SC, VA & GA-09 Results Thread

8:34pm: This thread is getting a bit portly, so time to head on over to our new party scene.

8:27pm: For a while there, it was looking like Bob Inglis might lose outright tonight, with Trey Gowdy over the 50% mark. Now we’re looking like a runoff, with Gowdy at 34 and Inglis at 31 with 20% reporting. That’s not good news for Inglis either, as Gowdy’s likely to consolidate the anti-sanity vote.

8:25pm: Huh, I’d totally forgotten that John Adler (the Dem in NJ-03) was getting a challenge from the left over his HCR vote. He’s at 75%, against Bob Bendar.

8:24pm: We’re starting to see some New Jersey numbers trickling in. Most notably, in NJ-03, establishment meathead Jon Runyan is leading teabagger Justin Murphy 64-36, with 2%.

8:22pm: OK, go ahead and put that check mark next to Graves after all. The AP just called GA-09 in his favor.

8:17pm: Don’t quite put that check mark next to Tom Graves’ name in the GA-09 special just yet. He’s losing some ground, now leading Lee Hankins 59-41 with about half in. He’s crushing in every county except Hall (presumably Hankins’ home), which is keeping Hankins in the game.

8:13pm: In the GOP primary in the 3rd, all I can tell you is that we’re going to a runoff and CfG fave Jeff Duncan will be one of them. Three other guys are bunched around 15-19%, and right now the previously unheralded “R. Cash” is on track to make the runoff at 19%. (10% reporting.)

8:11pm: The AP has called it for Keith Fimian in VA-11, so we’re pretty much done in Virginia. That’s probably good news for Gerry Connolly; the more moderate Herrity would seem to match up better.

8:10pm: Looks like some asses finally got in gear in SC, as they’re suddenly up to 8% reporting. For the Rs, it’s still a Haley (40)/Barrett (28) runoff. McMaster’s at 17, Bauer’s at 14. Looks like the last-minute polygraph thing didn’t pan out. For the Ds, Sheheen is at 54, with Rex a surprisingly weak 26 and Robert Ford a surprisingly strong 20.

8:08pm: As far as actual numbers, in the 2nd, it’s Rigell 41, Loyola 24, Mizusawa 20, with 48% in. Not a dominant performance, but a win’s a win, and no runoffs in VA. In the 11th, it’s Fimian 61, Herrity 39, with 58% in.

8:06pm: AP has called it for Scott Rigell in VA-02.

8:05pm: Polls have closed in Maine and New Jersey, so we’re adding links for those below. Let’s see if anyone showed up in Maine.

8:00pm: Ticker tape is spewing out from the SSP Lab mainframes, and we’re feeling like we’re at a place where we can call both VA-02 for Scott Rigell and VA-11 for Keith Fimian. It would require massive turnarounds to go a different way at this point.

7:54pm: Still less than 1% in in SC-04, but Trey Gowdy is whomping Bob Inglis, and everybody else; he has 66 to Inglis’s 17. Of course, these are coming from Spartanburg, which is Gowdy’s home county, so expect that to tighten.

7:49pm: Things also seem to be going according to plan for the NRCC in the 2nd, where establishment pick Scott Rigell has 41%, ahead of Ben Loyola at 23, who just pulled ahead of Bert Mizusawa, at 21. We’re at 37% reporting.

7:46pm: Hmm, the twittersphere is saying that Rob Hurt has been declared the winner in VA-05. He’s up to 46% of the vote, with 65% reporting. McKelvey’s still in 2nd at 26%. If McKelvey follows through with threats to support the 3rd-party teabagger indie in November, he could probably move a bunch of votes with him.

7:44pm: We can probably expect a call soon in the GA-09 special. With about 23% reporting, CfG fave Tom Graves still leads Lee Hawkins 65-35.

7:42pm: In SC-Gov (R), it’s looking like a two-person race to make the runoff, between Haley (37) and Barrett (32). Still less than 1% reporting, though. (Also good for a laff: Trey Gowdy is winning 100% of the vote in SC-04. Out of a total of 2 votes, all from the 1 precinct out of 265 that’s reported.)

7:37pm: Things not looking so hot for Pat Herrity, the more establishment choice in VA-11. With 15% in, he’s still trailing Keith Fimian 61-39. Also worth noting he’s ahead only 50.1-49.9 in his home county of Fairfax, where he’s a county supervisor (granted, Fairfax Co. takes up about 2/3ds of the district, so maybe the Herrity areas haven’t reported yet).

7:34pm: Dang, more seesawing in VA-02. Rigell’s back in front at 40, with Mizusawa at 29. We’re at 26% reporting.

7:31pm: The AP is finally dribbling out some SC details. With a whopping 3 precincts out of 2,109, Nikki Haley’s just above the runoff-avoidance mark at 51%. Gresham Barrett’s in 2nd at 30. On the Dem side, Vince Sheheen is at 52 with Jim Rex at 41.

7:28pm: I might have been hasty about VA-02; check it out. Bert Mizusawa has actually pulled ahead of Scott Rigell, with 17% reporting. Bert’s up 37-33, with Ben Loyola at 18. Maybe Rigell’s insufficient purity caught up with him after all.

