So OH could certainly use quite a bit of work and has been a state I’ve been working with off and on. I know nothing about OH, Ive driven through it once and I know a few people from there, so the map could probably use some tweeks in trading certain cities for others to ensure a maximum Democratic effect. But Im pretty sure my map would create 9 solid Dem districts, 5 solid Dem districts, and 2 swingish districts.
I decided the two Id get rid of was Schmidt and Kucinich. I figured it’d be an even trade, our extreme lefty for your extreme righty.
Southern OH
Blue: OH-1
Rep. Dreihaus vs Rep. Schmidt
Should be a safe district now that it is all of Cincinnati and is contained to Hamilton county. I threw in Schmidt’s residence here just to make sure she’d have to move to run against an incumbent if she wanted to represent part of her old district again.
Lilac: OH-8
Rep. Boehner
Another safe district for Boehner with it no longer taking in apart of Dayton.
Purple: OH-3
Rep. Turner
This districts now goes closer back to it’s 90’s version, taking in all of Montgomery county and it reaches up grab the city of Springfield in Clark county. This makes it a toss-up seat that leans slight Democratic probably.
Periwinkle: OH-12
Rep. Tiberi
Tiberi is now given an extremely safe GOP district that is suburban and exurban Columbus.
Orange: OH-15
Rep. Kilroy
She now gets a safe district entirely within Franklin county.
Turquoise: OH-6
Rep. Wilson
This district keeps its southeastern Applachia roots, and then is given a chunk of Columbus to make it a solid D district.
Grey: OH-7
Rep. Austria
He lives just on the edge of the district over in the Dayton suburb of Beavecreek. It combines a lot of Schmidt’s old territory, not as much of his own, but meh, people dont like Schmidt but they can respect Austria.
OH-2
Green: OH-2
Rep. Space
This district nows moves up to pick up Canton, and also some swing counties that are in OH-6 which should make a district that’ll lean our way even in an open seat situation.
Northwestern OH
Red: OH-4
Rep. Jordan
Not much change here.
Yellow: OH-5
Rep. Latta
Again, not much change here.
Cyan: OH-9
Rep. Kaptur
Looses parts of Lorain county and becomes more compact. It may have dipped a point or two but any Democrat should be just fine here.
Northeastern OH
Peach: OH-13
Rep. Sutton
Loses its parts of Akron and picks up territory left open from the elimination of Kucinich’s district and also more of Lorain county. Should be fine for a Democrat.
Pale Lime Green: OH-11
Rep. Fudge
I couldnt manage to keep a black majority seat due to it needing to expand, so its 48% AA and 42% white. Fudge should still be fine, both with an AA advantage and as an incumbent.
Olive: OH-14
Rep. LaTourette
This is one seat I dont know how I did with as I dont really know how how the Cleveland suburbs vote. I assume I kept it as a swing district, and probably helped it a bit with taking in more suburbs closer in to the city.
Pink: OH-10
Rep. Ryan
He loses parts of Akron which makes his district a bit more Republican, but it’s still quite a safe Democratic district.
Lime Green: OH-16
Rep. Boccieri
His district now takes in all of Akron, which makes this seat solidly Democratic now. I saw this as a bit of a switheroo, Space gets Canton, Boccieri gets Akron, and then Sutton and Ryan get slightly more disfavorable districts.
John Boehner is in no danger at all, and the 8th would probably take more of Dayton’s black community to help make the 3rd safe Republican, rather than tossup.
But it sounds to me like you eliminated Austria, you’ll just have made Schmidt move.
Do you have any numbers on how much of OH-13 is Sutton’s and how much is Kucinich’s? Everybody assumes he’ll be eliminated and it won’t be a problem, but I just don’t think it’ll be quite that painless. If you want to remove him, you’ll have to make sure his old district is fairly thoroughly divided.