I decided to go with a 28-0 map because I think its the most realistic. I dont think the democrats would have spent a million dollars to get Bill Owens elected if they didnt intend on keeping all upstate Democrats. I get 28 Democrat districts by drawing Lee and Massa into the same district and King and McCarthy into the same district and creating a new Long Island seat. My map only leaves two Democrats under 54% Murphy and Owens. I chose these two because the Northeast seems to be the fastest Democrat trending area of New York.
NY-1: Bishop
Part of Suffolk County
New 54%-46% Obama
Old 52%-48% Obama
White:81% Black:5% Native:0% Asian:3% Hispanic:10% Other:1%
Stays mostly the same loses Smithtown and reaches into the Hispanic part of Islip
NY-2: Israel
Part of Suffolk County, part of Nassau County
New 55%-45% Obama
Old 56%-43% Obama
White:75% Black:9% Native:0% Asian:3% Hispanic:12% Other:2%
Stays mostly the same
NY-3: No Incumbent
Part of Suffolk County, part of Nassau County, part of Queens, part of Bronx
New 57%-43% Obama
Old 52%-47% McCain
White:67% Black:15% Native:0% Asian:4% Hispanic:12% Other:2%
I drew this district from the Bronx to the Conservative areas of Suffolk and Nassau to let the other districts pick up the more Democratic areas of Suffolk and Nassau. I noticed some people drew 3 horizontal districts to solve this problem but I like this way because I keep Israel’s and McCarthy’s districts as close to their current districts as possible. This way also allows me to add a few more Democratic votes to the other districts.
NY-4: King vs McCarthy
Part of Suffolk County, Part of Nassau County
New 57%-42% Obama
Old 57%-42% Obama
White:67% Black:16% Native:0% Asian:3% Hispanic:12% Other:2%
McCarthy keeps most of her old district and King loses most of his republican areas
NY-5: Ackerman
Part of Queens, part of Nassau County
New 57%-43% Obama
Old 63%-36% Obama
White:58% Black:6% Native:0% Asian:21% Hispanic:12% Other:3%
Loses parts of Queens to reach further into Nassau
NY-6: Meeks
Queens
New 87%-13% Obama
Old 89%-11% Obama
White:16% Black:50% Native:1% Asian:8% Hispanic:16% Other:8%
Stays mostly the same
NY-7: Crowley
Queens, Bronx
New 76%-23% Obama
Old 79%-20% Obama
White:31% Black:15% Native:0% Asian:15% Hispanic:36% Other:3%
loses parts of the Bronx and adds parts of Queens
NY-8: Nadler
Upper West Side, Lower East Side, Brooklyn
New 79%-20% Obama
Old 74%-24% Obama
White:50% Black:5% Native:0% Asian:19% Hispanic:23% Other:3%
The 8th becomes a minority district with a 50.25% minority population by picking up minority areas of the Lower East Side and Brooklyn
NY-9: Weiner
Brooklyn, Queens
New 56%-43% Obama
Old 55%-44% Obama
White:62% Black:5% Native:0% Asian:16% Hispanic:13% Other:3%
Adds more of Southern Brooklyn loses some of Queens
NY-10: Towns
Brooklyn
New 92%-7% Obama
Old 91%-9% Obama
White:18% Black:59% Native:0% Asian:3% Hispanic:17% Other:3%
Stays mostly the same
NY-11: Clarke
Brooklyn
New 83%-16% Obama
Old 91%-9% Obama
White:27% Black:55% Native:0% Asian:5% Hispanic:10% Other:4%
Adds some of the heavily republican areas of Brooklyn to keep it out of Weiner’s district
NY-12: Valazquez
Brooklyn, Queens
New 81%-19% Obama
Old 86%-13% Obama
White:25% Black:10% Native:0% Asian:9% Hispanic:51% Other:4%
Removed the southern part of Brooklyn and added more of Queens to make it a little more compact.
NY-13: McMahon
Staten Island, Brooklyn, Manhattan
New 58%-41% Obama
Old 51%-49% McCain
White:72% Black:7% Native:0% Asian:7% Hispanic:11% Other:2%
Adds part of Manhattan, couldnt get the distric Democratic enough without it.
NY-14: Maloney
Upper East Side, Queens
New 78%-21% Obama
Old 78%-21% Obama
White:62% Black:6% Native:0% Asian:11% Hispanic:16% Other:4%
Stays mostly the same
NY-15: Rangel
Harlem, Spanish Harlem, Upper West Side, Washington Heights
New 93%-6% Obama
Old 93%-6% Obama
White:18% Black:29% Native:0% Asian:3% Hispanic:47% Other:2%
Stays mostly the same
NY-16: Serrano
Bronx
New 95%-5% Obama
Old 95%-5% Obama
White:3% Black:30% Native:0% Asian:2% Hispanic:63% Other:2%
Stays mostly the same
NY-17: Engel
Rockland County, Part of Westchester County(Yonkers), Bronx
New 61%-38% Obama
Old 72%-28% Obama
White:62% Black:12% Native:0% Asian:6% Hispanic:18% Other:2%
Loses part of the Bronx to add more of Rockland County.
