Arizona, Florida, Oklahoma, and Vermont Primary Results Thread

11:00pm: Time for some fresh thread.

10:55pm: Hahahhahahahahahha! The AP calls FL-Gov for none other than Rick Scott! Fuckin’ amazing!

10:53pm: Over in FL-24, is Sandy Adams this cycle’s Alice Kryzan? Diebel attacked Miller on immigration, Miller attacked Diebel on crazy, and Adams is walking through the hole in the middle. Still, it’s a very close race and not yet called.

10:49pm: Speaking of Boyd, the AP just called the race for him. What a crazy race.

10:47pm: The hamsters have been spinning in their wheels furiously to keep the ol’ mainframe running, which is still calling for about a 2-point Scott win and a 3-point Boyd escape.

10:42pm: We have a winner in FL-17! The AP has called the race for state Sen. Frederica Wilson, with 35% of the vote. Self-funder Rudy Moise was a distant second with 16%. He spent over a million bucks to get fewer than 6,000 votes (so far).

10:37pm: Rick Scott has now nudged up to 47%. If he hangs on, Tom Jensen and the gang over at PPP are going to look like geniuses.

10:34pm: Annette Taddeo, who ran a spirited campaign last cycle in FL-18, is running again this year for County Commissioner in Dade Co. Unfortunately, things don’t look so hot for her right now – she is in third place (look for District 8) in a race where the top two candidates advance.

10:28pm: We’re up to 67% in VT-Gov, Racine leads Markowitz by 8 votes. Shumlin trails by 50 or so votes. Basically, every update of this race has given us a new leader.

10:20pm: We’re now up to 81% reporting in Florida, and Rick Scott leads by 46-43. Note the disparity between the AP and Miami-Dade’s website in terms of precincts reporting: AP says 380, Miami-Dade says 526, but both show the same raw vote total. I’ve learned that when in doubt, the AP is usually wrong!

10:13pm: A perfect tie! Racine and Shumlin are at 9,440 votes each. Markowitz is about 200 votes behind.

10:07pm: Over in Vermont, Peter Shumlin had the lead briefly, but now it’s Doug Racine over Markowitz by 34 votes. (52% reporting)

10:06pm: The AP has called FL-25’s GOP primary for David Rivera. He’s up 64, to Crespo’s 25 and Cancio’s 10. Democratic oppo researchers are doing happy dances.

10:05pm: Eagle-eyed watchers may have noticed that the Miami-Dade elections office is about 300 precincts further along than the AP (526, instead of 213). McCollum needs to make up about 40K votes statewide, and the further-along Miami votes only help him make up about 5,000, though. Anyway, according to the AP, 72% are reporting, and it’s still 47-43 in favor of Scott.

9:59pm: It’s still a small Sandy Adams lead on the GOP side in the 24th. She leads Karen Diebel 30-29, with Craig Miller at 27, with 93% reporting. On the Dem side, let’s Partyka like it’s 2010. Suzanne Kosmas beat even-more-conservaDem Paul Partyka 78-22.

9:57pm: Did we mention there were primaries in the open seat FL-12? On the Dem side, Lori Edwards won 75-25 over Doug Tudor, the 2008 candidate and the preferred candidate of a few vocal souls in the netroots. On the GOP side, Dennis Ross’s performance against some teabagging dude J. Lindsey wasn’t overwhelming: 69-31.

9:55pm: Allen Boyd is starting to put a little more distance between him and Al Lawson, if 52-48 can be considered distant. That’s with 86% reporting, and with mostly rural white counties left (Boyd’s stronghold) to report.

9:51pm: Things are starting to look kind of locked in, in the Florida GOP gubernatorial race. With 65% reporting, it’s still 47 for Lex Luthor Bizarro World Peter Garrett Rick Scott, 43 for Bill McCollum. There’s still 2/3ds of Miami-Dade County left, though, where McCollum is doing well (up 63-30), presumably because of his support in the Cuban community over his less-insane immigration stance.

9:47pm: In the wildly swinging Vermont gubernatorial race (if you go by percentages instead of raw votes), Deb Markowitz has pulled back into the lead by about 65 votes over Doug Racine. It’s 26-26 with Shumlin at 24 and Dunne at 19.

9:44pm: One more call to mention: the AP called OK-05 for outsiderish social con Jim Lankford, who beats Club for Growth stooge Kevin Calvey 65-35.

9:41pm: The AP called the Dem field in FL-25 for Joe Garcia, who beats Luis Meurice 77-23. Still no call on the GOP side, but David Rivera’s at 64.

9:39pm: No call yet in the GOP field in FL-24, but it has one thing in common with FL-08: the NRCC’s prize pick finished embarrassingly back. In the 24th, Craig Miller is in 3rd at 27 (with Sandy Adams at 31 and Karen Diebel at 30). And in the 8th (which is called), Bruce O’Donoghue finished 5th, at _7_, behind Daniel Webster at 40, Todd Long at 23, Kurt Kelly at 14, and heretofore unknown P. Sullivan at 11.

9:37pm: Somewhere in there, the Republican primary in FL-05 got called for the Nuge. That’s Richard Nugent, not Ted, the Hernando Co. Sheriff who beats random teabagger Jason Sager 62-38 for the right to succeed Ginny Brown-Waite. He’ll face Dem Jim Piccillo in the general.

