Predictions Thread

As always, we’d like to hear your predictions for tonight’s elections. Can Elaine Marshall make it across the finish line in North Carolina, or is a Cal Cunningham upset in the making? Will Crazed Wingnut A or Crazed Wingnut B (or Shameless RINO, as he’s known at RedState) prevail in Utah? Will the Colbert Bump (TM) help Bob Inglis stave off elimination?

Closing times for tonight:

South Carolina: 7 pm ET

North Carolina: 7:30 pm ET

Mississippi: 7 pm CT (8 pm ET)

Utah: 8 pm MT (10 pm ET)

California: 8 pm PT (11 pm ET)

We’ll be starting the liveblogging in a couple hours. In the meantime, if you have any links to local sites for election results, please let us know in the comments, too!

17 thoughts on “Predictions Thread”

  1. Here in NC, my perception is that all of the momentum in the last month has been for Cunningham.  That includes me – I voted for Marshall in May and Cunningham today after learning more about both candidates and watching the debates.

    As for some of the other races…

    – Sadly, I think Harold Johnson will win in NC-08, 65-35.

    – In SC, Haley will win with about 70% of the vote, and I’ll go with Thurmond, Duncan, and Gowdy in the GOP House races.  Thurmond and Duncan’s races will be within single digits, but I expect Gowdy to win in a blowout.

    – I’ll go with Mike Lee in Utah, 55-45, since he seems to be the favorite of the extreme right.  Matheson should win his primary handily – I’ll say 65-35.

  2. Landslide wins for Haley in SC-Gov and Gowdy in SC-03.

    I think Marshall will win in NC-Sen.  Marshall and Cunningham diverged on Afghanistan, with Marshall wanting a pullout while Cunningham wanted to continue.  The McChrystal mess might push people to Marshall.

  3. SC-Gov: Haley 66%, Barrett 34%

    SC-01: Thurmond 51, Scott 49, race hurts him

    UT-02: Matheson 54, Wright 46

    UT-Sen: Bridgewater 53, Lee 47

    NC-Sen: Marshall 55, Cunningham 45

    NC-08: Jhonson 60, Timmy D 40

  4. am horrible at this but I will give a try.

    Cunningham-51%

    Marshall-49

    I like Marshall but her debate performance did not go over well.

    Johnson-54%

    Nutcase-46%

    You can’t fix crazy, and I will give some credit to the GOP in thinking that they are not completely stupid.

    Haley-62%

    Barret-38%

    Haley will do fine. If she somehow lost I would eat my own leg.

    Gowdy-61%

    Inglis-39%

    Sadly Inglis, a principled conservative, will lose badly tonight. Shame on the Republicans for not sticking up for one of their own.

    Bridgewater-53%

    Lee-47%

    Utah Republicans are more sane than we give them credit for.

    Matheson-59%

    Wright-41%

    Matheson will face some pushback over his HCR vote but it will not be that serious.

    I do not know enough about the California special to make a call.  

  5. NC-SEN (D) – Cunningham 55, Marshall 45

    NC-08 (R) – Johnson 53, D’Annuzio 47

    SC-GOV (R) – Haley 68, Barrett 32

    SC-01 (R) – Thurmond 51, Scott 49

    SC-03 (R) – Cash 60, Duncan 40

    SC-04 (R) – Gowdy 64, Inglis 36

    UT-SEN (R) – Bridgewater 51, Lee 49

    UT-02 (D) – Matheson 58, Wright 42

    CA-SD-15 – Laird 49, Blakeslee 44 – Runoff

  6. NC-SEN (D) – Marshall 51, Cunningham 49

    NC-08 (R) – Johnson 59, D’Annuzio 41

    SC-GOV (R) – Haley 60, Barrett 40

    SC-01 (R) – Scott 52, Thurmond: 48

    SC-04 (R) – Gowdy 63, Inglis 37

    UT-SEN (R) – Lee 53, Bridgewater 47

    UT-02 (D) – Matheson 62, Wright 38

  7. NC

    Marshall 53

    Cunningham 47

    Utah-

    Bridgewater 55

    Lee 45

    Eat shit Erick Erickson.

    SC-

    Haley 65

    Barrett 35

    Erickson wins here, but given the crap that the SC establishment has thrown at Haley, she deserves to win.

    Gowdy 60

    Inglis 40

    Cali-

    Laird 48

    Oil Magnate 42

    Others- 10

  8. NC-Sen: 52-48 Marshall.

    NC-08: 57-43 Johnson.

    SC-01: 51-49 Thurmond.

    SC-04: 60-40 Gowdy.

    UT-Sen: 53-47 Bridgewater.

    UT-02: 63-37 Matheson.

  9. Cunningham-47%

    Marshall-53

    Johnson-78%

    Ark of Covenant-22%  

    Haley-75%

    Barret-25%

    Gowdy-58%

    Inglis-42%  

    Bridgewater-41%

    Lee-59%

    Matheson-62%

    Wright-38%

  10. SC-Gov

    Haley: 63

    Barrett: 37

    SC-01

    Scott: 55

    Thurmond: 45

    SC-03

    Gowdy: 66

    Inglis: 34

    NC-Sen

    Cunningham: 52

    Marshall: 48

    NC-08

    Johnson: 60

    Capt. Cray-Cray: 40

    UT-Sen

    Bridgewater: 53

    Lee: 47

    UT-02

    Matheson: 61

    Wright: 39

  11. NC Sen will be a blowout. Unfortunately, most of the results are in so my predictions are not too valid.

    Marshall 60%

    Cunningham 40%

    CA-State Sen

    Environmentalist 48%

    Oil Drilling Enthusiast 44%

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