Just left a CA delegation meeting with Cong. Diane Watson was quietly telling Members that she will not be running for re-election.
Word is that Former CA Assembly Speaker Karen Bass will immediately enter the race following Watson’s announcement. Further proof of this plan — Bass is scheduled to be in DC next week for a series of meet and greet events with potential financial supporters.
Anyone that knows anything about Watson and Bass can attest that this would be a TREMENDOUS upgrade for the district, CA Delegation, and US House in general. Bass is a real leader — while Watson has been less than impressive during his tenure to say the least…
This is the kind of open seat I do not mind. I knew the district was safley Dem but I had to look anyway, CA-33 has a PVI of D+33 and Obama carried it by 75 points.
thing I don’t like about this is that when the “media” tries to make a “story” about democrats running scared and they will include this one in the total number.
Bass has been very effective as Speaker, i knew she’d make a run for Congress, just didn’t know it’d be this year.
Like several other LA area districts with African-American representatives, the numbers in the district have been shifting to become more heavily Latino than African-American.
The last census put this district at 37% Latino, 27% African-American, 22% white, 12% Asian. Latino and Asian numbers have probably grown since then.
I’d love to see Karen Bass make it to Congress, she’d be great.
But I wonder if a strong Latino candidate will emerge to try to take advantage of the changing demographics. (Although age and citizenship status mean that the Latino portion of voters is significantly below their percentage in the overall district population.) It could end up being similar to the 2007 special election primary in CA-37 between Laura Richardson and Jenny Oropeza (Richardson won, despite Latinos outnumbering African-Americans by 2 to 1 in the district).
Will be interesting to see what candidates emerge for the race.
You don’t have to split blacks between Maxine Waters and Diane Watson anymore, so Waters gets a safe, blacker district while Watson’s turns into a Hispanic majority one.
I had a gut feeling that Watson was going to retire either during this cycle or next cycle, for two reasons: 1) She’s going to be 77 years old this fall, and 2) Those long weekly plane rides to/from DC and LA are probably wearing her down.
These same factors are what caused former Oregon Rep. Darlene Hooley to retire. Hooley was getting up there in age and she was sick of the long plane rides from Portland.
Progressive Punch rates her as #25 in the House of Representatives and she’s a cosponsor of HR-676.
For five years, I lived within several blocks of actually being in this district. Instead, I got the pleasure of voting against Jane Harman because I lived just under a mile from the beach. 🙂
Bass would kick ass as a representative for this district, IMHO. Ideologically aligned (solidly liberal) and a good public servant who tried to both battle and work with Arnie, as appropriate. Here’s some good info on CA-33 from Watson’s official site:
These days, a lot of these neighborhoods are fairly racially mixed.
Bass should win here. She could win the still-fairly-black-but-latinoizing Leimert Park, Crenshaw, West Adams, Baldwin Hills, Ladera Heights, View Park, and Windsor Hills.
She could win the white progressive vote which is fairly strong in Culver City, Hollywood, Miracle Mile, Hancock Park, Silver Lake & Los Feliz….
The Asian & Latino vote she’d probably have to campaign hard for, but besides Koreatown and the Western Ave. corridor, there aren’t many heavily-Asian parts. And it’s true that Latinos are prevalent in nearly every single one of these neighborhoods, but it’s also true that Latinos punch below their population, electorally. And there’s definitely a possibility she could do well enough among these groups that she coasts to a primary victory.
Although, Karen, take a lesson from Martha Coakley: don’t coast to victory. Ever.
Map link: http://www.house.gov/watson/di…
Your scoop and this diary were written up and put on the front page at Daily Kos Saturday afternoon (with a link of course)
http://www.dailykos.com/storyo…
Lots more eyeballs will be seeing your scoop.