NY-18: Lowey
Part of Westchester County(Mount Vernon, New Rochelle, White Plains, Rye) part of Putnam County, part of Dutchess County
New 60%-39% Obama
Old 62%-38% Obama
White:69% Black:14% Native:0% Asian:4% Hispanic:12% Other:2%
Has to reach further North with the loss of an upstate district.
NY-19: Hall
Part of Dutchess County(Poughkeepsie), part of Columbia County, part of Orange County, Part of Putnam County, part of Westchester County(Peekskill)
New 54%-45% Obama
Old 51%-48% Obama
White:79% Black:8% Native:0% Asian:2% Hispanic:9% Other 2%
Stays mostly the same.
NY-20: Murphy
Warren, Saratoga, Washington Counties, part of Schenectady, Rensselaer, Columbia Counites
New 53%-45% Obama
Old 51%-48% Obama
White:92% Black:3% Native:0% Asian:1% Hispanic:2% Other:1%
Adds Schenectady and becomes much more compact.
NY-21: Tonko
Albany, Fulton, Montgomery Counties
New 54%-44% Obama
Old 58%-40% Obama
White:89% Black:5% Native:0% Asian:1% Hispanic:3% Other:1%
Has to become larger to allow other districts to become more Deomcratic.
NY-22: Hinchey
Ulster County, Sullivan County, Broome Coumty(Binghamton)
New 54%-44% Obama
Old 59%-39% Obama
White:86% Black:5% Native:0% Asian:2% Hispanic:5% Other:2%
Stays mostly the same. Loses Ithica and adds more rural areas to become less Democratic.
NY-23: Owens
Clinton County, Oswego County, Jefferson County, part of Onieda County(Rome)
New 51%-47% Obama
Old 52%-47% Obama
White:93% Black:3% Native:1% Asian:1% Hispanic:2% Other:1%
Stays mostly the same. I kept Owens district the weakest because he is the newest representative and his district is trending Democratic faster than most. Hopefully by mid decade he will have a more favorable district.
NY-24: Arcuri
Tompkins County(Ithaca), Part of Onieda County(Utica), Part of Monroe County
New 55%-44% Obama
Old 51%-48% Obama
White:90% Black:3% Native:0% Asian:3% Hispanic:2% Other:1%
Has to move further west with the loss of a district. Becomes more Democratic with adding Ithica and Rochester suburbs.
NY-25: Maffei
Onondaga County(Syracuse), part of Monroe County
New 56%-43% Obama
Old 56%-43% Obama
White:87% Black:6% Native:1% Asian:2% Hispanic:2% Other:2%
Stays the same
NY-26: Lee vs Massa
Steuben County, Part of Erie County(Buffalo), Part of Niagara(Niagara Falls)
New 54%-45% Obama
Old 29th 51%-48% McCain
White:82% Black:14% Native:1% Asian:2% Hispanic:1% Other:1%
Combines some republican areas of both reps and adds most of the black areas of Buffalo and Niagara Falls. If Massa can win his current district in 2010 he should win in 2012 against Lee in the more favorable district.
NY-27: Higgins
Part of Erie County(Buffalo), Chatuaqua County
New 54%-44% Obama
Old 54%-44% Obama
White:88% Black:5% Native:1% Asian:1% Hispanic:4% Other:1%
Higgins wins by comfortable margins so I kept his district the same.
NY-28: Slaughter
Part of Monroe County(Rochester), Part of Niagara County, Orleans County
New 55%-43% Obama
Old 69%-30%Obama
White:79% Black:13% Native:0% Asian:1% Hispanic:5% Other:2%
Loses its parts of Buffalo and Niagara Falls and adds more of Monroe County.
This seems pretty optimal for a 28-0. Lots of safe incumbents and only one unpleasant margin in Owens. Really good work!
If I was redesigning it I might do some slight tinkering Upstate, and I’m not sure how Wall Street and Tribeca will feel about being lumped into a Staten Island district, but on the whole I like this map.
Excellent work!
this is the “dummymander.” A skillfully constructed dummymander, but one just the same.
I wouldn’t be surprised if the Dems did something like this, but they should not.
this looks on a map. You did a very good job of making the districts compact and reasonable looking, especially in NYC where that is difficult, while favoring Dems. However, I agree it may be a dummymander. But this may look like the real thing will look.
in Yonkers and Riverdale is part of CD 17, isn’t it?
I agree with some of the concern that this could become a dummymander, but looks good. I could live with this, because I think it’s fine to set up several “fair fights.” Let the best candidate and party win!