Campaign and Election News – Covering Key Races Around the Country
Weekly Open Thread: What Races Are You Interested In?
354 thoughts on “Weekly Open Thread: What Races Are You Interested In?”
Murkowski pulls the trigger.
Defeated Sen. Lisa Murkowski plans to announce this evening that she will mount a write-in campaign to retain her Senate seat.
POLITICO has learned that the senator, en route from Washington, D.C. to Anchorage for her planned Friday evening announcement, phoned supporters from her connection in the Minneapolis Airport to let them know she had decided to mount a write-in campaign.
Obnoxious title, I know. Ever since he came on the scene, I have never understood his appeal. Wow, he uses equations, whoopty-doo. Politics isn’t such a science where you can subtract 4.5% points because he got into a groping scandal. SSP has better prognosticators, even when they get truth from the gut.
His Murkowski write-in post is poor. He cites a PPP poll which NAMED Murkowski. Is that the same thing as volunteering a name as a write-in? No. He should know better. And he glosses over the recent history of write-in candidates failing miserably.
A new ad criticizing Snyder on his anti-choice position just started airing. It’s a good ad that I think will help Bernero secure more of the Democratic vote (he was only getting 66% of Dems in last poll).
With Murkowski in the Senate race, and likely resigning (or being forced out of) Senate Republican leadership, John Barrasso is a heavy favorite to join Republican leadership. Who else could we see run? The only other two names I have seen are Tom Coburn and Mike Johanns, but Johanns says he is not interested.
between Scott Brown and Elizabeth Warren. She probably doesn’t have high name recognition but it would be an interesting race.
polling CA (Yes!), WV (no WI!), and MI (Why?) this weekend.
Apparently West Virginia did end up winning, happily. This weekend’s choices are Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, and Washington.
for Nicholas Sarkozy lately. In fact I’ve found him outright disgusting ever since his party suffered a serious beating and he turned to demagoguery and fanning xenophobia. His policies against the Roma is reprehensible. I can’t wait for his ass to be kicked out with the rest of his sorry party.
been thinking a lot about that movie, having read the book lately, and wondering if I’ll even be able to stomach watching Hollywood mutilate the movie’s subtlety and intelligence.
And it’s being done by the same group she did it with in San Diego, who don’t believe HIV causes AIDS. It’s nice to see Sharrrrrrrrrrron return to her “pure” teabagger roots. Maybe those freaky polls this week were a blessing in disguise and made her complacent… 😉
What do yo think their mentality for 2012 will be, angry, excited or hungry? after dems lost in 2004 they were hungry in 2006 and showed it. they prevented a lot of primaries, nominated moderate, electable nominees and won. if the house is something like 220-215 democratic controlled and 50-50 (with no party switching) in the senate, what will the reaction be. My guess is hungry, where the establishment wrestles control from the tea party and asks lie the dems in 2006 and 2008.
And building on benjso’s excellent diary, let me ask the question: what seats has the GOP lost this cycle by recruiting poor candidates and/or failing to hold the line on their recruits?
Other than the obvious — DE-Sen, DE-AL, FL-Gov, NV-Sen — here are some that come to mind:
AZ-01: Republicans recruit Rusty Bowers, who turns out to be a terrible candidate; then, rather than picking a new horse, they sit back and do nothing for six months. Now that Paul Gosar’s won the primary, they seem to have figured out that this is a winnable seat; but even though Gosar has a good chance, that’s no thanks to the NRCC.
AZ-08: Republicans recruit second-tier Jesse Kelly, back him for several months, then turn around and back first-tier Jonathan Paton when he becomes available — thus driving Kelly to the right in order to outflank Paton. The result: a radicalized Kelly beats the much stronger Paton, and the GOP loses a winnable House seat.
NH-01: GOP recruits Frank Guinta, keeps him afloat as he falters, resolutely refuses to abandon him when stronger candidates surface, then pushes Guinta over the line in the primary. Goodbye, House seat.
CT-Sen: GOP recruits the most popular Republican in the state, Rob Simmons, then sits back helplessly as he is pounded into the pavement by not one, but two insanely rich primary opponents. The result not only throws away the Senate seat but wrecks the career of the GOP’s best recruit going forward.
