Let’s do this Congressional-style: in the dead of the night!
AZ-Gov (3/16, likely voters, 1/20 in parens):
Terry Goddard (D): 45 (43)
Jan Brewer (R-inc): 36 (41)
Other: 12 (7)
Undecided: 7 (9)Terry Goddard (D): 38 (35)
Dean Martin (R): 43 (44)
Other: 6 (6)
Undecided: 13 (14)Terry Goddard (D): 42
John Munger (R): 36
Other: 13
Undecided: 9Terry Goddard (D): 37
Buz Mills (R): 43
Other: 7
Undecided: 13
(MoE: ±4.5%)
FL-Sen (3/18, likely voters):
Kendrick Meek (D): 25
Marco Rubio (R): 45
Charlie Crist (I): 22
(MoE: ±3%)
FL-Sen (R) (3/18, likely voters, 2/18 in parens):
Marco Rubio (R): 56 (54)
Charlie Crist (R): 34 (36)
Other: 1 (4)
Undecided: 8 (7)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
IA-Sen (3/17, likely voters, 2/22 in parens):
Roxanne Conlin (D): 36 (36)
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 55 (53)
Some other: 4 (4)
Not sure: 5 (6)Bob Krause (D): 31 (33)
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 57 (55)
Some other: 4 (5)
Not sure: 8 (8)Tom Fiegen (D): 28 (28)
Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 57 (56)
Some other: 7 (6)
Not sure: 9 (11)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
IN-Sen (3/17-18, likely voters, 2/16-17 in parens):
Brad Ellsworth (D): 34 (32)
Dan Coats (R): 49 (46)
Some other: 6 (7)
Not sure: 12 (15)Brad Ellsworth (D): 32 (27)
John Hostettler (R): 50 (46)
Some other: 4 (7)
Not sure: 15 (19)Brad Ellsworth (D): 34 (30)
Marlin Stutzman (R): 41 (40)
Some other: 6 (9)
Not sure: 18 (21)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
VT-Sen (3/18, likely voters):
Pat Leahy (D-inc): 58
Republican Candidate (R): 33
Other: 2
Undecided: 7
(MoE: ±4.5%)
VT-Gov (3/18, likely voters):
Deb Markowitz (D): 39
Brian Dubie (R): 46
Other: 4
Undecided: 10Doug Racine (D): 35
Brian Dubie (R): 48
Other: 5
Undecided: 12Peter Shumlin (D): 33
Brian Dubie (R): 51
Other: 6
Undecided: 10Matt Dunne (D): 29
Brian Dubie (R): 51
Other: 6
Undecided: 14Susan Bartlett (D): 26
Brian Dubie (R): 51
Other: 7
Undecided: 14
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Dubie can’t seriously win. or else it will cause me pain every time I go to Ben and Jerry’s or eat Cabot cheese.
(Nice AZ-Gov numbers though)
What’s next for Charlie Crist – polling fourth to Generic Teabagger?
AZ-Gov worries me. I thought we had that one. Hopefully Martin and Mills will split the anti-Brewer vote and let her squeak by, as seems plausible given yesterday’s primary poll. But I kind of doubt she survives, and further doubt Goddard can beat a non-incumbent in this environment. But we’ll see.
same as dubie and douglas has 64% approval. further there’s about 14% strongly disapproving of markowitz. she’s a sec of state. they register businesses and run elections, what’s to criticize?
More nonsense. Especially the Florida three-way.
There is no way that John Hostettler is up 18 points on the guy who kicked his ass in a Congressional race three years ago. If it is an Ellsworth/Hostettler match-up (which, with the lead-balloon nature of Coats’s early campagin so far, is looking very possible) the choice is going to be between an even-tempered, experienced centrist and a flippin’ nut job. John Hostettler would by way far (and yes, this includes Dan Quayle) be the most conservative, looney person that has won a statewide race in Indiana in at least 50 years.
On a semi-unrelated note, Evan Bayh today gave one million dollars to the state Democratic party, saying it was a vote of confidence in Democrats here, particularly Ellsworth.
Not even wiggedy wack. Just regular wack.
As Indianaprogressive has already pointed out, the numbers for IN-Sen are total BS. The Hostettler numbers he’s already talked about, but the Coats numbers, to me, are even worse. I know a lot of people personally who refuse to vote for Coats because he’s a carpetbagger, and this is in Indianapolis. I don’t even want to know how much the rural parts of the state loathe the guy.
VT-Gov is close to the other polls I’ve seen, only Ras is subtly inflating Dubie’s numbers by about 4-5 points, while depressing the Dems by a similar margin. Yes, Dubie has a shot at winning this, especially if he keeps to his current strategy of not taking any positions on anything (VT politics really is a bizarro world). Yes, Markowitz is our best shot at winning for Team Blue. Yes, Bartlett and Shumlin need to get out of the race right now, and Dunne should switch to LG. All of this is accurate. The numbers are just too rosy for the GOP, typical for Ras.
VT-Sen is a little bit low, too. Leahy’s last two re-elections had to do with carpetbagging millionaire Jack Macmullen, so his 70+% of the vote was high, but I don’t believe he’s under 60%, or that as much as 7% would be undecided about a guy who’s been in the Senate since 1974. Bernie Sanders – not always the most popular guy in Vermont politics – managed 65% for an open seat in 2006. I doubt Leahy will come in at less than that.
Is the best way for live free of Rasmussen manipulations.
me just say ditto to everything Notanothersonofabush and IndianaProgressive said 🙂
Poll is absolute BS, when the general gets around we will win this thing handily.