• CA-Sen: Republican Assemblyman Chuck DeVore is still lagging in the single digits in polling, but prominent conservatives keep coming to his aid. He just got the endorsement of libertarian-minded Arizona Rep. Jeff Flake, and also of the Tea Party Express (the corporate wing of the teabaggers’ movement).
• DE-Sen: “Repeal!” of HCR has become the rallying cry for almost every Republican candidate for federal office lately, but Rep. Mike Castle has stood out from the crowd with his reluctance, saying repeal is not “realistic.” Now that’s turning into an issue in his GOP primary, where his far-right opponent, marketing consultant and occasional Fox News contributor Christine O’Donnell, is accusing him of “breaking faith” with Delaware voters by not supporting it. A few other of the more sensible GOPers running in blue states, like Rob Simmons and Tom Campbell, are also keeping repeal at arms-length.
• FL-Sen: Good news for Charlie Crist, I suppose: Mason-Dixon has polled the GOP primary, and they find that he’s losing to Marco Rubio by a mere 11 points (much less than a number of other pollsters, ranging from Rasmussen to R2K, have found): 48-37. Crist leads Democratic Rep. Kendrick Meek 50-26, while Rubio leads Meek 44-29, although half of respondents didn’t know who Meek was. Meanwhile, you might have forgotten (as I often did) that ex-New Hampshire Sen. Bob Smith was, as far as he was concerned, in the GOP primary as well. Well, not anymore: Smith shuttered his campaign today, citing (big surprise) fundraising problems.
• WA-Sen: If there’s one group that should be getting behind Dino Rossi’s possible Senate candidacy, it’s the Washington Association of Realtors. Not only are they a usually conservative-leaning organization with close ties to the builders’ lobby, but also Rossi is one of them: his day job is real estate salesperson. So, hot on the heels of yesterday’s R2K poll, here’s another problem Rossi needs to seriously contemplate: WAR just endorsed Patty Murray.
• CA-Gov: Remember Pete Wilson? The former Governor is largely responsible for turning the California Republican Party’s name into mud, among Latinos, in the 1990s with his support for anti-immigrant Proposition 187 — a decision that may have had short-term benefits but has turned into a long-term disaster as the state’s demographics change. The California Accountability Project is shining the spotlight back on Wilson in his new job: campaign chair for Meg Whitman.
• MI-Gov: Um, no. Just no. Mop-topped attorney Geoffrey Fieger is best known for his defense of Jack Kevorkian, but he also somehow wound up with the 1998 Democratic gubernatorial nomination and went on to lose to John Engler by a 62-38 margin after a slew of bone-headed remarks. Fieger now says he’s considering another run at the Democratic nomination.
• NY-Gov (pdf): Marist has a new poll of the New York gubernatorial race, finding that party-switching Suffolk Co. Executive Steven Levy is in for a rude reception from the GOP. He’s losing the primary to ex-Rep. Rick Lazio, 53-21. Andrew Cuomo dispatches either one, 61-30 against Lazio or 65-26 against Levy. Meanwhile, the saga of David Paterson (with a 16/80 job rating according to Marist) keeps getting sadder/weirder/yuckier, with a NYT article today about his attempts to secure an endorsement from the woman involved in a domestic dispute with one of his top aides.
• TN-Gov: The GOP side in the gubernatorial race shrank today, with the withdrawal of Shelby County DA Bill Gibbons from the race. He had the advantage of being the only western Tennessee candidate in the primary, but he never got very far on the fundraising front. Meanwhile, among what’s left of the Democratic field, beer baron Mike McWherter just got an endorsement from Memphis’s new mayor, A.C. Wharton. McWherter’s only remaining Dem opponent is former state House majority leader Kim McMillan.
• AR-03, PA-07: Mike Huckabee offered up two different endorsements, one right on his home turf. He endorsed former state Rep. Doug Matayo in the open seat race to succeed John Boozman in the dark-red 3rd. The other place seems kind of odd: endorsing ostensibly moderate Pat Meehan in the Dem-leaning, heavily Catholic, decidedly non-Southern-fried PA-07.
• HI-01: The final candidate list for the May 22 all-mail special election in the 1st is out. The only three candidates of consequence are, as expected, Colleen Hanabusa and Ed Case for the Dems, and Charles Djou for the GOP. With the winner-takes-all nature, minor candidates may weigh heavily on the outcome, but there’s a pretty even split with three extra no-name Democrats and four extra GOPers, as well as four independents.
