California Democratic Gerrymander

California Democratic Gerrymander

CD01 Dark blue. Marin to CD08 so that this district could extend further north.  Woolsey now lives here.  Mostly new to her except for Sonoma County, which is the base of the district.  Coastal areas Democratic, inland Republican.  The old 6th district, where she was before, had 76% Obama, the new 1st 59% Obama.  The more conservative inland D’s might be a problem for her brand of politics, but the move is part of a key for dismantling CD04 in Northern California. Safe Dem

CD02. Dark Green, North State. Safe R. The old  CD02 is gone. This is basically the old CD04, sans the area it had in Sacramento County.  Wally Herger [02] could move here or fight a 60% Obama vote where he is now, in CD06. Of course Tom McClintock [04] still lives here, and it is basically his old district.  

CD03. Purple, Sacramento. Safe Dem. 60% Obama. It has acquired 1/2 of Sacramento. As near as I can tell Dan Lungren [R] lives here now, tho he may be in CD05. Either way the district is safe D. The key to a D gerrymander of Sacramento is to split the city between two districts. Without this split you get one supersafe district and one swing, or lean R.

I dont know if Matsui is in CD03 or CD05, but boundaries within the city of Sacramento could be changed to adjust rather easily.

CD05 Dark Yellow, Sacramento. Safe Dem. The other half of Sacramento City, with county areas.  Not sure if Matsui lives here or in CD03, but both safe D.

CD06 Napa, Butte Counties. Safe D.  Moved north into the Sacramento Vally. Butte and Lake Counties lean or swing. Loses Dem coastal counties. Mike Thompson, of the old CD01, now lives here, but retains his base of Napa with some of Sonoma.  

CD10. Pink, Solano County. The next part of the dismemberment of CD02 is the extenstion of CD10 to the lower Sacramento Valley.  I also extend it to include Garamendis home in Sacramento County, allowing me to avoid the ads calling him a carpetbagger. Now entireley north of the Sacramento, San Joaquin rivers.

CD07. Gray, north of Oakland. Safe D. Gray Similar to old 7th. George Martinez should have no problems.

CD08. San Francisco, Marin. Safe D. Nancy Pelosi. I moved Marin County into her district. I suspect that if she objects to this, it wont happen, but this is a key to enabling the new 1st and 6th districts moving north to eliminate the old 2nd.

CD09. Light blue, Oakland. Safe D. similar to old district.  Barbara Lee should have no problems here.

CD11. Light Green, east of Oakland and Fremont. Safe D. McNerney now is completelly in the Bay area, from 54% to a new 62% D.

CD12. North San Mateo County, San Francisco. Safe D. Jackie Speier is safe here.  

CD13. Safe D. Fremont, Hayward. Pete Stark has no worries.

CD14. San Mateo, Santa Clara County. Safe D. Anna Eshoo.

CD15. Orange, San Jose. Safe D. Mike Honda.

CD16. Bright Green, San Jose. Safe D. Zoe Lofgren.

CD04. Dark Red, Eastern San Joaquin Valley. Safe Rep.  This district is actually the old 19th district, on the eastern San Joaquin Valley. I think that it might be most accurate to say that the old 2nd district, R, was evicted from the Sacramento Valley, to reappear as the new 19th district [D], in the eastern San Joaquin Valley.  old 2nd eliminated, with brand new 19th

        4th renamed new 2nd

        19th renamed as new 4

CD17.  Purplish, Monterey County. Safe D. Few changes.  Sam Farr.

CD18. Yellow, San Joaquin, Stanislaus County. Safe or Likely D. Loses Modesto, but still 57% Democratic. Dennis Cardoza.

CD19.  Green, Western San Joaquin County. Safe D. Brand new district on on the west of San Joaquin Valley. Based in Fresno.  Dont know if jim Costa lives here or in the new 20- but he has his choice.  No incumbents.

CD20. Pink. Central San Joaquin Valley. Safe Dem. Jim Costa. Fresno, Merced and Modesto cities. Lost Bakersfield.

CD21. Dark Brown, Tulare County. Safe R. still based in Tulare County.  Devin Nunes incumbent.

CD22. Light Brown, Kern County. Safe R. Republican parts of Bakersfield and lots of desert.  Kevin McCarthy. if he doesnt live in the right part of Bakersfield, he can rent a fake apartment like Delay did.

CD23. Light Blue, Santa Barbara. Safe or Likely D. All of Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo Counties, instead of hugging the coast. Lois Capps.

CD24. Dark Purple, Ventura. Safe or Likely D. Now entirely in Ventura County.  

CD25. Pink, Kern and N. LA County. Likely or Lean D as a district. Howard McKeon[R] goes from 49% to 55% Obama. As incumbent he may very well survive.  Democratic Fresno with the most Dem. areas of N. LA County I could find, with a large dollop of the Democratic strongholds south of the mountain range. The principle problem with this map is that when the actual census figures for the cities of the San Joaquin valley come out, 18, 19, and 20 may need the Democratic votes in Bakersfield.

