Like a surly prison cafeteria worker serving up a pot of gruel, Scotty Ras is dishing out another ladle-full of unappetizing polls.
IL-Sen (3/8, likely voters, 2/3 in parens):
Alexi Giannoulias (D): 44 (40)
Mark Kirk (R): 41 (46)
Other: 5 (4)
Undecided: 10 (10)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
MA-Gov (3/8, likely voters, 11/23 in parens):
Deval Patrick (D): 34 (32)
Christy Mihos (R): 19 (26)
Tim Cahill (I): 30 (28)
Undecided: 16 (14)Deval Patrick (D): 35 (33)
Charlie Baker (R): 32 (28)
Tim Cahill (I): 19 (25)
Undecided: 14 (14)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
NH-Sen (3/8, likely voters, 2/10 in parens):
Paul Hodes (D): 37 (39)
Kelly Ayotte (R): 47 (46)
Other: 4 (3)
Not Sure: 12 (13)Paul Hodes (D): 42 (44)
Ovide Lamontagne (R): 38 (38)
Other: 5 (4)
Not Sure: 15 (13)Paul Hodes (D): 36 (41)
Bill Binnie (R): 46 (42)
Other: 4 (3)
Not Sure: 14 (13)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
WA-Sen (3/9, likely voters, 2/11 in parens):
Patty Murray (D-inc): 46 (46)
Dino Rossi (R): 49 (48)
Some other: 3 (1)
Not sure: 2 (5)Patty Murray (D-inc): 48 (50)
Don Benton (R): 37 (38)
Some other: 3 (3)
Not sure: 12 (9)Patty Murray (D-inc): 49 (49)
Clint Didier (R): 30 (34)
Some other: 6 (4)
Not sure: 15 (13)Patty Murray (D-inc): 47 (48)
Chris Widener (R): 32 (33)
Some other: 5 (5)
Not sure: 16 (14)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
I don’t know about everyone else, but it’s gotten to the point where my eyes just glaze over with these, and I kind of have to force myself to look.
I’m almost to the point at which I’d just like Dino Rossi to run and lose for one last time.
There hasn’t been a single poll out of NH in which I’ve seen good news for Paul Hodes. Is his campaign even doing anything to get his name and positions out there? And honestly I’m kind of baffled as to why an appointed Attorney General, whose never been elected is leading a congressman who represented half the state for the past 3 years. Unless AYotte is running ads every other day and getting her name id up and Hodes is giving Coakley a run for her money I can only come to think that both candidates are just running on generic party ids so far. Any thoughts?
Just allow about five points in a Dem direction with regard to the margin.
is some unkown like Bill Binnie leading Paul Hodes? It makes no sense at all. Now I’ll admitt it is fully plausible for Ayotte to lead by 9, but Binnie not so much.
Why is he not testing the potential front-runner here? If Don Benton can’t raise money, then Paul Akers will be the strongest candidate. He has spent money on TV ads and radio ads. Why is Rasmussen polling races with no chance of becoming competitive, but not testing the strongest candidates in potentially competitive races?
see the new AP HCR poll? It only people opposing HCR by 2 points. I have a strong feeling that within a week or two we will finally see a poll showing people approving of HCR. Also Gallup had approval at negative 3. Now guess what Scotty boy had it at. Negative 11!
http://surveys.ap.org/data/GfK…
If Kirk can’t lead in a Rasmussen poll, he really doesn’t have much of a shot now does he?
Still, I remain fairly ambivalent on this race. Of the “toss-up races” that Dems are currently holding, I think it’s the 2nd mostly likely win behind Pennsylvania. I don’t have any doubt that Specter is going to cream Toomey. This race though, I don’t have the same confidence that Giannoulias is going to roll over Kirk, Kirk’s really shown toughness in democratic territory before.
Illinois and Pennsylvania are two races that Team Blue has to win in order to keep a solid majority in the Senate. North Dakota and Arkansas are gone for sure. Delaware (thanks a lot Beau!) and Nevada are probably gone, so that makes 4 seats. Colorado is a seat I have as leaning Republican at the moment, so that would be five. Indiana looks like a pure tossup, that would be six. So I’ve got Illinois and Pennsylvania as 7th and 8th in the pecking order, which by this point you’re getting dangerously close to giving up the majority. The Republicans though, have tough retentions in New Hampshire, Ohio, and Missouri, and I think at least one of those will turn Dem, with Missouri being the most likely of the three.
That, my friend, is poetry.
I’ll be interested in the polls after they pass HCR.