• KS-03: Stephene Moore, the wife of retiring Rep. Dennis Moore, backed off slightly from reports yesterday that she was entering the race to succeed him. She said that she was going to continue thinking about it and would have a formal statement soon. Chris Cillizza has sources, though, who say it’s a done deal.
• IL-LG: It sounds like Pat Quinn has settled on something of an outsider (albeit one with a famous family name) for his Lt. Governor running mate: Sheila Simon, the daughter of former Sen. (and former LG) Paul Simon. She’s a law professor at Southern Illinois Univ., whose only political experience seems to be losing a race for Carbondale mayor. State Sen. Susan Garrett appears to have been bypassed over not supporting Quinn’s income tax plan, which Simon supports. Meanwhile, supporters of African-American Rep. Art Turner are warning of depressed black turnout in November if Quinn doesn’t opt for Turner instead.
• RNC: A decision from the trial-level U.S. District Court in Washington DC was a fundraising setback for the RNC, which wanted to be able to raise unlimited soft money from corporations and individuals but didn’t receive the green light to do so.
I posted this in the now somewhat stale a.m. edition moments ago, so I’ll repost it here.
Abercrombie 54, Aiona 31
Hannemann 50, Aiona 29
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
If i am correct – Meehan runs unopposed. So – whom could Huckaby support? Democratic candidates? Unlikely.
It’s another thing – WHY he decided to pay attention to race here. But why not – it’s very well publicized race, and, probably, will be very close to the end. So – not so bad choice))))
Sheila Simon? She taught my sister, I remember sitting in on one of her classes before. I can’t believe Quinn picked her, I didn’t even know she was in the running. My sister volunteered for her campaign as well. I thought he would go with Art Turner, but this is a pleasant surprise.
I thought he was best known for being the brother of the late singer/guitarist of the pop group the Knack, Doug Fieger. Either way he is not a strong candidate for MI-Gov…
1. Rossi seems to be stuck with some not so good choices. Either run and risk losing to Patty Murray and his third statewide race; or maybe take on Gregoire a third time or maybe wait until Gregoire doesn’t run for re-election but have to battle the Republican attorney general for the nomination.
2. So the SCOTUS lifts the ban of corporate spending in elections (a corporation already has run an ad in an election here in Texas within the last week), but apparently that isn’t enough. So the RNC sues to make sure corporations can give even more unlimited money.
The thing about that lifting of the corporate ban is funny. The court rules last year in Caperton v. Massey that judges might be influenced by political donations (the donations in the case were from corporations), but rather than limit it the court goes ahead and lifts the ban on corporate spending.
that’s the only (quasi) logical explanation for running for senate in florida when there’s an open seat in his home state, where they didn’t have a go to R candidate in the span of time after sununu said no, but ayotte hadn’t said yes yet. Yes he wasn’t that popular in his state, but it can’t be worse than his status in florida.
To be down by only 11 points.
I didn’t want you to be Gov in ’98 (though I still would’ve taken you over Engler, I guess). I still don’t want you to be Gov in 2010. So please just go back to running those irritating ads on the local Detroit stations that I sometimes see when I’m home on break and stay out of politics.
On the other hand, if you can draw votes from Andy Dillon and only Andy Dillon, then go for it. Just don’t actually win the nomination. I know this won’t be good for you, but it would make me happy.
http://guyswithiphones.com/pos…
the site is extremely nsfw and is actually a site for gay guys to cruise hot guys who take pictures of themselves in a mirror with an iPhone. Some pictures are just of their face and how someone looks that day on down to XXX bj’s and anal sex.
And you can click the link, McCain isnt naked in the picture (thank god). But it is DEFINITELY him! What the hell is he doing on a site that could be classified as porn?
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
Does that mean that Willie Herenton lost the special election? I kind of stopped paying attention to that race a while ago because I figured Steve Cohen would smush him like a bug. Herenton might be slightly less crazy than Nikki Tinker, but that’s like saying that hurricanes are slightly less destructive than asteroids.
…and how it just enjoys confounding the conventional wisdom and polling on election day. If I remember correctly there was some gambling ballot initiative that spiked the Detroit vote way out of proportion bringing out people who other wise wouldn’t have voted and producing a turnout model way different than any polling anticipated.
The real shame was, even though admittedly Engler was favored against anyone, Larry Owen in my opinion was a great candidate as opposed to Fieger who was a disaster every Democrat had to run away from in absolute terror.