CD26. Grey, eastern LA County. Likely D. Lost the more Repuclican parts of the district and gained Dem areas. Most of San Dimas, where David Dreir[R] lives, is still in the district, but it went from 51 to 56% Obama.

CD27. Santa Clarita, Bright Greenish. Safe D. Brad Sherman, Sherman Oaks.  Extended an arm North to take in part of Santa Clarita.   68% Dem.

CD28.  Pinkish, San Fernando City. Safe D. Hispanic 62% instead of 72%. Howard Berman. Extended an arm north to take in part of Santa Clarita. 72% Dem

CD29. Greenish. Palmdale, Glendale. Safe D. Adam Schiff, Burbank. Goes north to take in Palmdale, but still 65% Dem.

CD30. Spans LA County and Ventura County. Safe D. Goes west into Ventura County to take in some R areas. Still 71% Dem.  Henry Waxman.

CD31. Light yellow, Pasadena. Safe D. Moves east to take Pasadena. Xavier Becerra- lives in LA, and I cant tell if he is still here.

CD32. Bright orange, Baldwin Park. Safe D.  Moves north to take in some of the old 26th.  Hilda Solis.

CD33. Dark blue, Inglewood. Safe D. Only Black majority district on the list. Diane Watson, LA. hard to tell where she lives.

CD34. Green, Vernon, Commerce. Safe D. Lucille Roybal-Allaard. Lives Los Angeles City. Hard to tell if still in district.

CD35. Purple, Carson, Lynwood.  Safe D. Maxine Waltrs. designed to take in the non-black majority areas around CD33. 67% Hispanic.

CD36. Yellowish. Safe D. Coastal LA County. Takes in most of the Rep. leaning areas, [trending D?] of CD46 which was in LA County. Because of this, it dropped precipitously from 64 to 61% Obama.  

CD37. Blue, Long Beach. Safe D. Moved east, taking in some R areas. still 70% D.  Laura Richardson, D.

CD38. Light blue, Norwalk, Alhambra. Safe D. Grace Napolitano, D.

CD39. Very light yellow, Alhambra, Lakewood. Safe or Likely D. Takes in some R. areas, especially in Orange County, to help out CD47 and CD40. Linda Sanchez, D. From 65 to 57% Obama.

CD40. Dark Brown, Western Anaheim. Safe or Likely D. from 47 to 56% Democratic.  Edward Royce, R, will have to work for his money.  This is one of two Orange County districts constructed from every Dem vote I could find. Loretta Sanchez, [D, CD47] lives in Anaheim, which is now split between the new CD40 and the new CD48[R]. Most of the old CD47 seems to be in the new CD40.

CD46. Orangish, coastal Orange County. Huntingdon Beach. Safe R. Dana Rohrbacher[R] moved out of LA to obtain some R districts which will save his bacon. From 48 to 44% Obama.

CD47. Light Pink, Irvine. The other D district in Orange County. moved from 60% Obama to 57% Obama. Loretta Sanchez, D. Anaheim, where she lives Anaheim is now CD40  and CD48. John Campbell, of old CD48, lives here in Irvine. He can run here against Sanchez, run against Royce in CD48, or run against Rohrbacher in CD46. All three have substanial portions of his old district.

CD48. Yorba Linda, Orange County. Safe Rep. Democratic portions of the district stripped out for CD47. Replaces most ofCD42. From 49 to 43% Obama. Ed Royce lives in Fullerton, which is now split between CD40 and CD48.  Gary Miller, [R, old CD42] also lives here in 48.

CD41 Light Blue, Redlands. Safe R. Gains Victorville Jerry Lewis, R should be happy.

CD42. Bright green, Corona. Safe R. Now Southern portion of Orange County and Southwest Riverside. From 45 to 42% Obama. I cant see any incumbents for this area, unless Ken Calvert [44] lives in that portion.

CD43 Pink, San Bernardino City. Safe D. Joe Balca D goes from 68 to 65% Obama.

CD44 Darker pink, Riverside city. Likely D. From 48 to 56% Obama. Ken Calvert [D, CA44] lives in Corona, which is split between CD42 and CD44.

CD45 Dark Blue, Palm Springs.  Safe D. From 52 to 59% Obama. Mary Bono [R] is the incumbent.

Republican areas were excised out, and Dem parts added.

CD52 Puke Green, Hemet. Safe R. San Diego and San Bernardino Counties- leftover R areas. Duncan Hunter, [R] should survive any challenge by Ds

IMG]

CD49 Dark Pink, Vista. Lean Dem/Tossup . From 45% to 53% Dem.  Most of Vista, where Darell Issa lives, is still in CD49. The balance is in CD52.  There has to be a district for the readers of Swing State to worry about in the state of California, and this would qualify.

CD50 Light Blue San Diego. Safe or Likely  Dem.  Brian Bilbray [R] is listed as living in Imperial Beach, which is not in the district. I redrew CD50 to include it, which is almost on the Mexican border. I hope he appreciates the thought.  From 51% to 57% Obama.

CD51 White San Diego. Safe Dem Bob Filner.

CD53 Brown. San Diego, Imperial. Safe Dem. Susan Davis may live here or iin CD50.

Some other detailed maps: