House Cattle Call (September 2010)

It’s high time we do a House Cattle Call, seeing as we haven’t done one all cycle.

In case you haven’t done one of these before, rank House seats in order of likelihood of flipping from one party to the other. The traditional SSP way is to include seats held by both parties in a single list (separate lists make comparisons harder). Go as far down the list as you like. If you need some food for thought, check out Swing State’s House race ratings. Have fun!  

39 thoughts on “House Cattle Call (September 2010)”

  1. 1. TN-06

    2. LA-03

    3. AR-02

    4. HI-01 (R held)

    5. NY-29

    6. OH-01

    7. OH-15

    8. LA-02 (R held)

    9. NY-24

    10. VA-05

    11. PA-07

    12. PA-11

    13. FL-24

    14. TX-17

    15. MD-01

    16. DE-AL (R held)

    17. IN-08

    18. NH-02

    19. WA-03

    20. IL-10 (R held)

  2. Just made a few adjustments.

    For fun, possible Democratic pickups are in bold. All six of them!

    1. TN-06 OPEN (Gordon) R+13

    2. NY-29 OPEN (Massa) R+5

    3. DE-AL OPEN (Castle) D+7

    4. AR-02 OPEN (Snyder) R+5

    5. LA-03 OPEN (Melancon) R+12

    6. LA-02 Joe Cao D+25

    7. KS-03 OPEN (Moore) R+3

    8. VA-05 Tom Perriello R+5

    —Sorry guys, but a liberal congressman in a conservative district who only won by 700 votes in a great Democratic year against a flawed incumbent doesn’t have too much hope in a Republican year against a strong challenger. Shame, because he really is a great public servant.

    9. MI-01 OPEN (Stupak) R+3

    10. OH-01 Steve Dreihaus D+1

    11. IN-08 OPEN (Ellsworth) R+8

    —I could see this turning around if Ellsworth gets his act together with the Senate race. I don’t have a lot of confidence in his ability to do that anymore.

    12. MS-01 Travis Childers R+14

    13. MD-01 Frank Kratovil R+13

    14. IL-11 Debbie Halvorsen R+1

    15. PA-11 Paul Kanjorski D+5

    —This seat certainly wouldn’t be safe if it were open, but there’s no reason for this race to be this high up except that Kanjo didn’t get the message and retire after 2008.

    16. ND-AL Earl Pomeroy R+10

    17. OH-15 Mary Jo Kilroy D+1

    18. AR-01 OPEN (Berry) R+8

    19. PA-07 OPEN (Sestak) D+3

    —Ditto this seat and Sestak’s campaign, though I have more confidence in Sestak’s ability to emerge from the point when the “experts” declare him dead because he’s done it before.

    20. HI-01 Charles Djou D+11

    21. CO-04 Betsy Markey R+6

    22. TN-08 OPEN (Tanner) R+6

    23. WA-03 OPEN (Baird) D+0

    24. MI-07 Mark Schauer R+2

    —I don’t really buy Schauer’s poll; I think at the end of the day Michigan is going to be

    25. WI-07 OPEN (Obey) D+3

    26. OH-16 Jim Boccieri R+4

    27. VA-02 Glenn Nye R+5

    28. TX-17 Chet Edwards R+20

    29. FL-24 Suzanne Kosmas R+4

    —Alex Sink will likely help us a lot out here, but I’m not sure it will be enough.

    30. IL-10 OPEN (Kirk) D+6

    —I wonder if the toxic environment in IL this year could wrestle this seat away from us.

    31. NH-02 OPEN (Hodes) D+3

    32. SD-AL Stephanie Herseth Sandlin R+9

    33. AL-02 Bobby Bright R+16

    34. NH-01 Carol Shea-Porter R+0

    35. PA-03 Kathy Dahlkemper R+3

    36. NM-02 Henry Teague R+6

    —It’s right about here that I start to wonder if Democrats are slightly favored in just enough toss-ups to hang on to a tiny majority in the house.

    37. MI-09 Gary Peters D+2

    38. WV-01 OPEN (Mollohan) R+9

    39. IN-09 Baron Hill R+6

    40. NY-19 John Hall R+3

    41. AZ-01 Ann Kirkpatrick R+6

    42. WI-08 Steve Kagan R+2

    43. SC-05 John Spratt R+7

    44. AZ-05 Harry Mitchell R+5

    —I strongly suspect (and know in case) that what polling we’ve gotten in this district has badly undersampled ASU students. The question is how many of them actually bother to show up when Obama is not on the ballot.