OR-04: GOP recruits the Carl Mumpower of 2010, Sid Leiken, to challenge Peter DeFazio. Leiken cries in a press conference while admitting he allowed his mother to embezzle $2k from his campaign account. Leiken doesn’t even make it to the primary, leaving the GOP with this guy, who wants to spread the “message” of “American Exceptionalism.” (Maybe someone ought to tell him that term originated with the Communist Party.)
What other GOP recruiting fuckups can you think of that have cost them seats this cycle?
2 big names in the LA lt gov race, with the primary right around the corner on Nov. 2. Bill CLinton has endorsed New Orleans attorney and daughter of prominent Dem donor Calvin Fayard, Caroline Fayard. Fayard actually looks like Dems best hope of keeping this seat now, over state Sen. Butch Gauthreaux, who made a big splash with a creative BP mocking ad, but ran out of money to keep showing it. She has self-funded and raised a lot of money b/c of her father’s connections, surging to 3rd place in the most recent poll.
The other big endorsement is Michele Bachman. She has endorsed LA GOP chair (and GOPVOTER endorsed candidate) Roger Villere. Villere has struggled to raise money, surprisingly, considering he had two big fundraisers with Newt Gingrich and John McCain. He is also privately believed to be Bobby Jindal’s choice. He had been around 5th place in the first few polls, but in the most recent poll, was in 4th right behind Fayard.
Someone know polls for IL-SC and IL-ST? (Comptroller and Treasurer)
it just hurts and helps the narrative that the GOP want in the cycle.
So here is Eleanor Norton Holmes whoring her office out for campaign cash
Obviously she is a lock for re-election but it just adds the overall anti-Washington culture of corruption sediment.
…is getting a LOT more positive attention and money than I thought. She’s also seems to be moderating the crazy a bit.
With all sorts of weird stuff going on this cycle, well, it’s making me rather nervous…
They are trying to make her into another Scott Brown… she seems to be handling the celebrity OK. Brown won by appealing to moderate Democrats. She certainly isn’t doing that, but is going the uber-populist rout.
I can only hope that only turns off the more sophisticated Delaware electorate, but who knows nowadays!
Is there reason to be concerned?
One negative about it though is that it looks very 2004-esque, I think if this site got a paint job and a more robust comment system, it could totally kick even more ass.
But this made me think, if you could change this site to make it better, what would you change?
I think it would be cool if the user profile pages enabled something like which state and CD you are from, and what party you affiliate as could be cool. An example of this for me would be a Blue California with CA-44 at the top of the picture.
Looks like Barrasso is the favorite to succeed her, as he has been actively courting votes today. What can people tell me about him? I don’t really know too much about him.
Who is your favorite member(s) of congress from the opposite party, House and Senate?
Mine-
Senate:
Russ Feingold- He stands on principle, always, and I have a lot of respect for him. I want him to lose, but I still respect him.
Jim Webb- I just really like him for some reason, and he has a funny laugh
Kirsten Gillibrand- She stands for nothing, but she is nice to look at and listen too
House:
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin- See Kirsten Gillibrand (the 2nd half)
Gene Taylor- Pretty Conservative guy. consistent. Just a hard guy not to like. Plus, he reminds me of Rick Perry
Paul Hodes is saying that he is Fiscally Conservative, I find he is more Fiscally responsible, but I think it will play well to the NH electorate.
Is this a game changer? He is defining himself before Ayotte gets a chance too, and is establishing himself as someone a teabagger or moderate GOPer could essentially get behind (No pork, no bailout, ect).
elect a … um … admitted WITCH to the United States Senate? Enquiring minds want to know. The Republicans have found themselves a piece of work like none other.
They’ve still got Lynch’s job approval at a terrific 57-39, and his favorability at 55-38. But somehow voters are abandoning him?
Post-primary outlier once again.
Yup, they (SUSA) appear to have a methodology problem — BUT
Young voters in ’10 (as opposed to non-voters), at least so far, will be more R — and younger adults overall seem to be less D (than in ’08) as well, per this Pew study:
The “Millennial Generation” of young voters played a big role in the resurgence of the Democratic Party in the 2006 and 2008 elections, but their attachment to the Democratic Party weakened markedly over the course of 2009. The Democratic advantage over the Republicans in party affiliation among young voters, including those who “lean” to a party, reached a whopping 62% to 30% margin in 2008. But by the end of 2009 this 32-point margin had shrunk to just 14 points: 54% Democrat, 40% Republican
So while the SUSA cross tab w/r/t young voters appears especially problematic, I get the impression from other commenters that this problem extends back to previous elections too.
