• TX-Gov, TX-Lt. Gov: Former Travis County D.A. Ronnie Earle has decided to run for Lt. Governor, and not Governor or Attorney General. Republican incumbent David Dewhurst has filed to run for re-election, though many expect that he’d jump into an open seat Senate race, in the seemingly unlikely event that Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns. Earle joins Austin deli owner Marc Katz in the Democratic primary.
• AL-05, AL-Gov: Democrat Ron Sparks, Alabama’s Commissioner of Agriculture and Industries, says that he will make a decision on switching from his gubernatorial campaign to a run against turncoat Rep. Parker Griffith within the next 48 hours. I don’t have any special insight here, but it sure sounds like Sparks is actually going to make this move. If Sparks takes a pass, there are a number of lesser-known potential candidates who sound interested, according to the Huntsville Times. Meanwhile, Griffith’s Tea Party-backed primary challenger, Les Phillip, is whacking Griff hard over his past donations to Harry Reid and Howard Dean. I wonder if Griffith realizes how big of a miscalculation he made.
• FL-02: For all the GOP’s success in “expanding the map” of House pick-up opportunities next year, Roll Call notes that the party is more or less empty-handed in their pursuit of a challenger to ultra-Blue Dog Rep. Allen Boyd. GOP political consultants seem to be holding out hope that a self-funder may parachute into the race before the state’s March filing deadline.
• NY-01: Republican businessman Randy Altschuler is already up on the air, launching broadsides at Democratic incumbent Tim Bishop for his TARP votes.
• PA-06: Democrat Doug Pike had hoped that an early injection of his own personal wealth coupled with a batch of endorsements from local Democrats would keep the primary field clear in his effort to wrest control of the open seat district that Republican Jim Gerlach is leaving behind. Not so fast. Already dealing with the surging candidacy of Manan Trivedi, Pike has picked up a second primary challenger in Lower Merion Township Commissioner Brian Gordon.
• PA-16: Democratic activist Lois Herr, trying for a third crack at entrenched GOP incumbent Joe Pitts, is now facing a primary from pro-life Democrat John J. McClure.
• WA-03: Retiring Dem Rep. Brian Baird tells the Politico National Journal’s Reid Wilson that he thinks that Denny Heck, a well-traveled name in Washington political circles, will run for his seat. As we’ve mentioned here before, Heck was a state Rep. in the 80s, lost a Superintendent of Education race, became Gov. Booth Gardner’s chief of staff, and then founded TVW, the state’s local equivalent of C-SPAN.
• NRCC/TX-32: Pete Sessions Deathwatch, Vol. 4? “I love you and believe in you. If you want my ear/voice — e-mail.” That’s the message that NRCC Chair Pete Sessions sent to banker Allen Stanford just hours after federal investigators charged him with fleecing investors to the tune of $7 billion. The muck raking crew over at TPM has the full background on this sordid story.
• Party Switching: DCCC Chair Chris Van Hollen is “very confident” that there will be no more defections from the Democratic caucus this cycle. Meanwhile, the Southern Political Report has a piece analyzing the longevity of party switchers, and finds some decidedly mixed results.
• Strategy: The Democratic game plan for the 2010 elections appears to hinge around the argument that the GOP will “repeal” health care reform. DSCC Chair Bob Menendez: “I would simply say to my Republican friends, what are they going to campaign on? That they’re going to repeal 30 million people who have health insurance under this package? That they’re going to repeal closing the gap on Medicare?” Note that this is exactly what Newt Gingrich is pressing the GOP to embrace.
Let’s all hope Sparks gets into the race and shows Griffith and any other party switchers a lesson or two. SHall we resume SParksmania where we left off in 2008?
It seems like Parker Griffith might have a hard time getting through the general election. Maybe he should think about switching parties. 😀
I love Sparks as much as the next guy, but shouldn’t someone who lives in the district get the right away and Sparks should wait for them? I don’t understand why he refused to take on Figures in a contested primary, but instead waited for the better known Artur Davis. Also,a nyone want to take a shot at Shelby just so we have someone strong up and down the ballot?
They’d be stupid to campaign on repeal. The reform law will inch up in popularity through 2010 until it’s no benefit to run against it in the general. Only the conservative base will remain solidly opposed by November.
And I think Republicans know that, so they won’t do it.
Newt, for his part, is stupid. I marvel at how stupid he is politically and struggle to grasp how far he’s fallen in political acumen since the early 90s.
But I hope dearly that the teabagging dumbasses do, indeed, force the issue through next year. It’s a fratricide that will just kill the GOP.
Ronnie Earle:
Pro: Tough on Crime as evidenced by his prosecution of Tom Delay.
Con: from Travis County…not a good base to build from in Texas, because you know us, we hate all them gay liberal Jewish abortion ACORNS.
Marc Katz:
Pro: Makes one HELL of a sandwich. Never Kloses.
Con: Those sandwiches may be TOO good…
Sparks is the best recruit we could hope for, but it will still be tough. In a general election Griffith would have the Republicans and the conservative Democrats who supported him 2008. I would give a 50-50 chance that a Republican teabagger defeats Griffith in the primary, and then a 60-40 chance that Sparks beats the Republican teabagger for the open seat in a non-presidential year.
Lungren said it was clear to him that the political climate has improved for Republicans.
He cited a recent encounter with a motorist, who waved and gave him a thumbs-up.
“It’s awfully nice,” Lungren said, “to have people waving with all five digits now.”
http://www.latimes.com/news/lo…
Mark Dayton discusses struggle with depression.