7:27pm: In VA-05, we’re up to 33% in. Hurt’s just moving sideways, still at 40%, but McKelvey is losing ground as other teabaggers’ local strongholds seem to be trickling in. McK is at 31, with McPadden up to 11.

7:26pm: Things are closing a lot in VA-11; maybe they started with Keith Fimian’s precinct. Fimian still has a big lead over Herrity, though: 63-37, with 6% in.

7:24pm: The AP has already called the GOP primary in VA-01 for incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman. Not that he was expected to lose to Cathy “Bullet Box” Crabill, but it wasn’t close.

7:21pm: Early outlook in GA-09, with 1% reporting, is a big lead for Tom Graves. He’s leading Lee Hawkins 65-35. Looks like that whole construction lien story didn’t damage him much.

7:19pm: Things are actually moving fast in VA-05. We’re up to 20% reporting. And things are tightening up between Hurt and McKelvey. It’s now Hurt 40, McKelvey 36. Remember, though, that VA doesn’t have runoffs.

7:17pm: Hmmm, I wonder if this a geographical blip or a sign of things to come? In VA-11’s GOP primary, 2008 nominee Keith Fimian is pounding Pat Herrity, by a surprising 80-20 margin. 1% is in.

7:15pm: There’s 1% in in the 2nd, and as expected, Scott Rigell, the wealthy guy/establishment choice, has a large lead. He’s at 57%, with Bert Mizusawa at 18%.

7:12pm: No preliminary ganja break in Virginia; they’re hitting the ground running. (These results are only at the BOE, not at the AP yet.) Maybe most significantly, with 4% reporting in the GOP primary in VA-05, Robert Hurt is in first place at 47%. Jim McKelvey seems to have consolidated much of the teabagger vote; he’s not too far back at 37%, with everyone else in single digits.

Polls are set to close in half an hour in South Carolina, Virginia and Georgia, and we’ll be using this thread to follow the returns. We’ll put up new threads throughout the night as polls close in other states. Grab your Pop Secret and let’s go!

RESULTS:

100 thoughts on “SC, VA & GA-09 Results Thread”

  4. Here’s a link to the GA Secy of State page with tonights special election run-off results: http://sos.georgia.gov/electio…

    Nothing exciting to see here unless you actually live in Georgia (especially if you live in NE GA, or in Gainesville).

    By most accounts former state rep Tom Graves is expected to beat former state sen Lee Hawkins (both republicans), unless the recent dust-up in which Graves is being used by a bank over a $2.25m loan shakes the race (although it doesn’t look likely).

  7. Far and away the best in the country — it updates super fast and you can easily see results down to the precinct — why can’t all states be so great. sigh…

  9. Jim McKelvey up big in Bedford County (where he’s from, naturally). Hurt up big elsewhere.

  10. It’s going to be interesting finding out Perriello’s challenger(s) tonight. A Hurt result would only be Goode if some other strong candidate with the potential for Republican vote stealing decides to run as an independent; therefore, I think I will pull for one of the more unelectable Republicans. Unfortunately, it seems there will be another addition to the “You lie” wing of the Republican Party out of South Carolina tonight, but let’s hope not.  

  11. where you select the state you want to have the election returns of. Help, anyone? I want to pre-bookmark Montana’s page, as I’m most interested in that one.  

  12. Although Boyd will do respectably in Albemarle, I predict McKelvey will get next to nothing and Hurt will rack up a big margin with Albemarle moderate Republicans  

  15. About rural Virginia reporting early and Fairfax County reporting late is not true. Already, Fairfax County and the area is reporting.  

  19. turnout is not exactly flying off the walls in VA-02 for the Republicans, not that it says anything about what will happen in November. I would think that Nye’s seat is a must win if Republicans want to win back the House in November anyway or perhaps they need at least two of the three swing Virginia seats.

  22. and had to tell my roommate no way in hell is he waiting til tomorrow for the ganj break goods.  Celebration is in order, I get to see Sen. Lincoln go down tonight!

    Almost said, “get to watch Blanche go down” but refrained in honor of my favorite Golden Girl dying last week.

  27. He’s barely losing Fairfax, and although most of his Supervisor district hasn’t reported (precincts in the 800s), his performance is pretty pathetic for a guy who ran countywide and nearly won just a year and a half ago.

  34. I know nothing about the race, and it’s probably a sacrificial lamb against a strong Dem, but the GOP primary in VA-08 has Murray with 5250, Berry with 5234, with 74% in.

  35. Quasi-incumbent Converse Chellis (he was appointed after his predecessor plead guilty to cocaine possession) is down 60-40 to his challenger. No Democrat filed for this race, so whoever wins here wins in November.

  37. Virginia was trying to set the Olympic record for election counting speed, while South Carolina seems to have crashed into the first hurdle gate.

  39. Gowdy is destroying Inglis in Spartanburg. Overall, a 65-19% lead with 14 precincts in.

  40. VA-08: Murray is pulling ahead, it looks like he will probably win, unless Falls Church went big for Berry.

    VA-11: Herrity is finally closing the gap a bit, but it’s too little, too late. I think his political career is pretty much over, this is the second race he’s lost in as many years.  

  45. Haley’s been stuck in the low-to-mid 40s so far, but she’s at 51% in Charleston, with only a trickle of the vote reporting there. I suspect she could move into the high 40s within an hour.

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