Herein I will project the remaining uncalled races without commenting on my current apoplexy, or anyone else’s. Actually quite pleased with the Senate and Governor picture. Let’s not talk about that other thing.
SENATE: R+6
Called Republican Pickups (6): AR, IL, IN, ND, PA, WI
Uncalled Republican Holds (1):
AK – Murkowski up 7% with 100% in. AK moved formal write-in ballot counting up to next week.
GOVERNORS: R+5
Called Democratic Pickups (3): CA, HI, VT
Called Republican Pickups (11): IA, KS, ME, MI, NM, OH, OK, PA, TN, WI, WY
Called Independent Pickups(1): RI
Uncalled Democratic Pickups (2):
CT – Malloy now up 6,000 votes with 98% in. SoS says final tally is today.
MN – Dayton up 9,000 votes with 100% in. Final canvass on November 23.
HOUSE – R+63
Called Democratic Pickups (3): DE-AL, HI-01, LA-02
Called Republican Pickups (63): AL-02, AR-01, AR-02, AZ-01, AZ-05, CO-03, CO-04, FL-02, FL-08, FL-22, FL-24, GA-08, ID-01, IL-11, IL-14, IL-17, IN-08, IN-09, KS-03, LA-03, MD-01, MI-01, MI-07, MN-08, MO-04, MS-01, MS-04, NC-02, ND-AL, NH-01, NH-02, NJ-03, NM-02, NV-03, NY-13, NY-19, NY-20, NY-24, NY-29, OH-01, OH-06, OH-15, OH-16, OH-18, PA-03, PA-07, PA-08, PA-10, PA-11, SC-05, SD-AL, TN-04, TN-06, TN-08, TX-17, TX-23, VA-02, VA-05, VA-09, WA-03, WI-07, WI-08, WV-01
Uncalled Republican Pickups (3):
IL-08 – Walsh up 550 votes with 100% in. Absentees left to count.
NY-25 – Buerkle up 650 votes with 100% in. Absentees left to count.
TX-27 – Farenthold up 800 votes with 100% in. Absentees left to count.
Uncalled Democratic Holds (6):
AZ-08 – Giffords up 3,000 votes wih 100% in. Apparently “early votes” still being counted.
CA-11 – McNerney up 121 votes with 100% in. Absentees left to count.
CA-20 – Vidak up 1,700 votes with 100% in. However, tens of thousands of absentees outstanding, almost all in Costa strongholds.
KY-06 – Chandler up 600 votes with 100% in. He has declared victory.
VA-11 – Connolly up 800 votes with 100% in. Provisionals left to count.
WA-02 – Larsen up 1,450 votes with 80% in. Lots of votes remain all over the district. Tough call, but I’ll go with Larsen since he’s up.
it got Malloy a 13,000-vote margin, which would put him ahead by 2,000 votes or so. but some of those are provisionals and will be challenged by the vote-suppression-loving Republicans. Also, even after Bridgeport comes in there are other outstanding areas. Thankfully, one is uber-Democratic New Haven, but no clue about the others.
Of the 5 only Rand seems to have won. (I never counted Rubio as a Tea partier) The senate would have been split control without their help.
There are still 35K votes in Pima County, which is why the AZ-07 and AZ-08 races haven’t been called. I don’t have a clue where they are, or what they are, because all but two Pima County precincts have reported and margins held steady. Pima County was a good county for both Grijalva and Giffords, obviously, but it’s also a diverse county politically. I think Grijalva should be ok either way, and so does he because he already declared victory, but the suburbs were rough on Giffords, rougher than I expected. If too many of the remaining votes are out there, watch out.