298 thoughts on “Weekly Open Thread: What Races Are You Interested In?”

  1. This has been a pretty quiet race in comparison to the much more prominent federal level elections, as well as the dogfight for control of the state House of Representatives, but a recent issue with Republican candidate Charlie White's residency and voter registration has complicated matters.

    White has resigned his seat on the Fishers town council after the fact he lives outside of his district was publicized, but Indianapolis media and most of the established Indiana political bloggers have already picked the story up. Some Democrats are asserting that White may have committed a criminal act by collecting a wage for an elected position he technically was no longer legally able to hold, but I don't think they're going to get anywhere with that. Even if their stabs at painting this in a criminal light fail, though, White is facing some measure of derision for (intentionally or inadvertently) violating state requirements for public office while at the same time attempting to become the state's top election official.

    An interesting aside to all this is that Mike Kole, a Hoosier Libertarian activist and former candidate for SoS, posted over at Masson's Blog about the nature of council elections in Fishers, a post that included a link to the rather disgusting map of the town's council districts. I don't know if this is a common thing in towns around here, but those districts are pretty nasty looking.

  2. It’s become something of a meme here, so I figured y’all would like this. The Atlantic interviews Aaron Perlut, the chairman of the American Mustache Institute. Oh yes, you read that correctly. They’re preparing to give out the “Robert Goulet Memorial Mustached American of the Year” Award….and they’re accepting nominations….

    http://www.theatlantic.com/cul

  3. Culver and Branstad set to announce dueling “major endorsements” on Monday. I have no idea who these people will be. A developer who normally supports Democrats, Ed Skinner, had a fundraiser for Branstad recently, but I don’t know if he is well-known enough to qualify as a “major” endorsement.

  4. “So you have no frame of reference, Donny. You’re like a child who wanders in in the middle of a movie and wants to know…”

    Sadly sounds a lot like many Dems this year…

  5. Why does this feel like deja vu?

    Oh yeah, that’s why. I know I shouldn’t be overconfident, but at the same time I’m so disgusted! Sorry to get a little personal here, but I have autistic kids in my family. My aunt’s grandson is autistic, and she’s helping to care for him. I’ve seen life with autism. And Sharron Angle REALLY went too far in dismissing autism care as “things we don’t need”.

  6. Reagan met with leaders of the Taliban. His comments were, “These gentlemen are the moral equivalents of America’s Founding Fathers.”

    Also read an interesting piece recently on Reagan’s role in sabotaging Carter’s efforts to release the Iranian hostages. Basically KGB documents suggest that Robert Gates, and other G.H.W. Bush State Department and CIA contacts were secretly meeting with major Iranian officials. The hostages were set to be released, and then suddenly the government convened and did not release them until Reagan’s inaugural dinner, before he had done anything. During his Presidency of course weapons were then sold to the Iranians in the Contra scandal, which strongly suggests a deal was made. People forget that had Carter suddenly got those hostages released it would have been huge in the final week of the campaign. He had been surging, and Reagan was worried about losing at that point.

    In other news, I wanted to toss it up in the faces of some of the conservatives here that Carter moved up to 19th in a poll of historians ranking our best Presidents, while Reagan continued to fall. I also found out, for the first time, that more jobs were created during Carter’s 4 year Presidency than Reagan’s 8 year one, and more were created under Clinton than Reagan, Bush, and Bush II. So I really don’t see how it is that conservatives still have some kind of argument with suburban voters that they manage the economy better. Everyone in this country has benefited under effective Keynesian economics and Democrats should be pressing that unemployment, wage stagnation, increase in debt, decrease in the standard of living, these are all byproducts of Monetarist economic polices; conservative political platforms basically.  

  7. I was wondering what five states most think will be the worst for the Democrats this fall.  Here is my list:

    1) Ohio

    2) Pennsylvania

    3) Michigan

    4) Wisconsin

    5) Illinois

  8. was a thing on taegan goddard about how dems are thinking of trying to tie reps to palin b/c she’s well known and well disliked Republican.  on the one hand i can’t imagine this working, she holds no power and the election isn’t about her.  on the other hand, I remember republicans tying dems to hillary in 07 and probably 06 and it worked, to a point at least.  would tying reps to palin work, or just be a waste?

