Rasmussen Reports (12/20, likely voters):
Pat Quinn (D-inc): 39
Jim Ryan (R): 46Dan Hynes (D): 42
Jim Ryan (R): 40
(MoE: ±4.5%)
You may be feeling a sense of déjà vu. Didn’t Rasmussen poll this race as recently as last week? Why yes, they did, but they happened to whiff that poll’s release by forgetting to test the name of former state AG Jim Ryan, who at this point is probably the front-runner for the GOP nomination. So here’s a do-over, with some unsurprisingly good results for the GOP.
And then there’s North Dakota (12/17, likely voters):
Byron Dorgan (D-inc): 36
John Hoeven (R): 58Byron Dorgan (D-inc): 52
Duane Sand (R): 37
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Before now, we had seen exactly two polls of the hypothetical Dorgan v. Hoeven clash of the titans. In February, Research 2000 put out a poll showing Dorgan thumping Hoeven by 57-35 spread, while an NRSC internal poll released from July in the hopes of enticing Hoeven into the race had those numbers flipped at 53-36 in the GOP’s favor. I’m inclined to believe that Dorgan would have a difficult time beating Hoeven — if he ever decided to get off the pot and commit to running — but I’m not sure if the spread is what Rasmussen thinks it is. I have to suspect that Dorgan is ahead of a sadsack like Duane Sand by a little more than 15 points, for instance.
Should be John Hoeven, not Jim.
He’s almost as big of a tease for the GOP as Jim Edgar or Tom Kean Sr.
Hoeven led 55-36%: http://senatus.wordpress.com/2…
This isn’t an interactive so it’s less likely to be utter crap.
is an under-utilized label. Nicely done.
Let’s review Jim Ryan electoral history
1990
Lost attorney general to ROLAND BURRIS in 1990 52% to 48%
Won attorney general in 1994 (one of the best years for republicans) and then got re-elected in 1998. Then lost to corrup Rod Blagojevich in 2002 52% to 45%. Pat Quinn is EXTREMELY POPULAR in Illinois and people in that state love him. No way is someone who was defeated by Roland Burris going to win. I predict that Pat Quinn wins with results around 57% Quinn to 40% Ryan on election night. Simply put Rasssmusen polls are not to be trusted with and I stop paying attention to them after they showed Palenty with a 56% approval rating and Michele Bachmann with a 50% (statewide) approval rating. Not to mention that Rassmussen is the only poll that makes people pay to see their crosstabs.
I know he was very popular right after taking office but quickly had to make some very hard choices. Has anyone else polled him recently?