IF that is true — and if SUSA methodology has not changed — then the important number is the change in the margin, in other words, the difference between young voter preferences in ’08 and ’10 in their polls, and whether that is consistent with the Pew study.
Say Republicans net 38 seats in November and Democrats hold the House 218-217. The first vote of the session is for Speaker, and all 217 Republicans vote for Boehner. 216 Democrats vote for Pelosi, and 2 (perhaps Gene Taylor and Bobby Bright) vote for Steny Hoyer. Who’s speaker?
For all they yell about how “card check” will hurt a worker’s right to a secret ballot, the GOP certainly shows their true colors in this ad. It starts out as a blah blah blah Pelosi 140% of the time blah blah blah. But then it goes into “Tell McIntyre we don’t need unions.” Wow. Freudian slip?
should have a Wisconsin poll next week. I highly doubt Johnson leads by 7.
I really think people continue to underestimate Joe Sestak. Some have mentioned that he is a poor campaigner. That is wrong. He does many, many, more public events and public appearance than does Pat Toomey. Toomey must spend most of his time fundraising because he is never in the public eye.
Another sign is that Sestak’s fundraising report this quarter will certainly be great, if not eye-popping. He has raised nearly $1,000,000 (I think he is about $40,000 short) on ActBlue just since the beginning of July. That’s an astounding figure. He has a fundraiser with Obama on Monday. And he has done a fundraiser with Biden. This will be a banner fundraising quarter.
Sestak’s ads work. Insiders insisted that the positive ad introducing Sestak to the statewide primary electorate moved the poll numbers more than the infamous “re-elected” ad. Sestak’s first ad for the general election is pretty much the same positive biography. His newest ad is contrast ad with his career and Toomey’s matched up. I like it, but it could be more specific.
is LEAST LIKELY to win the nomination, either from being teabagged, just losing the primary, or retirement? I’d say a majority of them might get teabagged or otherwise disposed of. My list:
Hatch (UT) – 99% likely teabagging.
Ensign (NV) – Might be in prison; definitely damaged goods.
Snowe (ME) – 95% likely teabagging; possible defection.
Lugar (IN) – Possible retirement; 90% likely teabagging if not.
Hutchinson (TX) – Possible retirement; 90% likely teabagging if not.
Corker (TN) – 85% likely teabagging.
Brown (MA) – 50% likely teabagging.
Wicker (MS) – 25% likely teabagging.
Barasso (WY) – Just not that high profile, might get a challenge. Doesn’t seem as susceptible to the tea.
Kyl (AZ) – Can’t get to the right of him, but he is an establishment figure and may just have the testicles of doom descend on his face anyway.
Spent alot but I believe my money went to some good candidates
-Tom Perriello: $25
-Scott McAdams: $50
-Jack Conway: $25
-Annie McKuster: $40
-Tom Barrett: $30
-Betsy Markey: $30
-Dave Loebsack: $25
-Julie Lassa: $25
-Frank Kratovil: $25
-John Hall: $50
-Rick Larsen: $50
-Denny Heck: $35
-Russ Feingold: $50
-Chris Coons: $25
-Patrick Murphy: $100 (My biggest political donation ever)
I don’t have alot of money as I only work a few days a week pushing carts at Target while attending California University but in this environment these candidates will need every dollar and support then can get.
On a scale that rates Members of Congress on a scale of “mean, destructive, ineffective, stupid right-wing loud-mouthism” that begins with Michelle Bachman and Joe Wilson somewhere near top of the list and would include Members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus near the bottom, who – in order- would be the five names at the very top of the list?
[By the way, I mistakenly posted this inquiry under the Murkowski (sp?) piece.] It should be here.
On a scale that rates Members of Congress on a scale of “mean, destructive, ineffective, stupid right-wing loud-mouthism” that begins with Michelle Bachman and Joe Wilson somewhere near top of the list and would include Members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus near the bottom, who – in order- would be the five names at the very top of the list?
[By the way, I mistakenly posted this inquiry under the Murkowski piece.] It should be here.
I was curious how much political advertising is heard on African American radio stations. I have been told there has been a pickup of it in Pennsylvania from previous elections. From what I have been told, Republicans very rarely run ads at all, but Corbett is aggressively running ads in the gubernatorial race.
