Polls have now closed in all three states with primaries tonight: Indiana, North Carolina, and Ohio.
RESULTS
- IN: Associated Press | IN SoS | Politico
- NC: Associated Press | NC BoE | Politico
- OH: Associated Press | OH SoS | Politico
9:51PM: Well, this thread is getting a bit obese. Let’s move this discussion over here.
9:45PM: Get ready for a runoff between Elaine Marshall (37%) and DSCC fave Cal Cunningham (27%) in North Carolina.
9:43PM: With half the vote in, Krikorian leads Yalamanchili by 40-34.
9:38PM: So, er, looks like we jumped to conclusions a bit in IN-09 – Hankins is now fewer than 300 votes behind Young. But it still looks like Young is favored.
9:37PM: Risk loses Kamchatka. The AP calls IN-08 for Larry Bucshon. (Hey teabaggers — vote for Trent out of spite!)
9:35PM: The AP calls OH-02 for Jean Schmidt. She scored 62% of the vote this time.
9:33PM: Unreal. Looks like Dan Burton is gonna live again — he’s at 29.7% of the vote, just over 2000 votes head of Luke Messer with 4 precincts outstanding. What a pathetic showing for Burton!
9:25PM: Despite Travis Hankins’ exciting late surge, Todd Young has pulled away with an almost 2K vote lead. Less than 10% of the vote is outstanding, which means that fewer than 5K more ballots are still out there. Almost impossible to make up that gap. (And incidentally, Mike Sodrel pulled back into second place.)
9:22PM: Elaine Marshall’s share of the vote keeps slipping downward. She’s now just above 37%.
9:09PM: With 477 of 587 precincts in, Todd Young leads Travis Hankins by 225 votes in IN-09.
9:03PM: With 9.5% of the vote in, Lee Fisher leads Jennifer Brunner by 56-44.
9:00PM: I note that Dan Coats won his nomination with about the same percentage as Alexi Giannoulias won his.
8:53PM: Whoa, check out IN-09 — Young leads teabagger Travis Hankins by 34-33, with 30% for Sodrel. Still about a fifth of the vote left to count there.
8:51PM: Risk is now back up by 31-29 in IN-08, but there are still 71 Bucshon-friendly precincts outstanding in Evansville left to count.
8:49PM: Whoa mama joe! In Ohio, it’s still 52-48 Fisher with 7% of the vote in.
8:47PM: Worth noting: Neither Kissell nor Shuler’s primary opponent filed an FEC report, and Shuler’s guy doesn’t even have a contribution link on his website.
8:46PM: The problem for Dan Burton? He has no strongholds left, and his Hamilton County performance is quite weak. This should be very close.
8:45PM: Buschon now up by 31-30 based on his strength in Evansville. 2/3rds of the vote now in.
8:43PM: Almost 2/3rds of the votes are now counted in IN-05, and Burton leads Messer by 31-28. The Hamilton County votes, which are starting to come in now, are split 25-25-25 for Burton, Messer, and McGoff.
8:41PM: The AP calls the Indiana Senate primary for Dan Coats.
8:41PM: Note that both Shuler and Kissell voted against healthcare — are we seeing some fallout there?
8:38PM: NC-11: And Heath Shuler is up just 57-43 against Aixa Wilson.
8:37PM: NC-08: Dem Rep. Larry Kissell up just 60-40 against challenger from the left with 15% in.
8:36PM: A bit over half of the vote is in, and Dan Burton leads Luke Messer by 32-30.
8:29PM: Risk only up 12 votes in IN-08, 30-30, she’ll continue to lose ground as more of Vanderburgh County comes in.
8:26PM: Harold Johnson leads D’Annuzio by 35-34 in NC-08. Looks like a runoff is a live possibility here.
8:25PM: Now that a bit over a quarter of the vote is in, Elaine Marshall leads Cal Cunningham by 38-28. Ken Lewis is at 15.
8:22PM: With a bit over half the vote counted in IN-09, Young leads Sodrel by 37-31, while teabagger Travis Hankins is close behind with 29%.
8:21PM: Teabagger Kristi Risk now only leads Buschon by 300 votes in IN-08, now that Evansville (Buschon’s home base) is starting to report.
8:19PM: In NC-08, Harold Johnson leads businessman Tim D’Annuzio by 37-34. Looks like that’s just the early vote, though.
8:18PM: NC-10: McHenry comfortably ahead with a small number of votes in, 60-25.
8:16PM: Check out OH-16, where Matt Miller is leading NRCC fave Jim Renacci by 72-23 thanks to some early votes in in Ashland, his home county.
8:13PM: The bean counters at SSP labs think that a runoff is likely in North Carolina. There’s a huge chunk of eastern NC that’s largely African-American where Ken Lewis is going to do better than he’s been doing right now, as well as Durham/Mecklenburg counties outstanding.
8:11PM: With under half of the vote in, teabagger Kristi Risk leads DC-backed surgeon Larry Buschon by 31-26. Wow!
8:10PM: The AP has called IN-02 for Wacky Jackie Walorski.
8:09PM: IN-09: Todd Young leads Mike Sodrel 38-33, with Travis Hankins back at 26.
8:08PM: In North Carolina, the Senate race is now 39M-27C-16L, but as Tom Jensen points out, the minor candidates may force this into a runoff.
8:04PM: With just 11 precincts in (but also a big chunk of votes in from Franklin County), Fisher leads Brunner by 52-48 in Ohio.
8:00PM: The AP has declared GOP Rep. Mark Souder the winner of his primary. I’m kind of surprised!
7:57PM: Dan Burton is in a very tight race. With 40% in, he leads Messer by 33-31.
7:56PM: IN-04: Rokita crushing 45-18 with about a third of the vote in.