9:35pm: With 57% now reporting statewide in Florida, we’re still holding at a 47-43 lead for Rick Scott. That’s with 10 for Mike McAllister, a pretty good showing for Some Dude, although he pretty much a priori has to be the least of three evils.

9:32pm: The mainframe at SSP Labs has finally laid its egg (extrapolating each county’s results so far), and it predicts that Allen Boyd will continue to hold the lead and survive, by a not-so-convincing 52-48 margin. (He’s currently up 51-49 over Al Lawson, says the AP.) By the way, who ever wins will face Steve Southerland; the AP has called the GOP field in the 2nd for him, with 48% out of a field of five.

9:30pm: In what’s likely to not be the last lead change of the night, now Doug Racine leads the Dem pack in Vermont, with not quite 1/3 reporting. Racine’s at 26, with Markowitz at 25 and Shumlin at 24. (Racine’s edge is just 22 votes, so this’ll be a game of inches all night.)

9:15pm: And in FL-Gov, Rick Scott leads by 3.6% with 55% of the vote in. The other hot race to watch is FL-24, where conservative state Rep. Sandy Adams leads Karen “Snakes in a Pool” Diebel by 1% with 90% reporting.

9:14pm: We’re at 73% reporting in FL-02, and Allen Boyd’s lead has dipped down to 51-49. The ticker tape is spewing out of the SSP Labs mainframe fast and furiously — we’ll let you know what our findings tell us in a few minutes.


RESULTS:

137 thoughts on “Arizona, Florida, Oklahoma, and Vermont Primary Results Thread”

  1. With 2 of the 3 precincts reporting in the Vermont Governor’s race, Shumlin’s pulled 724 of 1229 votes cast (59%); this is up from 50% or 51% when just one of those precincts was reporting. The third precinct could easily put her in the lead.

    The odd thing is that all 3 precincts have reported in the Windham County State Senate race, where former ambassador Peter Galbraith is running for one of two state senate seats. He’s currently 5 votes away from incumbent Democratic senator Jeannette White with 38% each; the third Dem is at 24%. In fact, the third precinct reported a good 15 minutes ago. What’s up with that?

  2. turnout numbers in Florida.

    In 2006: 984K versus 856.

    In 2010: 1.14 Million versus 656K.

    Most of Broward and Dade are still out, but those are blowout numbers.

  3. Votes are still trickling in from last weeks Washington Sates top 2 primary and in WA-02 John Koster (R) has pulled ahead of Rick Larson (D Inc) by 161 votes. Both will go on to the General but it is not good when an Incumbent finishes in 2nd place (Total Dem vote is still ahead of total Rep by about 52-48)

    http://vote.wa.gov/Elections/W

  4. She was the choice of the average tea party member around America. I will also point out Bruce was supported by 3rd place CA R Sen primary finisher Chuck DeVore, who is trying to become a voice for national conservative movement. Webster was the NRCC’s original top recruit, but he decided not to run then ran. So, the NRCC can say their guy won.  

  5. Mark Snelling, son of the late governor, is losing the Republican primary for Lt. Governor by 59-41.

  6. it’s looking like this will come down to chittenden county, or more to the point, burlington and south burlington.  if they go for racine, his home county, I predict he’ll win, contradicting my diary about him (oops).  If they split, or go for the youthful dunne/scrapper shumlin, god only knows.

  7. Scott will be severely disliked outside the GOP base, and by some within the GOP base, and I have to think he’s weaker for November.  But McCollum is also damaged and also broke, which helps Sink, too.

    I’m still rooting for Scott tonight bigtime.

    I’m trying to start being philsophical and looking ahead now, pretty much surrendering the House in my mind, but redistricting matters and Sink pulling out a November win means everything to us in what might be the most badly gerrymandered state against us in U.S. House seats.

  8. She’s up to a 650 vote lead now from 575. I always liked her and never understood why the NRCC left her for dead, she doesn’t have Miller’s money but has a better telegenic presence. I think Kosmas is probably rooting for Diebel to hang on–she’s a slightly better fundraiser but has more skeletons/snakes in the closet.

    Adams and Diebel both live in Winter Park; does anyone know what part of the district is still out?

  9. although not by much. He’s up 51-49, and the precincts left will probably pad his majority by a bit.

  10.  The Democratic Senatorial primary, I noticed something interesting. Meek did well almost everywhere except for small white rural counties. You would think places like those would be turned off by Greene the rich billionaire but maybe the voters there disliked Meek more. What do you think is the reason for the numbers in the small counties?  

  11. Everyone here treated him like he was dead in November. I always thought this race was toss-up/tilt D at best. After tonight, I am convinced this race is Lean R. I thought Boyd would win b/c of money. Lawson spent less than 300k while Boyd spent around 2 million for this pathetic win. Money is not everything, and if Southerland runs a competent campaign and raised money at the same pace, probably with a little increase due to signs of Boyd’s weakness, he should win.  

  12. What is their recount law? Mixed might for the RGA/DGA. RGA got terrible news for picking up FL (winning FL is now a pick up for both parties), great news for holding VT, with a very close Dem race looking headed toward a recount, and the best candidate possibly losing.  

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