Is this really that unusual? There has been talk that a larger portion of the African American population is at play, but I have largely dismissed it until Corbett got the endorsement of two African American groups today: http://www.printthis.clickabil…
Some of us learned a lot about Rob Steele, the man the DCCC was panicking about this week, because he has a lot of $$$ to spend against John Dingell. Which current congressman is his cousin?
I think this has already been asked in a previous thread, but what is it like here during election day? I mean, i remember some of the primary threads not able to refresh when you try to reload (like say, a weird red-text error message/code), does that problem happen to a greater degree on election day?
how do people advertise on here? not planning on doing it myself, I’m just wondering how and more importantly, why Duke aiona or meg whitman would advertise on here.
but rassy has a post primary poll for NH-GOV. lynch 48-stephen 46.
There’s no denying Martha Coakley was an intelligent woman. She just couldn’t campaign or communicate for shit.
is worth a read. I have heard he is thinking of putting it in ad form. It is really touching and makes you like Ellsworth a lot. Seems effective. He is getting Veterans of Foreign Wars Political Action Committee endorsement. Still no word on an NRA endorsement though. I am surprised as Coats basically supports GC and Ellsworth does not. I am not sure why they are staying neutral so far. They did do an anti Coats mailer during the primary so I do not know why they have not officially endorsed, maybe they will later on.
even if your thesis statement “social issues brought voters to the poll for bernero even though the economy is weak” will it work in a general? it’s one thing to want someone pure in a primary (look at the tea party) it’s another in the GE.
59% vs. 4%. Focusing on social issues didn’t help Deeds any in Virginia, and it’s not going to help Bernero in Michigan.
For Wilkes-Barre paper. A pollster, Critical Insights, out of Maine.
People who are strongly pro-life will never be happy with Snyder. He supports stem-cell research, which isn’t acceptable to most pro-lifers. Snyder will probably lose many single issue voters and there’s nothing he (or Bernero) could do/say to change it.
has LePage up big in governor’s race. But a lot of undecided.
Murkowski pulls the trigger.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/s…
Obnoxious title, I know. Ever since he came on the scene, I have never understood his appeal. Wow, he uses equations, whoopty-doo. Politics isn’t such a science where you can subtract 4.5% points because he got into a groping scandal. SSP has better prognosticators, even when they get truth from the gut.
His Murkowski write-in post is poor. He cites a PPP poll which NAMED Murkowski. Is that the same thing as volunteering a name as a write-in? No. He should know better. And he glosses over the recent history of write-in candidates failing miserably.
A new ad criticizing Snyder on his anti-choice position just started airing. It’s a good ad that I think will help Bernero secure more of the Democratic vote (he was only getting 66% of Dems in last poll).
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v…
With Murkowski in the Senate race, and likely resigning (or being forced out of) Senate Republican leadership, John Barrasso is a heavy favorite to join Republican leadership. Who else could we see run? The only other two names I have seen are Tom Coburn and Mike Johanns, but Johanns says he is not interested.
between Scott Brown and Elizabeth Warren. She probably doesn’t have high name recognition but it would be an interesting race.
polling CA (Yes!), WV (no WI!), and MI (Why?) this weekend.
Another vote is up: CO, CT, FL, IL, WA.
http://publicpolicypolling.blo…
Apparently West Virginia did end up winning, happily. This weekend’s choices are Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, and Washington.
for Nicholas Sarkozy lately. In fact I’ve found him outright disgusting ever since his party suffered a serious beating and he turned to demagoguery and fanning xenophobia. His policies against the Roma is reprehensible. I can’t wait for his ass to be kicked out with the rest of his sorry party.
been thinking a lot about that movie, having read the book lately, and wondering if I’ll even be able to stomach watching Hollywood mutilate the movie’s subtlety and intelligence.
And it’s being done by the same group she did it with in San Diego, who don’t believe HIV causes AIDS. It’s nice to see Sharrrrrrrrrrron return to her “pure” teabagger roots. Maybe those freaky polls this week were a blessing in disguise and made her complacent… 😉
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/ey…
What do yo think their mentality for 2012 will be, angry, excited or hungry? after dems lost in 2004 they were hungry in 2006 and showed it. they prevented a lot of primaries, nominated moderate, electable nominees and won. if the house is something like 220-215 democratic controlled and 50-50 (with no party switching) in the senate, what will the reaction be. My guess is hungry, where the establishment wrestles control from the tea party and asks lie the dems in 2006 and 2008.