    45. PA-08 Patrick Murphy D+2

    46. CA-11 Jerry McNerney R+1

    47. FL-08 Alan Grayson R+2

    —Does Democratic control of the house rest on the broad, crazy shoulders of Alan Grayson? May the Flying Spaghetti Monster have mercy on us all.

    –Control of the House–

    48. CO-03 John Salazar R+5

    49. MO-04 Ike Skelton R+14

    50. NY-24 Mike Arcuri R+2

    51. PA-10 Chris Carney R+8

    —I think Marino’s scandal has some legs. If it fizzles, this seat probably moves up about ten spots.

    52. FL-25 OPEN (Diaz-Balart) R+5

    53. IA-03 Leonard Boswell D+1

    54. IL-14 Bill Foster R+1

    55. TN-04 Lincoln Davis R+13

    56. NV-03 Dina Titus D+2

    57. OH-18 Zach Space R+7

    58. FL-02 Allen Boyd R+6

    59. NY-01 Tim Bishop R+0

    60. IL-17 Phil Hare D+3

    61. NC-08 Larry Kissell R+2

    62. TX-23 Ciro Rodriguez R+4

    63. FL-24 Ron Klein D+1

    64. GA-08 Jim Marshall R+10

    65. AZ-08 Gabrielle Giffords R+4

    —Republicans nominated the wrong candidate here without question. Giffords will probably win the Northside suburbs and then it’s pretty much over for Kelly.

    66. WA-02 Rick Larsen D+3

    67. PA-12 Mark Critz R+1

    68. CA-47 Loretta Sanchez D+4

    69. OH-06 Charlie Wilson R+2

    70. IN-02 Joe Donnelly R+2

    71. MA-10 OPEN (Delahunt) D+5

    72. ID-01 Walter Minnick R+18

    73. CA-03 Dan Lungren R+6

    74. NC-11 Heath Schuler R+6

    75. NM-01 Marty Heinrich D+5

  3. I hope the DCCC will release another round of polling in WA 3 since Herrera’s double speak on Social Security. I think Heck is going to pull this one out but it will be close. There seems to be slow but steady erosion of support for Herrera as more small business people from Thurston and Clark Counties endorse Heck.

  4. have never done a House Cattle call before. Sounds like fun.  

    1 LA-03  

    2 TN-06  

    3 AR-02  

    4 NY-29  

    5 DE-AL  

    6 LA-02  

    7 KS-03  

    8 PA-07  

    9 HI-01  

    10 IN-08

    11 CO-04  

    12 NH-02  

    13 PA-11  

    14 OH-01

    15 OH-15  

    16 PA-03    

    17 TX-17  

    18 VA-05  

    19 MS-01  

    20 FL-08  

    21 IL-11  

    22 ND-AL  

    23 OH-16

    24 FL-02  

    25 PA-08  

    26 IL-10  

    27 MI-01  

    28 AR-01  

    29 MD-01  

    30 NM-02  

    31 TN-08  

    32 MI-01  

    33 NY-24

    34 VA-02  

    35 MI-07  

    37 SD-AL  

    38 NY-19  

    39 IA-03  

    40 FL-24  

    Wow, that was very hard, I am stopping here. I more than likely left some DOA’s or likely DOA’s off. I am sure if I had to rewrite this list without seeing this one it would be different. I am also sure when re-reading this I am going to rethink it. It’s my first time. Oh Well, I did my best.  

  5. 1) TN-6 OPEN (Gordon)

    2) LA-3 OPEN (Melancon)

    3) AR-2 OPEN (Snyder) – should have gone with Wills

    4) LA-2 Joseph Cao – don’t care what any polls have been saying, this thing won’t end up being close

    5) NY-29 VACANT (Massa)

    6) OH-1 Steve Driehaus

    7) VA-5 Tom Perriello – sigh… I like this guy

    8) KS-3 OPEN (Moore)

    9) DE-AL OPEN (Castle) – Dems have solid candidate, and DE Repubs chose crazy on all fronts

    10) CO-4 Betsy Markey

    11) TX-17 Chet Edwards – I also like him (he outperforms his district big time), unfortunately he probably loses badly

    12) IN-8 OPEN (Ellsworth)

    13) HI-1 Charles Djou – I hate Ed Case for putting us in this situation in the first place