  9. strikes again, and good news for Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris. Guess Harris isn’t DOA like I said two days ago. (Can’t find the polling memo, guess it hasn’t been released it.)

    With just more than a month until the election, the candidates are locked in tight races – Newsom’s and Cooley’s leads are within the poll’s 4.1 percent margin of error.

    Newsom is leading current Lt. Gov. Abel Maldonado 39 to 35 percent, while Cooley, Los Angeles County’s district attorney, is up 35 to 31 percent over Harris.

    Read more: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/

    Independents break for Newsom 41-28%, Maldonado gets 11% of likely D voters.

    And this is an interesting tidbit that escaped everyone when we were looking at the Field Poll they put out for the Senate race here. And it might explain why Fiorina’s first ad was dedicated to attacking Boxer for her supposed arrogance.

    Boxer has six-point lead over Fiorina in Senate race. Most voters basing their choices on pro or con feelings about Boxer. Many voters still haven’t formed an opinion of Fiorina.

  10. I am getting very concerned about the 3 Iowa Supreme Court justices who are on the ballot for the retention election. Typically 75-80% of Iowans who fill out the whole ballot vote yes on retaining the judges, but a lot of people don’t get that far down the ballot.

    The religious right (National Organization for Marriage, AFA Action) are spending hundreds of thousands of dollars on tv ads telling people to vote no on retaining the “liberal” judges.

    Meanwhile, the bar association and some other groups are funding a pro-independent judiciary campaign, but it’s been organized as a 501(c)3, which means they can’t explicitly urge people to vote “yes” on retaining judges. They can only do some vague public awareness on the benefits of having an independent judiciary.

    I hope the loud campaign against the judges inadvertently reminds the majority to vote yes on retaining them. If the judges are ousted it could become harder to stop a constitutional amendment vote in the Iowa House and Senate. So far the Democratic caucuses have held together, but our majorities will be smaller next year, and there’s a chance the GOP could take the Iowa House.

    Meanwhile, the Iowa Catholic Conference is officially endorsing the ballot initiative to call a constitutional convention. Most Republicans and conservatives are against doing that, because they feel it’s too risky if Democrats keep control of the Iowa legislature.

  11. Since Dan Donovan, Harry Wilson, and Joe DioGuardi have all refused to do so, he’s the first (and, in the end, perhaps only) candidate to formally back Paladino.

  12. Krkpatrick by 4.  FWIW.

    http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/ey

    Maybe if she keeps appearing on Neil Cavuto pushing for an extensin of all of Bush’s tax cuts, she can dampen Democratic enthusiasm even further.  Right now, I’m projecting both she and Mitchell to lose, but Giffords to hang on.

  13. And I can’t think of a better place to ask.

    For those residents of California, when should we start receiving absentee ballots? I heard somewhere that they’re already being sent to people or something.

  14. Weird–Terry Branstad’s campaign manager, Tim Albrecht, tweeted today that he was watching the Iowa Hawkeyes game on the Big Ten network in Des Moines and saw a Russ Feingold for Senate tv ad. Media vendor screwup?

  15. will be releasing their KY-Sen numbers tonight. Just a heads up. My guess is that Paul has a narrow lead. That Rove group has been airing those anti Conway ads all the freaking time. You can’t turn on the tv without catching one. It is soooo annoying. Yet Conway has also done a fair amount of advertising as well, though without a doubt not as much as advertising against him. The thing that makes me confidant about this race is that Conway has not brought out the big guns in his ads yet, the civil rights and Americans with disabilities acts. Though his opening ads have been good. He started with a positive one regarding being tough on crime about getting support from many sheriffs and his NRA rating and his second one that is currently airing is an excellent anti Paul ad that has a clip of Paul saying “non violent crimes should not be legal” then followed with sheriffs coming on the screen listing non violent crimes and ridiculing Paul. Great ad. Stay tuned to SSP tv, the best is yet to come.  

  16. Guess what?

    Brown, the former governor and current attorney general, held a 49%-44% advantage among likely voters over Whitman, the billionaire former chief executive at EBay.