And building on benjso’s excellent diary, let me ask the question: what seats has the GOP lost this cycle by recruiting poor candidates and/or failing to hold the line on their recruits?
Other than the obvious — DE-Sen, DE-AL, FL-Gov, NV-Sen — here are some that come to mind:
AZ-01: Republicans recruit Rusty Bowers, who turns out to be a terrible candidate; then, rather than picking a new horse, they sit back and do nothing for six months. Now that Paul Gosar’s won the primary, they seem to have figured out that this is a winnable seat; but even though Gosar has a good chance, that’s no thanks to the NRCC.
AZ-08: Republicans recruit second-tier Jesse Kelly, back him for several months, then turn around and back first-tier Jonathan Paton when he becomes available — thus driving Kelly to the right in order to outflank Paton. The result: a radicalized Kelly beats the much stronger Paton, and the GOP loses a winnable House seat.
NH-01: GOP recruits Frank Guinta, keeps him afloat as he falters, resolutely refuses to abandon him when stronger candidates surface, then pushes Guinta over the line in the primary. Goodbye, House seat.
CT-Sen: GOP recruits the most popular Republican in the state, Rob Simmons, then sits back helplessly as he is pounded into the pavement by not one, but two insanely rich primary opponents. The result not only throws away the Senate seat but wrecks the career of the GOP’s best recruit going forward.
OR-04: GOP recruits the Carl Mumpower of 2010, Sid Leiken, to challenge Peter DeFazio. Leiken cries in a press conference while admitting he allowed his mother to embezzle $2k from his campaign account. Leiken doesn’t even make it to the primary, leaving the GOP with this guy, who wants to spread the “message” of “American Exceptionalism.” (Maybe someone ought to tell him that term originated with the Communist Party.)
What other GOP recruiting fuckups can you think of that have cost them seats this cycle?
2 big names in the LA lt gov race, with the primary right around the corner on Nov. 2. Bill CLinton has endorsed New Orleans attorney and daughter of prominent Dem donor Calvin Fayard, Caroline Fayard. Fayard actually looks like Dems best hope of keeping this seat now, over state Sen. Butch Gauthreaux, who made a big splash with a creative BP mocking ad, but ran out of money to keep showing it. She has self-funded and raised a lot of money b/c of her father’s connections, surging to 3rd place in the most recent poll.
The other big endorsement is Michele Bachman. She has endorsed LA GOP chair (and GOPVOTER endorsed candidate) Roger Villere. Villere has struggled to raise money, surprisingly, considering he had two big fundraisers with Newt Gingrich and John McCain. He is also privately believed to be Bobby Jindal’s choice. He had been around 5th place in the first few polls, but in the most recent poll, was in 4th right behind Fayard.
Someone know polls for IL-SC and IL-ST? (Comptroller and Treasurer)
it just hurts and helps the narrative that the GOP want in the cycle.
So here is Eleanor Norton Holmes whoring her office out for campaign cash
Obviously she is a lock for re-election but it just adds the overall anti-Washington culture of corruption sediment.
…is getting a LOT more positive attention and money than I thought. She’s also seems to be moderating the crazy a bit.
With all sorts of weird stuff going on this cycle, well, it’s making me rather nervous…
They are trying to make her into another Scott Brown… she seems to be handling the celebrity OK. Brown won by appealing to moderate Democrats. She certainly isn’t doing that, but is going the uber-populist rout.
I can only hope that only turns off the more sophisticated Delaware electorate, but who knows nowadays!
Is there reason to be concerned?
One negative about it though is that it looks very 2004-esque, I think if this site got a paint job and a more robust comment system, it could totally kick even more ass.
But this made me think, if you could change this site to make it better, what would you change?
I think it would be cool if the user profile pages enabled something like which state and CD you are from, and what party you affiliate as could be cool. An example of this for me would be a Blue California with CA-44 at the top of the picture.
http://twitter.com/senatus/sta…
Looks like Barrasso is the favorite to succeed her, as he has been actively courting votes today. What can people tell me about him? I don’t really know too much about him.
Who is your favorite member(s) of congress from the opposite party, House and Senate?