    14) OH-15 Mary Jo Kilroy

    15) MD-1 Frank Kratovil

    16) WA-3 OPEN (Baird)

    17) MS-1 Travis Childers

    18) ND-AL Earl Pomeroy

    19) FL-24 Suzanne Kosmas

    20) MI-1 OPEN (Stupak) – Gary McDowell is actually pretty strong

    21) AR-1 OPEN (Berry) – This would be top 10 if there candidate wasn’t Rick Crawford

    22) PA-11 Paul Kanjorski

    23) TN-8 OPEN (Tanner) – Roy Herron is also strong

    24) IL-11 Debbie Halvorson

    25) WV-1 OPEN (Mollohan) – Very bad environment in WV

    26) VA-2 Glenn Nye

    27) PA-7 OPEN (Sestak)

    28) MI-7 Mark Schauer – At least Walberg sucks

    29) OH-16 John Boccieri

    30) PA-3 Kathy Dahlkemper

    31) NH-2 OPEN (Hodes)

    32) FL-8 Alan Grayson – Grayson v. Webster ought to be fun

    33) AZ-5 Harry Mitchell

    34) IN-9 Baron Hill

    35) WI-7 OPEN (Obey)

    36) NM-2 Harry Teague – for a while I thought he was DOA, but I think he still has a decent shot

    37) NH-1 Carol Shea-Porter

    38) AZ-1 Ann Kirkpatrick – too bad we have so many pro-choice women (Markey, Kilroy, Kosmas, Halvorson, Shea-Porter, Kirkpatrick) in swing districts facing tough odds against anti-choice d-bags (Gardner, Stivers, Adams, Kinzinger, Guinta, Gosar)

    39) IL-10 OPEN (Kirk)

    40) AL-2 Bobby Bright – if he loses, its simply because of the D next to his name as he is a perfect match for this district

    41) SC-5 John Spratt

    42) SD-AL Stephanie Herseth Sandlin

    43) NY-19 John Hall

    44) FL-2 Allen Boyd

    45) PA-8 Patrick Murphy – I really like this guy as well, hopefully voters don’t go for retread Fitzpatrick

    46) NC-8 Larry Kissell

    47) IL-14 Bill Foster

    48) NY-1 Tim Bishop

    49) WI-8 Steve Kagen

    50) CA-11 Jerry McNerney

    51) MI-9 Gary Peters

    52) NV-3 Dina Titus

    53) GA-8 Jim Marshall

    54) PA-12 Mark Critz

    55) IA-3 Leonard Boswell

    56) CO-3 John Salazar

    57) OH-18 Zach Space

    58) CA-47 Loretta Sanchez – open mouth, insert foot

    59) MO-4 Ike Skelton

    60) MA-10 OPEN (Delahunt)

    61) NY-24 Mike Arcuri – by far most overrated district for chance of flipping, even though he’s not my favorite

    62) NM-1 Martin Heinrich

    63) ID-1 Walt Minnick

    64) AZ-8 Gabrielle Giffords

    65) PA-10 Chris Carney – big time Marino baggage, plus positive press for Carney pretty much all cycle

    66) FL-25 OPEN (M. Diaz-Balart)

    67) TX-23 Ciro Rodriguez

    68) NY-13 Mike McMahon

    69) IN-2 Joe Donnelly

    70) VA-11 Gerry Connolly

    71) IL-17 Phil Hare

    72) NJ-3 John Adler

    73) WA-2 Rick Larsen

    74) PA-15 Charlie Dent

    75) TN-4 Lincoln Davis

  6. Gone:

    TN-06. 100% chance of flipping.

    LA-03.

    AR-02. Wrong candidate, wrong year.

    KS-03. Ditto. Don’t run the retiring incumbent’s wife.

    NY-29. Buh-bye.

    VA-05.

    OH-01. Chabot only lost b/c of black vote for Obama.

    TX-17. Edwards is hosed.

    SC-05. So is Spratt. (Hint: don’t announce you have Parkinson’s then immediately file for re-election!)

    IL-11. And Halverson.

    Likely Gone:

    DE-AL

    HI-01

    MI-07. This is a weird district that hates Walberg, but hates being represented by a Dem even more.

    OH-15. Kilroy sucks at campaigning.

    CO-04. Red district, red year.

    FL-24. Kosmas is weak.  

    PA-03. So is Dahlkemper.

    LA-02 .

    AR-01.

    FL-24.

    VA-02.

    PA-07. Philly suburbs suck for us this year.

