Public Policy Polling (12/17-20, registered voters):
Tarryl Clark (D): 37
Michele Bachmann (R-inc): 55
Undecided: 8Maureen Reed (D): 37
Michele Bachmann (R-inc): 53
Undecided: 10
(MoE: ±3.7%)
Clark is generally considered to be a pretty solid recruit for Team Blue, but this looks like a pretty challenging environment in which to topple a Republican incumbent — even one as touched in the head as Bachmann. More, from Jensen:
53% of Bachmann’s constituents approve of the job she’s doing in Congress to 41% who disapprove. Her numbers certainly reflect her polarizing nature, with 86% of Republicans giving her good marks and 83% of Democrats saying they don’t like her performance. But in a GOP leaning district and with a 51% approval from independents it all adds up to a pretty solid standing.
RaceTracker Wiki: MN-06
(Update: An earlier version of this post mistakenly stated that Clark was the DCCC’s preferred candidate.)
District is too Republican in this environment. Same thing in TX-10.
Most of the estimates for Minnesota show them losing a seat after the next census. Guess which seat the heavily Democratic State House and Senate will gerrymander into non-existence
82% have no opinon on Reed, 68% on Clark
She will probably do less damage in the US Congress than she would if she was a FOX news contributor. I even imagine that FOX News would love to hire her and her extremist positions and give her her own show. Or better yet, they might create a new version of Hannity and Colmes with their own version of “Beck and Bachmann”. They can provide the audience with the nutty version and the nuttier version of politics.
I agree with another post that Bachmann’s district may cease to exist in 2012.
Revenge of the Teabaggers!
Clark must not be fundraising well if she had to sell an “r” from her first name. 🙂
But seriously, Bachmann’s like the conductor of the train to Crazytown. I really kinda want to see where she’ll go…and better yet, where she’ll try to take the GOP.
For that reason, a Bachmann win would not be the most upsetting loss of the 2010 cycle, methinks.
There isn’t a morsel of anything interesting here.
The only time to poll Bachman is one month before the election, when in the heat of battle her mouth runs away from her brain (assuming there is one).
This is a Republican district, and the Republican is ahead eleven months out. Gee, stop the presses.
PPP needs to follow the lead of Rasmussen and do some more serious polling, and less of these sideshows.
I recently got CQ’s Politics in America as a gift and they described how she decided to switch parties. Her reason makes no sense to me, but who knows? Here is what the book said about Bachmann’s switch:
Does anyone understand that reasoning?
Clark’s only chance is to remind voters that they are represented by a total wing nut and to convince those voters to vote for her instead of Bachmann.
This is deeply compounded with the problem that MN voters will give their vote to the Independence Party when we wont do like either candidate. I had this conversation with my parents. “You two arent going to vote Bachmann this year are you?” “ABSOLUTELY NOT!” “You going to vote for the DFL Tinklenberg then?” “Nah, we’ll just vote Independent.”