Mine-
Senate:
Russ Feingold- He stands on principle, always, and I have a lot of respect for him. I want him to lose, but I still respect him.
Jim Webb- I just really like him for some reason, and he has a funny laugh
Kirsten Gillibrand- She stands for nothing, but she is nice to look at and listen too
House:
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin- See Kirsten Gillibrand (the 2nd half)
Gene Taylor- Pretty Conservative guy. consistent. Just a hard guy not to like. Plus, he reminds me of Rick Perry
Paul Hodes is saying that he is Fiscally Conservative, I find he is more Fiscally responsible, but I think it will play well to the NH electorate.
Is this a game changer? He is defining himself before Ayotte gets a chance too, and is establishing himself as someone a teabagger or moderate GOPer could essentially get behind (No pork, no bailout, ect).
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/…
elect a … um … admitted WITCH to the United States Senate? Enquiring minds want to know. The Republicans have found themselves a piece of work like none other.
http://politicalwire.com/archi…
They’ve got Lynch up only 48-46.
They’ve still got Lynch’s job approval at a terrific 57-39, and his favorability at 55-38. But somehow voters are abandoning him?
Post-primary outlier once again.
Yup, they (SUSA) appear to have a methodology problem — BUT
Young voters in ’10 (as opposed to non-voters), at least so far, will be more R — and younger adults overall seem to be less D (than in ’08) as well, per this Pew study:
http://pewresearch.org/pubs/14…
So while the SUSA cross tab w/r/t young voters appears especially problematic, I get the impression from other commenters that this problem extends back to previous elections too.
IF that is true — and if SUSA methodology has not changed — then the important number is the change in the margin, in other words, the difference between young voter preferences in ’08 and ’10 in their polls, and whether that is consistent with the Pew study.
Say Republicans net 38 seats in November and Democrats hold the House 218-217. The first vote of the session is for Speaker, and all 217 Republicans vote for Boehner. 216 Democrats vote for Pelosi, and 2 (perhaps Gene Taylor and Bobby Bright) vote for Steny Hoyer. Who’s speaker?
For all they yell about how “card check” will hurt a worker’s right to a secret ballot, the GOP certainly shows their true colors in this ad. It starts out as a blah blah blah Pelosi 140% of the time blah blah blah. But then it goes into “Tell McIntyre we don’t need unions.” Wow. Freudian slip?
should have a Wisconsin poll next week. I highly doubt Johnson leads by 7.
may not vote Pelosi for speaker:http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/09/donnelly-wont-commit-to-suppor.html
Is his race suddenly competitive? I can’t imagine Wacky Jackie winning this one…
Hoosierdem, assuming Ellsworth gets over 40%, should he win this district?
when you thought Christine O’Donnell couldn’t get crazier….
http://thinkprogress.org/2010/…
I sorry if it’s a repost but I haven’t seen it.
http://www.surveyusa.com/clien…
Bachman of course getting young people 2-1
I really think people continue to underestimate Joe Sestak. Some have mentioned that he is a poor campaigner. That is wrong. He does many, many, more public events and public appearance than does Pat Toomey. Toomey must spend most of his time fundraising because he is never in the public eye.
Another sign is that Sestak’s fundraising report this quarter will certainly be great, if not eye-popping. He has raised nearly $1,000,000 (I think he is about $40,000 short) on ActBlue just since the beginning of July. That’s an astounding figure. He has a fundraiser with Obama on Monday. And he has done a fundraiser with Biden. This will be a banner fundraising quarter.
Sestak’s ads work. Insiders insisted that the positive ad introducing Sestak to the statewide primary electorate moved the poll numbers more than the infamous “re-elected” ad. Sestak’s first ad for the general election is pretty much the same positive biography. His newest ad is contrast ad with his career and Toomey’s matched up. I like it, but it could be more specific.
is LEAST LIKELY to win the nomination, either from being teabagged, just losing the primary, or retirement? I’d say a majority of them might get teabagged or otherwise disposed of. My list:
Hatch (UT) – 99% likely teabagging.
Ensign (NV) – Might be in prison; definitely damaged goods.
Snowe (ME) – 95% likely teabagging; possible defection.
Lugar (IN) – Possible retirement; 90% likely teabagging if not.
Hutchinson (TX) – Possible retirement; 90% likely teabagging if not.