    PA-08. Not optimistic about this race.

    NY-19. And got a bad feeling about this one, too.

    FL-02. Boyd might pull it out, but I doubt it.

    IL-10 Can’t be taken for granted, though.

    MS-01. Childers will go down fighting, at least.

    FL-25 Garcia is a great candidate and this area is bluing fast. Good feeling about this one.

    WI-07. Not enough polling, but WI is shaping up to be one of our worst states, so I’m not optimistic.

    MA-10. Too many Dems spoil the broth here.

    NH-02. Kuster a good candidate, but starting too late.

    TN-08. Like MS-01, not going out without a fight.  

    MI-01. We’re down, but close to tying. Could still win here.

    WA-03. Ditto.

    Tossups:

    MD-01. Ugly, ugly district, but Harris has lost before.  

    IN-08. Ellsworth is working harder to save this seat than he is to actually win the Senate race.

    OH-16. Not too sanguine about Boccieri’s chances.

    AL-02. Dead tossup. No idea how it’ll break.

    MI-09. Even district, bad state, bad year, tossup race.

    IL-17. No polling, so let’s leave it here.

    KS-04 . Pompeo’s gone “full Sali” here.

    NY-23. Hoffman is a non-factor at this point.

    WV-01. Olivero teabaggish enough to win, but he’ll be a Republican by spring.

    NM-02. I have no idea where to put this one.

    WI-08. Or this one.

    Lean incumbent:

    IL-14.

    CT-05. We’re in way more trouble here than we think.

    ND-AL. Rumors of Pomeroy’s demise are greatly exaggerated, but it’ll still be close.

    IA-03. Ditto for Boswell.  

    CA-11.

    NY-01. I don’t trust blue-state suburban voters this year.

    NV-03. Titus gets a lot of ex-Porter voters and is fighting.

    IN-09. No way a guy from Bloomington/Carmel beats Hill.

    NH-01. Guinta sucks. CSP will defy the pundits once again.

    NY-24. Arcuri will win in spite of himself.  

    TX-23.

    CT-04. Himes is made of money.  

    NY-20. Murphy will hold on.

    AZ-01.

    NM-01. Will be surprisingly close.

    ID-01. Minnick’s in great shape given his district.

    IA-02. Closer than it should be.

    CA-03 . Ditto, only in our direction.

    SD-AL. Not even this year.

    NJ-03. Winnable race for the GOP, then they picked Runyan.

    OR-05. Bruun is overrated. Schrader will sweep rural areas.

    AZ-08. Another GOP fail.

    IN-02. Ditto. Donnelly can lose, but not to Wacky Jackie.

    NY-13. And while we’re at it….Staten Island GOP WIN.

    MI-03 . Mostly overlooked, but still worth watching.

    AZ-07.  

    CA-47.

    PA-15 Right candidate, wrong year.

    MA-05. Because Tsongas is weak and MA voters are idiots.

    CA-45 . Had to put it somewhere.

    MN-06 . We can dream.

    PA-12. Critz is facing Burns. Otherwise there’d be trouble.

    OH-18. Really don’t see Space in trouble.

    PA-06 .  

    Likely incumbent:

    NC-08. Kissell fits his district well.

    OH-13. Even in Ohio this year, Sutton will be fine.

    WA-02. Overrated. Nobody knows how to poll Washington.

    WA-09. Ditto.

    ME-01. Pingree is weak, but no real opponent.  

    PA-10. Yes, I put Carney this low, even this year.

    CA-18. Overrated.

    CA-20. Ditto.

    VA-11. Tritto.

    UT-02.  

    MA-03. Even I don’t see this one being that competitive.

    ME-02. Don’t buy the poll showing Langevin down.

    KY-06.

    KY-03.

    RI-02. Not here, either.

    NC-02. Only on the MSM list because some teabaggers threw a hissy fit after big bad Etheridge called them stupid.

    RI-01. Safest Dem open seat of the cycle.

    IA-01.

    PA-04.

    VA-09.  

  7. No one seems to have this anywhere on their lists despite polling suggesting the Dem, Lori Edwards can hit 40 percent and still win. That’s because there is a legitimate 3rd party Teabagger in the race who was polling around 25 percent. Anyone think we can take this seat?

  8. excluding possibly Democratic pickups.