7:56PM: IN-03: Souder very likely to hold on – 49-34 with 72% in.
7:55PM: IN-02: Wacky Jackie now up 57-31 with 43% in.
7:48PM: With the early vote in North Carolina in, Elaine Marshall leads Cal Cunningham by 39.5% to 26%.
7:42PM: Kristi Risk now ahead by just 15 votes in IN-08 (216 of 635 precincts reporting).
7:40PM: With 28% of precincts in statewide, Dan Coats leads Marlin Stutzman by 42%-30%.
Marshall with the early lead 42-30.
She has 46%, Cunningham way behind with 22% and Lewis not even in 3rd place (he’s in 5th) with 8%.
does turnout look like in NC and OH?
Larry Kissell is only up 60-40 against his primary challenger from the left. Could this warning shot make him move to the left, lest the Democratic base desert him in November?
With just 1 precinct in (out of 278), AP is reporting that Shuler is barely beating his primary opponent (one “A. Smith) by 52% to 48% — 306 to 278.
Is there any reason to believe he could be in serious primary trouble? (plenty of reasons for the base to be angry with Shuler)
I’d be inclined to believe that this is a fluky result from a single precinct until I see otherwise, but worth looking out for during the evening
Brunner pulls within 1.4% of Fischer. Per Politico
Brunner has almost closed the gap. Fisher now leads only 51-49.
it would be hard to vote against him………
Please, Please,Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please, Please let Burton lose. Please!
Just a awful, awful performance so far.
her lead is 31-27 now, with 272/635 precincts in. If she wins, I’d move IN-08 from Tossup to at least Lean Dem, if not Likely Dem.
I could prove wrong, but I worry that in a GE, Stutzman would actually be the best candidate for the Republicans because in a Republican year, he can pose as “Generic Republican” and win. Coats and Hostettler both have big negatives that will likely allow Ellsworth to be competitive.
Portsmouth City Council member Doug Smith got knocked off by newcomer Paige Cherry, Norfolk City Council member Randy Wright (a douchebag Republican supported by the city Democratic establishment) is 11 votes ahead of his closest challenger, Newport News City Council member Joe Whitaker is currently in third place for his seat, and Hampton City Council member Paige Washington is currently in fifth place (in a three-seat race).
In Chesapeake, three of the four incumbent city council members are currently losing (it’s one big messy race for five seats — the top five finishers win). It’s bad news — all but one of the people currently ahead are right-wingers. The Chesapeake Democrats have been completely absent this year.
Elsewhere, William & Mary student Scott Foster won a seat on the Williamsburg City Council. He actually came in first, in a five-way race for two seats — the college vote came out strong for him.
he might be going down……
Super early, but Miller is leading Renacci 72%-23%. Teabag to victory!
is crushing the NRCC’s preferred candidate with 71% of the vote.
Is right. I didn’t think Buschon would have ANY problems. I thought he was as safe as can be. This is soooooooo good.
crushing Jim Renacci very early on.
will Cal drop out and save NC taxpayers and help the party or will he keep up the struggle?
22 of the 131 precincts in Vandenburgh county are in and Risk has lost most of her lead.
In any of the three states?
McHenry doesn’t look like he’s a goner.
61-39. Didn’t know there was that much discontent there with him.
don’t like the fact that a LaRouchie running on a platform of impeaching Obama is coming in to second to Hill. I mean the fact that 7% of them are stupid enough to vote for her upsets me.
What was her campaign slogan? A Risk we ought to take?
D`annunzio now leading Johnson 36%-31%. Ridiculous.
OK.
with 11% in.
Imagine that…
Sly Stallone just said he thinks the neverending “Rambo” series is finished…and the very same week the sequeltastic Hill-Sodrel series (“the House Battle of the Oughts”) that consumed the past decade might just go out in a whimper.
Maybe the idea of the sequel is dying its well-needed death! Pass the ganj!
I’d love a runoff. Cunningham is leagues above Marshall and the only he wins if if there’s a runoff.
anyone here know who the hell travis hankins is?
my gosh please let Hankins win the primary. Even Cook would have to move it to lean D or even likely. I feel good about this.
neither party left any Senate or House seat uncontested in these states.
He has so many unreported friendly precincts outstanding.
Fisher has jumped back to a 56-44 lead.
Fred Dailey, Zack Space’s 2008 opponent (who lost 60-40), has pulled into the lead over the NRCC’s preferred candidate, Bob Gibbs.
A few more votes in, Miller still ahead 60%-30%.
Can Hankins and Risk run as independents still?
at 41% with 78% in. Would like to see a runoff here.
Runoff looks very likely in NC-08.
are done. Bucshon and Young. Not called but pretty much done. Damn it!
is this the first time Mean Jean has scored over 52% of the vote in a primary or general election?
The GOP nominated all of the best candidates tonight (assuming Young wins). Well not Burton and Souder but you know what I mean. Gosh the Tea Party gave me such high hopes, and let me down. Not the worst night though, a friend of mine just got the Democratic nomination for Sheriff. Oh Mike Sodrel I will not miss you at all.
Teabagger Matt Miller is up 52-40 over establishment choice Jim Rannacci.
It looks like it’ll be a runoff, Elaine’s got 37%, Cunningham has 28%, Lewis has 16%, and the others have the rest. I’m still surprised that the minor candidates took so much of the vote from the big two (or three), that seems to be what made the difference.
Expect a Marshall endorsement by Kenneth Lewis, he ran attack ads against Cunningham. This will help Elaine consolidate the black vote and win the runnoff. Ann Worthy also was harsh on Cunningham during the debate, she might endorse Elaine as well. I think Elaine will be favored in the runoff.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v…
Miller is now at 40.3%. Give me a runoff!
Runoff between D’Anuzzio and Johnson in NC-08 is called.