voter ID and dragging their asses out to the polls next Tuesday.

    The one thing that worries me is that Hoffman’s seat-of-pants operation could really cobble together some happy turnout among the real crazies.  They strike me as perhaps an impoverished cousin of the patchwork quilt GOTV work the Kerry campaign and allies had across the country in 2004.  It wasn’t bad at all and got us all the targets in a lot of precincts in a lot of key states, including Ohio.  But it proved inferior to the top-down approach of the Bush operation.

    Meanwhile, Dems have been less a patchwork quilt and much more top-down starting with Obama last year, with high-level voter targeting.

    But ultimately a local campaign has to do the work, and I’ve heard or read nothing on what NY-23 Dems are doing on GOTV.

    I think poor GOTV is the only way we lose.  But doing something poorly is easier than you might think, and there are a few billion failed candidates and campaigns out there to prove it!

  6. in the NYTimes on NY-23:

    The seat – in a district where certain areas have been represented by Republicans since the 1800s, according to an analysis by the Swing State Project, a political blog – became vacant after President Obama appointed John M. McHugh, the district’s long-serving Republican congressman, as secretary of the Army. It is the only Congressional seat that will be decided next week.

  8. I bet she wishes every day that she’d just switched sides and run as a Democrat. Let this be a lesson to all potential party-switchers….doing it is much better than dealing with the Republican base.

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