Public Policy Polling (pdf) (8/7-8, Colorado voters, 5/14-16 in parens):
Michael Bennet (D-inc): 46 (44)
Jane Norton (R): 40 (41)
Undecided: 14 (14)Michael Bennet (D-inc): 46 (45)
Ken Buck (R): 43 (39)
Undecided: 12 (16)Andrew Romanoff (D): 42 (43)
Jane Norton (R): 43 (41)
Undecided: 15 (16)Andrew Romanoff (D-inc): 43 (41)
Ken Buck (R): 42 (38)
Undecided: 15 (22)
(MoE: ±3.1%)
With all eyes on the Senate primaries today (for which they released numbers yesterday, giving small leads to Michael Bennet and Jane Norton), PPP is also out with how things look for the general. This has been an easy race to get pessimistic about, but that’s because the race has been polled almost exclusively by Rasmussen; PPP’s few looks at the race have tended to give small advantages to the Democrats, and that continues to be the case here.
What PPP’s Tom Jensen finds most striking about this race is how unpopular everyone currently is, thanks to heavy doses of negative campaigning on both sides of the aisle. Bennet, for instance, is at 32/48 approvals (down from 34/44 in May), not the kind of numbers you usually recover from… unless the Republicans are doing worse. Norton is at 28/44 (down from 20/32), and Ken Buck seems to have fared the worst of all, dropping to 26/46 (down from 19/24). Andrew Romanoff comes the closest to smelling like roses (or at least vaguely rose-scented compost), at 35/37 (down from 31/26). So, although Bennet currently fares better than Romanoff in the general, probably thanks to his name rec advantage, Romanoff would seem to have more upside… but the real question, if Romanoff somehow pulls off the upset in the primary tonight, would be whether Romanoff can access the money quickly enough to capitalize on his room to grow.
Clear Dem winner, recount for GOP.
That might give us a better idea of who’s closer. PPP has recently shown a much rosier picture for the Dems while Ras is doing his same-old, same-old…a third party would be welcome. It’s also a shame they didn’t poll the primaries…
Here’s hoping for a Bennet win.
Florida and California have the most interesting Governor/Senate race combinations this cycle.
may be particularly hard to get a gauge on because of the ongoing events in the GOP gubernatorial primary. I would imagine if there’s enough bad blood and damage done over there, it would have some spillover effect into the Senate race and the downballot House races as well.
BTW, can anyone explain exactly where “cat fud” comes from? All I could find was a Far Side cartoon, but I don’t think that’s what SSP’ers mean. So I don’t know if I can call what’s happening on the GOP side in CO-Gov “cat fud” or not. :-\
with a 10% Obama no-show rate in November. This is pretty high given Colorado only has about 4% African-American voters, and if anything, Latinos will turn out higher with Tancredo on the ballot.
In any case, these are significant leads for Bennet.