    Boxer, a three-term incumbent, led Fiorina, the former head of Hewlett-Packard, by 51%-43% among likely voters in the survey, a joint effort by The Times and the USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences.

    So iCarly became ByeCarly? And wow, just wow… Who knew a candidate could spend so much money and HURT her own campaign so much?

  17. the San Francisco Chronicle made up their mind for who they want to endorse for the US Senate Race….

    No one.

    Californians are left with a deeply unsatisfying choice for the U.S. Senate  this year. The incumbent, Democrat Barbara Boxer, has failed to distinguish herself during her 18 years in office. There is no reason to believe that another six-year term would bring anything but more of the same uninspired representation. The challenger, Republican Carly Fiorina, has campaigned with a vigor and directness that suggests she could be effective in Washington – but for an agenda that would undermine this nation’s need to move forward on addressing serious issues such as climate change, health care and immigration.

    It is extremely rare that this editorial page would offer no recommendation on any race, particularly one of this importance. This is one necessary exception.

    Read more: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/

  18. I was driving today and this guy cuts me off and then drives really slow. I try to pass him up and he thinks we are in a race and speeds up. Then he gives me the bird. The political thing about this is that he had two Baron Hill bumper stickers on his truck. I was so annoyed at him, had I not been a Hill supporter that is interested in politics and not so vain I may have taken it out on his candidate. Probably not but still does anyone think bumper stickers can effect how a person votes in some cases like mine?  

  19. http://www.politico.com/news/s

    “Daniel Webster wants to impose his radical fundamentalism on us,” says an announcer in the 30-second ad, which says that Webster “wants to make divorce illegal,” that he “voted to deny abused women health care.”

    The spot also claims that Wesbter “tried to prohibit alimony to an ‘adulterous wife’ but not an adulterous husband,'” and that he “wants to force women to stay in abusive marriages.”

    The ad also features footage of Webster saying, “Wives, submit yourselves to your own husband.”

    The spot concludes, “Taliban Dan Webster: Hands off our body – and our laws.”

    Wow…  

  20. One of the changes is shocking: New York is now projected to lose 2 seats instead of 1, brining it down to 27. The 28th district was apparently the last to miss the cut. The article says that one of the lost seats is likely to come from Western New York (in all likelihood, combining Lee and Reed) while the other could come from Nassau County (perhaps an opportunity to get rid of Peter King, although there are still a lot of Republican voters on Long Island.)

    The extra district goes to Florida, which with 2 total pickups now has 27 districts in this projection. One of those new seats is likely to be a safe Democratic Orlando seat, while the other looks like it could be in the rural parts of Central Florida.  Minnesota, previously slated to drop a district, now barely retains its 8th (Bachmann exhales?), while Missouri now loses a district and goes from 9 to 8. Ike Skelton, you’re on notice.

  21. what political cartoonists does everyone like?  whether you agree or not, what kind of cartoonists do you like to read.  i’m a big fan of steve sack, jim borgman (before he went to only drawing zits, which is one of the only good comic strips around) pat oliphant, chuck asay (good window into the tea party mind) and danzinger.  

  22. Speculation and announcements on 2012 Senate and Gov races are just around the corner. Which potential retirements could we see, besides term limits in Gov races?

    Here’s mine:

    Likely Sen retirements:

    WI (Kohl)

    NV (Ensign)

    TX (KBH)

    IN (Lugar)

    CA (Feinstein)

    NE (Nelson)

    Potential Sen retirements:

    UT (Hatch)

    NM (Bingamen)

    ND (Conrad)

    ME (Snowe)

    VA (Webb)

    DE (Carper)

    CT (Lieberman)

    VT (Sanders)

    Term-limited govs:

    WV (Joe Manchin, running for Senate in 2010)

    MT (Schweitzer)

    IN (Mitch Daniels)

    Potential retirements:

    NH (John Lynch, up for re-election in 2010)

    NC (Bev Perdue)

    WA (Chris Gregoire)

    Only 3 Republican held seats are up for election in 2012, with the potential for 5, depending on VT and NH Gov elections this year.  

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