More fresh meat from Scott Rasmussen’s sausage factory.
LA-Sen (3/10, likely voters, 2/10 in parens):
Charlie Melançon (D): 34 (33)
David Vitter (R-inc): 57 (57)
Undecided: 6 (7)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
MN-Gov (3/10, likely voters):
Mark Dayton (D): 38
Tom Emmer (R): 35
Tom Horner (I): 7
Undecided: 20Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D): 34
Tom Emmer (R): 37
Tom Horner (I): 10
Undecided: 18R.T. Rybak (D): 38
Tom Emmer (R): 35
Tom Horner (I): 9
Undecided: 18Tom Bakk (D): 29
Tom Emmer (R): 36
Tom Horner (I): 8
Undecided: 27Tom Rukavina (D): 29
Tom Emmer (R): 38
Tom Horner (I): 7
Undecided: 25Matt Entenza (D): 28
Tom Emmer (R): 37
Tom Horner (I): 8
Undecided: 26Mark Dayton (D): 38
Marty Seifert (R): 39
Tom Horner (I): 7
Undecided: 16Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D): 35
Marty Seifert (R): 39
Tom Horner (I): 8
Undecided: 19R.T. Rybak (D): 38
Marty Seifert (R): 38
Tom Horner (I): 8
Undecided: 16Tom Bakk (D): 30
Marty Seifert (R): 37
Tom Horner (I): 9
Undecided: 24Tom Rukavina (D): 30
Marty Seifert (R): 39
Tom Horner (I): 9
Undecided: 22Matt Entenza (D): 30
Marty Seifert (R): 38
Tom Horner (I): 9
Undecided: 23
(MoE: ±3%)
MO-Sen (3/9, likely voters, 2/10 in parens):
Robin Carnahan (D): 41 (42)
Roy Blunt (R): 47 (49)
Not sure: 8 (6)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
NH-Gov (3/8, likely voters, 1/12 in parens):
John Lynch (D-inc): 51 (51)
Jack Kimball (R): 32 (32)
Undecided: 13 (12)John Lynch (D-inc): 54 (53)
Karen Testerman (R): 28 (30)
Undecided: 14 (12)John Lynch (D-inc): 50
John Stephen (R): 35
Undecided: 14
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Melançon running for Senate was a terrible idea in a lot of ways.
Carnahan is taking a hit by the national environment which might explain why she’s trailing now as opposed to leading within the margin of error from late last year and early this year. Once she starts running ads and campaigning like crazy she’ll close the gap and win in the end IMO.
that 74% of the Louisiana electorate has a favorable view of or a “no opinion” view of the tea party movement. Then again, according to Scott’s likely voter model, only angry tea baggers are going to vote this year. So, like, whatever.
I found the approval/disapproval numbers for Kloubachar and Franken in the same poll interesting.
Kloubachar 67/30
Franken 50/46
Kloubachar remains the most popular politicion in the state and Franken is up to 50% approval.
As for Pawlenty half those polled said they would not vote for him if he ran for president while 38% said they would. Hardly a home state vote of confidence.
The main problem with Emmer and Seifert is that neither is a moderate seeming Republican from the metro area. That is really the only way to win statewide now in MN as if you come off as a right winger from Greater MN, getting the suburban vote is going to be a lot harder, especially when up against a metro DFLer people can identify with.
Emmer was my hometown state rep not too long ago and the area is tea-bag Republican and no way will his posturing for these constituents over the years play well in the must-win suburbs. One example is him personally attending, as GOP House leadership, to urge the delegates of a senate district convention to not endorse a GOP house incumbent for voting to override Pawlenty’s veto of a giant transportation investment bill. It was a GIANT deal, and suburbanites would probably rate transportation as a top issue affecting their every day lives, and I totally forgot about the 35W bridge collapse til just now. Perfect attack ad, just gotta do it classy.
Marty Seifert is a staunch conservative who represents the base of conservative Greater Minnesota, which is not much of a base.
Rybak will do well in the suburbs, MAK very well could do well (kill it with suburban women), Dayton I think would be meh but he can still win overall, obviously the Iron Rangers would be terrible in the suburbs, Paul Thissen could do well and I dunno about Entenza.
This is why I’m not worried about Emmer or Seifert.
some SSP users from Minnesota tell me who they are supporting for Governor? Thanks in advance!
about a dozen family members who live around Waseca,
Rybak 100%.