Corker (TN) – 85% likely teabagging.
Brown (MA) – 50% likely teabagging.
Wicker (MS) – 25% likely teabagging.
Barasso (WY) – Just not that high profile, might get a challenge. Doesn’t seem as susceptible to the tea.
Kyl (AZ) – Can’t get to the right of him, but he is an establishment figure and may just have the testicles of doom descend on his face anyway.
Spent alot but I believe my money went to some good candidates
-Tom Perriello: $25
-Scott McAdams: $50
-Jack Conway: $25
-Annie McKuster: $40
-Tom Barrett: $30
-Betsy Markey: $30
-Dave Loebsack: $25
-Julie Lassa: $25
-Frank Kratovil: $25
-John Hall: $50
-Rick Larsen: $50
-Denny Heck: $35
-Russ Feingold: $50
-Chris Coons: $25
-Patrick Murphy: $100 (My biggest political donation ever)
I don’t have alot of money as I only work a few days a week pushing carts at Target while attending California University but in this environment these candidates will need every dollar and support then can get.
On a scale that rates Members of Congress on a scale of “mean, destructive, ineffective, stupid right-wing loud-mouthism” that begins with Michelle Bachman and Joe Wilson somewhere near top of the list and would include Members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus near the bottom, who – in order- would be the five names at the very top of the list?
[By the way, I mistakenly posted this inquiry under the Murkowski (sp?) piece.] It should be here.
On a scale that rates Members of Congress on a scale of “mean, destructive, ineffective, stupid right-wing loud-mouthism” that begins with Michelle Bachman and Joe Wilson somewhere near top of the list and would include Members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus near the bottom, who – in order- would be the five names at the very top of the list?
[By the way, I mistakenly posted this inquiry under the Murkowski piece.] It should be here.
I was curious how much political advertising is heard on African American radio stations. I have been told there has been a pickup of it in Pennsylvania from previous elections. From what I have been told, Republicans very rarely run ads at all, but Corbett is aggressively running ads in the gubernatorial race.
Is this really that unusual? There has been talk that a larger portion of the African American population is at play, but I have largely dismissed it until Corbett got the endorsement of two African American groups today: http://www.printthis.clickabil…
Some of us learned a lot about Rob Steele, the man the DCCC was panicking about this week, because he has a lot of $$$ to spend against John Dingell. Which current congressman is his cousin?
I think this has already been asked in a previous thread, but what is it like here during election day? I mean, i remember some of the primary threads not able to refresh when you try to reload (like say, a weird red-text error message/code), does that problem happen to a greater degree on election day?
how do people advertise on here? not planning on doing it myself, I’m just wondering how and more importantly, why Duke aiona or meg whitman would advertise on here.
but rassy has a post primary poll for NH-GOV. lynch 48-stephen 46.
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
There’s no denying Martha Coakley was an intelligent woman. She just couldn’t campaign or communicate for shit.
is worth a read. I have heard he is thinking of putting it in ad form. It is really touching and makes you like Ellsworth a lot. Seems effective. He is getting Veterans of Foreign Wars Political Action Committee endorsement. Still no word on an NRA endorsement though. I am surprised as Coats basically supports GC and Ellsworth does not. I am not sure why they are staying neutral so far. They did do an anti Coats mailer during the primary so I do not know why they have not officially endorsed, maybe they will later on.
http://www.ellsworthforindiana…
http://www.courierpress.com/ne…
even if your thesis statement “social issues brought voters to the poll for bernero even though the economy is weak” will it work in a general? it’s one thing to want someone pure in a primary (look at the tea party) it’s another in the GE.
59% vs. 4%. Focusing on social issues didn’t help Deeds any in Virginia, and it’s not going to help Bernero in Michigan.
For Wilkes-Barre paper. A pollster, Critical Insights, out of Maine.
http://www.timesleader.com/new…
People who are strongly pro-life will never be happy with Snyder. He supports stem-cell research, which isn’t acceptable to most pro-lifers. Snyder will probably lose many single issue voters and there’s nothing he (or Bernero) could do/say to change it.
has LePage up big in governor’s race. But a lot of undecided.
http://www.pressherald.com/new…
for polling in AL-02, CA-11, FL-02, IN-02, KY-06, MS-01, TN-08, TX-17, and VA-05. We’ll see if any of it comes out this week.