More fresh beats from the C&C Polling Factory Scott Rasmussen.
CO-Gov (3/4, likely voters, 2/4 in parens):
John Hickenlooper (D): 42 (49)
Scott McInnis (R): 48 (45)
Other: 3 (1)
Undecided: 6 (6)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
IL-Gov (3/8, likely voters, no trend lines):
Pat Quinn (D-inc): 37
Bill Brady (R): 47
Other: 6
Undecided: 9
(MoE: ±4.5%)
OH-Gov (3/4, likely voters, 2/4-5 in parens):
Ted Strickland (D-inc): 38 (41)
Jon Kasich (R): 49 (47)
Other: 6 (5)
Undecided: 7 (8)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
OH-Sen (3/4, likely voters, 2/4-5 in parens):
Lee Fisher (D): 39 (39)
Rob Portman (R): 44 (43)
Other: 5 (5)
Undecided: 12 (13)Jennifer Brunner (D): 37 (38)
Rob Portman (R): 43 (42)
Other: 6 (5)
Undecided: 15 (15)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
SC-Gov (D) (3/3, likely voters, no trend lines):
Vincent Sheheen (D): 16
Jim Rex (D): 16
Robert Ford (D): 12
Dwight Drake (D): 5
Other: 15
Undecided: 37
(MoE: ±5%)
SC-Gov (R) (3/3, likely voters, no trend lines):
Gresham Barrett (R): 14
Andre Bauer (R): 17
Nikki Haley (R): 12
Henry McMaster (R): 21
Other: 9
Undecided: 29
(MoE: ±3%)
let’s update this ras bull$h!t and hypothesize the ACTUAL numbers
CO-GOV
Hickenlooper 46
McInnis 44
I think this will be close but with Hick’s popularity in Denver metro and some turmoil with the Republicans over the nominee, I don’t see how this will go red
IL-GOV
Quinn 45
Brady 40
This may be even too nice for Brady, but being so conservative and from downstate, I dont see how Quinn looses this one, with an even more healthy margin than Hickenlooper in CO.
Don’t know enought about OH gov to make a numbers prediction. Kasich may be up but I wouldn’t give him an 11 point lead. That’s pretty big in a swing state like OH.
Once the primary’s over in OH-SEN, the Dem candidate will really be able to hammer portman and his bush/D.C. connections. I am cautiously optimistic with this one, and think Fisher or Brunner could beat Portman with the right messaging, campaign, and GOTV. Hopefully a pick up here and in NH, MO (maybe even KY!?) will offset our losses in ND, DE, AR, and possibly NV.
phew…done with my first post
where they get the money to do these polls?
SUSA is sometimes paid by local media. PPP has candidates and issue groups as clients, so their public polls have to be accurate if they are to continue getting clients.
Who is paying for Rasmussen’s polling?
I know Rasumussen has been off the mark, but doesn’t Quinn being down by 10 represent like a 20 point swing from other polls?
this is just silly. We are not doing that badly.