185 thoughts on “Weekly Open Threads: What Races Are You Interested In?”

  1. I love Dave’s Redistricting App and was just curious as to when the next round of partisan data will be released and what states will be included? It would be really awesome if North Carolina was part of the next update.  

  2. http://www.politico.com/click/

    Former congressman Mark Foley says he’s been approached by locals about making a run for mayor in West Palm Beach. But don’t expect him to re-enter politics just yet.

    And I’m glad to hear Ras has Barrett down two to Walker in WI. And I interpret their 16-point lead they give to Isakson (over Thurmond) as encouraging.

  3. Republicans are not bringing their A-team to this race. I’m not saying Leonard Boswell couldn’t lose in a really bad year for Democrats, but get a load of NRCC favorite Jim Gibbons’ first web ad, released yesterday:

    Transcript and more commentary at Bleeding Heartland. The short version is, I don’t see how this ad would inspire anyone to support this guy. Not that State Senator Brad Zaun’s first tv commercial was great either.

    Boswell does tend to underperform, but this isn’t a strong R district by any means–D+1. I don’t see Gibbons or Zaun having the skills to pull it off. I also don’t see the NRCC heavily investing here when they have so many other good opportunities and are at a cash on hand disadvantage.

  4. My first of the year and it went to these guys:

    PA-Sen: Arlen Specter

    PA-Gov: Dan Onorato

    AR-Sen: Bill Halter

    All to the amount of $30, I know it’s not alot but I don’t make alot buy hey all you seasoned political junkies all know that in elections, every penny counts.

  5. Another bad week for Culver. His chief of staff is leaving (very competent guy taking a better job in Cedar Rapids), and there’s a criminal investigation surrounding campaign contributions from casino backers in Fort Dodge.

    Culver’s not a bad governor if you just look at policies–Iowa is in a much stronger fiscal position than most states. But he is not a good politician.

    Terry Branstad has become a big cheerleader for the Republicans’ no-hope candidate for Iowa attorney general.

    A Republican blogger asks the same question I’ve been asking for months: why no public polls of the Republican primaries in Iowa? We still haven’t had a single public poll since Terry Branstad got in the governor’s race (announced exploratory committee in October, started running full-time in January). I cannot believe that.

    Bob Vander Plaats keeps winning straw polls of Republican activists, but most people here don’t expect him to win the June 8 primary. Branstad has been up on television and BVP probably won’t be able to afford much in paid advertising. The Iowa Family Policy Center is getting some extra public scrutiny as Iowa Independent reports the group has received $3 million in federal funds. Earlier this year the IFPC’s political wing endorsed Vander Plaats and made clear they won’t back Branstad if he is the GOP nominee against Culver.

    Iowa Democrats and Republicans are holding district conventions this weekend. Republicans may need to reconvene in June to select nominees in the second and third Congressional districts.

  6. I had one last night.  We picked up NH-Sen (although weirdly, Hodes beat Gregg) but were down in WA-Sen (but with Seattle still to come in).  

  7. Kinda fun to play with the individual house districts even in the absolute worst scenarios I can’t see the Democrats with less then 215.  

  8. Curious is anyone challenging Rep. Young even redstate endorsed the Democrat last time so I find it hard to believe hes going to get off without much of a challenge.  

  9. I’m back. My old puter finally kicked the bucket this week, right in the middle of the DFL convention and the NFL Draft, a couple events made for the internet (I know I am a geek). So this morning I headed down the Best Buy and got a new toy.

    Anyway the first ballot for the Gov endorsement is underway. Most people are expecting a Long day.

  10. Gilbert Baker predicts that Bill Halter is going to primary Blanche Lincoln. He also said that it would be a tossup if John Boozman goes up against Bill Halter, though Baker said this all at a debate so he probably was just exaggerating.

    “As soon as Congressman Boozman prevails, guess what Bill Halter’s going to do? D.C., not. Wall Street bailout, not. Deficits, Arkansas balanced budget. And we lose three bullets at that point. That’s why I believe I need to be the nominee to carry this forward,” Baker said.

    Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/s

  11. but does anyone else here wonder if Brewer signed the immigration bill to prevent an arpaio gubernatorial candidacy?  Either as a republican or an independent.

  12. From The Washington Post:

    Willard Wirtz, a lawyer and longtime public servant who was secretary of labor under presidents John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson, died April 24 at an assisted living facility in Washington. He had been in failing health, but the cause of death was not immediately known.

    He was 98 and was the last surviving member of the Kennedy and Johnson cabinets.

    Regarded by admirers as an icon of liberalism, Mr. Wirtz took to heart the plight of the jobless. “Maybe I do get emotional about the unemployment problem,” he told an interviewer in 1962.

    But, he said, “I think the situation is so deplorable in human terms that it warrants an indignant intolerance of any explanation for it in terms of any kind of economic analysis.”

    A gifted mediator, he was credited with a behind-the-scenes role in resolving many thorny labor-management disputes.

    After serving as under secretary of labor at the start of the Kennedy administration, he was named to the top post in 1962 when Kennedy nominated then-Secretary Arthur Goldberg to the Supreme Court.

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    During his career at the Labor Department, Mr. Wirtz was credited with forestalling or ending several high-profile strikes, including a Longshoremen’s strike and another affecting New York’s newspapers.

    In the Cabinet, Mr. Wirtz helped create programs and policies of Johnson’s “War on Poverty.” He was a vigorous advocate of retraining for workers to cut unemployment. He sought legislation to root out causes of joblessness and championed remedial education for school dropouts.

    RIP

    Link: http://www.washingtonpost.com/

  13. An article by the AJC had some interesting news.  It seems an increasing number of state legislators are calling it quits either to step up to run for another office or to do something else.  They chalk a lot of it up to the underwhelming pay and the economy.

    Interestingly, a lot of these are members of the leadership.  The House Majority and Minority leaders are leaving.  The former interim Speaker is leaving, too.

    On top of that, by election night, every single-person, statewide elected position except Lt. Governor (assuming Woody Haralson’s long-lost twin brother wins) will have a different incumbent than we had in 2008.

    And we’ve had at least twelve state legislature vacancies.  Only one was due to a scandal; none were due to death.  The others were due to the incumbents getting or trying for another job.

    Is this happening elsewhere?

  14. Connie Stokes (D) either filed for the wrong race (GA-01 instead of GA-04) or she’s going to pull a McClintock and run in a district on the other side of the state.

  15. oh yeah!  http://politicalwire.com/archi

    if he was making this a debate over minimum wage and we weren’t in a recession and SC’s unemployment wasn’t 12% MAYBE but here, no, just no.  Illegal immigrants make far less than the minimum wage b/c they have to worry about the threat of deportation if they ask for more.  laziness is not the issue.

  16. Ramsey County Attorney Susan Gaertner has ended her DFL gubernatorial bid.

    Gaertner made the announcement at a Capitol news conference Monday, about two days after House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher won the DFL party endorsement.

    Gaertner had said she would skip the endorsing convention and run in the primary.

    Gaertner’s decision means the DFL primary race is now between Kelliher, former U.S. Sen. Mark Dayton and former state Rep. Matt Entenza

    .

    http://www.startribune.com/blo

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