    1) TN-6

    2) AR-2

    3) NY-29

    4) LA-3

    5) KS-3

    6) IN-8

    7) VA-5

    8) MI-1

    9) IL-11

    10) TX-17

    11) AR-1

    12) TN-8

    13) MD-1

    14) OH-1

    15) MS-1

    16) PA-8

    17) PA-3

    18) PA-10

    19) OH-16

    20) CO-4

    21) WA-3

    22) NH-2

    23) PA-11

    24) ND-AL

    25) PA-7

    26) OH-15

    27) FL-24

    28) WV-1

    29) IN-9

    30) MI-7

    31) NY-19

    32) AZ-5

    33) NM-2

    33) AL-2

    34) GA-8

    35) NH-1

    36) WI-8

    37) AZ-1

    38) IL-14

    39) CO-3

    40) VA-2

    41) FL-8

    42) SC-5

    43) SD-AL

    44) FL-2

    45) NV-3

    46) NY-24

    47) MI-9

    48) TN-4

    49) PA-12

    50) IL-17

    51) WA-2

    52) OH-18

    53) TX-23

    54) CA-11

    55) CO-7

    56) NC-8

    57) OH-6

    58) NC-11

    59) NJ-3

    60) PA-4

  9. Goes like this:

    1.TN-6

    2.AR-2

    3.NY-29

    4.LA-2 (dem)

    5.LA-3

    6.PA-11

    7.DE-1 (dem)

    8.WA-3

    9.IL-11

    10.VA-2

    11.OH-1

    12.MI-1

    13.AR-1

    14.KS-3

    15.NH-2

    16.VA-5

    17.MD-1

    18.TX-17

    19.PA-3

    20.ND-1

    21.MS-1

    22.PA-7

    23.OH-15

    24.CO-4

    25.HI-1 (dem)

    26.IL-10 (dem)

    27.MI-7

    28.AZ-5

    29.FL-24

    30.PA-8

    31.SC-5

    32.TN-8

    33.FL-2

    34.WI-7

    35.IL-14

    36.FL-25 (dem)

    37.NY-19

    38.FL-8

    39.PA-10

    ——————– my flip line

    39.OH-16

    40.MO-4

    41.NY-24

    42.AL-2

    43.IA-3

    44.NM-2

    ——————– house majority line

    45.AZ-1

    46.FL-22

    47.NY-1

    48.NV-3

    49.GA-8

    50.CA-11

    51.WA-2

    52.FL-12 (dem)

    53.TX-23

    54.SD-1

    55.CO-3

    56.TN-4

    57.ID-1

    58.NC-8

    59.WI-8

    60.WV-1

    61.IN-9

    62.MI-9

    63.OH-18

    64.OR-5

    65.IL-17

    66.NY-13

    67.MA-10

    68.CO-7

    69.NJ-3

    70.CT-5

    71.NY-23

    72.MS-4

    73.OH-13

    74.UT-2

    75.KY-6

    I hope I didn’t forget anybody obvious.

  10. (Republican-held seats in bold.)

    LA-02

    TN-06

    LA-03

    NY-29

    DE-AL

    AR-02

    VA-02

    TN-08

    OH-01

    AR-01

    HI-01

    KS-03

    PA-07

    OH-15

    PA-11

    NH-02 (-10)

    — I think the losses above the line are sure things. —

    MI-07

    VA-05

    CO-04

    SC-05

    MI-01

    IL-10

    PA-08

    MD-01

    ND-AL

    IN-09

    — Toss-Up territory starts about here. —

    FL-08

    NM-02 (-20)

    NY-24

    IL-11

    AZ-05

    FL-24

    NH-01

    NY-19

    MI-09

    IL-14

    — I think here’s where we are now. Certainly the next couple dozen seats down are still very much in doubt. —

    FL-25

    IA-03

    FL-02

    TX-17 (-30)

    NC-08

    WV-01

    NY-01

    WA-03

    TX-23

    AL-02

    PA-12

    SD-AL

    — Line of Control —

    WA-02 (-40)

    NV-03

    GA-08

    AZ-01

    NY-23

    — I’d say the incumbent party was favored by at least a little from here on down. —

    OH-16

    PA-04

    CA-11

    WI-08

    OH-13

    KS-04

    ID-01

    MO-04 (-50)

    NC-11

    OH-18

    NY-20

    IN-08

    CA-20

    NM-01

    MA-10

    CA-18

    TN-04

    NJ-03

    AZ-08 (-60)

    PA-10

    CT-05

    GA-12

    NC-02

    — Here’s about where the stunners would start. —

    CO-03

    IN-02

    PA-06

    WA-09

    UT-02

    CA-47

    VA-09

    MS-04

    VA-11 (-70)

    MN-01

    KY-06

    PA-15

    AR-04

    I actually feel better about holding the House after doing this. There’s sadly a near-complete lack of good second-tier Democratic opportunities…but Team Blue only needs to hold seats where they seem to have a better-than-even chance of keeping to hold on.

    I see a few seats above the line where I like our chances reasonably well.

  11. SAFE FLIPS 100%

    TN-06 Gordon R

    AR-02 Snyder R

    NY-29 Massa R

    LA-02 Cao D

    LA-03 Melancon R

    OH-01 Driehaus R

    PA-11 Kanjorski R

    OH-15 Kilroy R

    8 to Republican, 1 to Democratic, NET 7 Republican

    LIKELY FLIPS 75%-100%

    OH-16 Boccieri R

    TX-17 Edwards R

    DE-AL Castle D

    IL-11 Halvorson R

    NH-02 Hodes R

    MI-07 Schauer R

    HI-01 Djou D

    PA-03 Dahlkemper R

    PA-08 Murphy R

    WA-03 Baird R

    IN-08 Ellsworth R

    PA-07 Sestak R

    WI-07 Obey R

    11 to Republican, 2 to Democratic, NET 16 Republican

    LEAN FLIP 55%-75%

    IL-10 Kirk D

    VA-05 Perriello R

    AR-01 Berry R

    AZ-05 Mitchell R

    MI-09 Peters R

    MI-01 Stupak R

    SC-05 Spratt R

    FL-02 Boyd R

    IL-14 Foster R

    NM-02 Teague R

    9 to Republican, 1 to Democratic, NET 24 Republican

    TOSSUP 45%-55%

    CO-04 Markey R

    TX-23 Rodriguez R

    FL-25 Diaz-Balart D

    VA-02 Nye R

    ND-AL Pomeroy R

    NV-03 Titus R

    KS-04 Tiahrt D

    AZ-01 Kirkpatrick R

    MS-01 Childers R

    NH-01 Shea Porter R

    FL-24 Kosmas R

    NJ-03 Adler R

    CA-11 McNerney R

    WI-08 Kagen R

    MO-04 Skelton R

    NY-24 Arcuri R

    MD-01 Kratovil R

    NY-19 Hall R

    HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES FLIP-TOSSUP/TILT DEMOCRATIC RETENTION

    IN-02 Donnelly R

    FL-12 Putnam R

    18 to Republican, 2 to Democratic, NET 40 Republican

    LEAN RETENTION 25%-45%

    NM-01 Heinrich R

    NC-08 Kissell R

    SD-AL Herseth Sandlin R

    WA-02 Larsen R

    FL-08 Grayson R

    AL-02 Bright R

    IA-03 Boswell R

    NY-01 Bishop R

    FL-24 Klein R

    IL-17 Hare R

    10 to Republican, 0 to Democratic, NET 50 Republican

    LIKELY RETENTION 10%-25%

    AZ-08 Giffords R

    IN-09 Hill R

    OR-05 Schrader R

    CO-03 Salazar R

    PA-10 Carney R

    TN-04 Davis R

    OH-18 Space R

    CA-47 Sanchez R

    PA-15 Dent D

    PA-12 Critz R

    NY-23 Owens R

    WA-08 Reichert D

    PA-06 Jim Gerlach D

    MN-01 Walz R

    MS-04 Taylor R

    NY-13 McMahon R

    PA-17 Holden R

    ID-01 Minnick R

    15 to Republican, 3 to Democratic, NET 62 Republican

  12. 46 D, 4 R.

    TN 6

    LA 3

    NY 29

    AR 2

    LA 2

    MS 1

    MD 1

    CO 4

    OH 1

    MI 1

    DE

    VA 5

    KS 3

    VA 2

    FL 24

    OH 15

    TX 17

    PA 7

    TN 8

    IN 8

    HI 1

    FL 2

    AR 1

    FL 8

    OH 16

    NM 2

    PA 11

    IL 11

    WA 3

    PA 8

    ND

    MI 7

    IL 14

    WI 7

    NH 2

    SC 5

    WI 8

    IN 9

    NY 19

    NH 1

    AZ 5

    NY 24

    NV 3

    AL 2

    PA 10

    SD

    AZ 1

    FL 22

    IL 10

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